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Gag Me With A Spoon

5/21/2021

3 Comments

 
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As if the 17-year locusts weren't enough for this spring, there's a more revolting creature crawling out of the ground lately.

Yesterday, Michael Skelly testified before a Congressional Committee in love with the Green New Deal.
He introduces himself like this:

My name is Michael Skelly and I am founder and CEO of Grid United, an early stage transmission development company. I have spent the last 25 years developing a wide variety of energy projects. I got involved in the US wind industry in the late 90’s, and helped put together thousands of megawatts of new wind projects. In 2009 I started a company called Clean Line Energy which focused on interstate power lines to move renewable energy around the country. We successfully permitted a three-state high voltage, direct current transmission line. We sold off our projects several years ago to other developers who are carrying them forward. Indeed, our Western Spirit project is now under construction in New Mexico.

What's an "early stage transmission development company?"  Is that what happens when you register a corporate name in Delaware, throw up a one-page website announcing you are "Coming Soon!", but you don't have any employees or funding, just another grandiose brain fart?  How soon is too soon to once again begin tilting at windmills after being kicked squarely in the mouth by spectacular, flaming failure?

The people have not forgotten.  Michael Skelly's reputation will precede him.  Who's going to give this guy another $200M to spend on crackpot transmission ideas?

Funny he doesn't mention his failure in his comments.  He says he "successfully permitted a three-state" transmission line.  Except there were no customers and the government cancelled its participation in the project, so there wasn't actually a permit after all.  The project (and the non-permit "permit") were cancelled.  That's not success.  The U.S. DOE never issued a "permit."  It issued a participation agreement based on certain conditions.  One condition was that the project had to have customers.  No customers, no project.  And furthermore, there is no developer who is "carrying forward" the Plains & Eastern Clean Line.  The project got chopped up and a portion bought up for an entirely different purpose.  That's not success, either.  Western Spirit?  You mean some other company did it better than Skelly?  That's also not success.  That's failure.

So, blah, blah, blah... you folks are just so nettlesome!
A decade ago, we as a country did not have such a fantastic opportunity set in front of us. However, in the ensuing years, both utilities and independent developers have been sorting through the nettlesome siting, permitting, cost allocation and grid connection challenges.
Nettlesome:  causing annoyance or difficulty. 

Michael Skelly wants you to stop annoying him.

Because "we as a country...".  Is that like last decade's "we as a society"?  Now Michael Skelly can speak for the whole country!  There ain't no "we" here.  Michael Skelly and his one-man band playing a nettlesome song for rural landowners.

Transmission plays a role in replacing the carbon and other pollution in these population centers with renewable sources of energy, thereby improving air quality for residents, and addressing long-standing environmental injustices.

Is that like the long-standing environmental and financial injustices Michael Skelly perpetrated upon Midwest landowners for a decade trying to build unneeded and unwanted transmission?  Oh, cry me a river of environmental injustice... then dam it up and generate electricity with it.  Make yourself useful.

Skelly tells the committee all about how transmission is paid for.  But he makes several critical errors.  On regionally-planned, cost-allocated projects with regulated cost-of-service rates:

While not a perfect policy tool, an Investment Tax Credit can make up for this deficiency in the planning process. The ITC would have the effect of lowering the denominator in the benefit to cost test. More lines would make it through the planning process, and we will end up with a lower carbon grid.

So, in other words, Skelly thinks that receiving a tax credit for 30% of the project's cost would lower the cost of the project at the regional planning level.  No, it would not.  The tax credit comes AFTER a project is put in service and is not guaranteed.  It cannot be fed into the RTO project cost estimate BEFORE is is planned.  Cart before horse.  The cost of the transmission project is the cost of the transmission project, sans tax credits.  Tax credits are completely separate things.  Utility ratemaking and taxes are complicated things.  Perhaps Skelly should ask someone who is an expert on these things before making crap up?  I was going to write a tutorial here, but then I figure why bother?  You don't care about the mechanics and I don't work for Michael Skelly.

Even worse is Skelly's take on merchant transmission rates:

The other type of transmission lines that get built are called “merchant” lines. These are typically built outside the conventional planning process, and their economics rely on generators paying the developers of merchant lines to deliver their power across long distances to get to market. An ITC will help reduce the cost of the transmission service, and therefore more lines would get built, and more renewable energy projects will follow.

Merchants assume all risk.  They also assume all costs.  The rate charged for a merchant project is negotiated between the customer and the transmission owner, not set by regulators.  A fair rate for merchant transmission service is set by market.  It's the highest cost a merchant can negotiate that is also attractive to the customer, a mutual agreement of the value of the project to the customer.  That value doesn't change because of tax credits.  Unless Skelly is proposing that rates are negotiated without the specter of tax credits, and then the value of the tax credit is subtracted from the agreed upon rate.  That's the only way the tax credit would reduce merchant transmission rates and pass through to ratepayers.

One last rate-geek thought here...  transmission is always, and I do mean always, paid for by the beneficiaries of the project.  If you don't benefit from transmission, you don't pay for it in your transmission bill.  The tax credit proposal completely upends this long-standing regulatory concept.  It replaces the beneficiary ratepayers with non-beneficiary taxpayers.  It's such a simple concept, even Michael Skelly might be able to understand it.  Just like we don't charge ratepayers in Alaska for a transmission line that serves Floridians, we don't charge taxpayers in Florida for a transmission line built in Alaska.

The transmission investment tax credit is a thoughtless, ignorant idea dreamed up by the greedy and stupid.  Its supporters keep digging a wider and wider hole.  There's no way out of this...  it simply doesn't work.

Maybe the most interesting thing about this is the fact that the "Macrogrid" disciples have hitched their star to Michael Skelly's Wagon of Failure.  That tells you all you need to know about the possibility of its success.

Gag me with a spoon!  A spoon?  Really?  I never understood the use of a spoon, but it makes me laugh nonetheless.  But who needs a spoon when you have Michael Skelly?
3 Comments

It depends upon what the meaning of the word 'is' is...

5/19/2021

1 Comment

 
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Briefs have been filed in the Missouri Public Service Commission case alleging that Invenergy is building a materially different project than the one the PSC permitted.  If the "new" Grain Belt Express project that Invenergy announced last summer is being built, then Invenergy has effectively abandoned the project it had permitted.  No permit, no project.  Invenergy admits that the "new" project would require new approvals from the PSC, but says it alone will set the timetable for when it applies for new approvals.  Meanwhile, Invenergy wants to use its current permit to build a different project, and ask for approval after the fact.

What's the harm in this?  Two words -- eminent domain.  The currently permitted GBE was granted eminent domain authority.  The possibility of eminent domain can be used as a tool to coerce landowners to sign voluntary easements.  Without eminent domain, there is no coercion.  It's as simple as that.  However it remains to be seen if the threat of eminent domain is enough to acquire necessary easements.  How scared are landowners?  Do they believe they will get a better deal before condemnation?  Why should they?  The "fair market value" of their property will not change and will be debated  at any condemnation proceeding by a panel of their peers.  Would landowners believe that they can get more by signing a voluntary easement?  My experience with eminent domain had a different result.  Because I resisted and forced the condemning party to face a court hearing, my value suddenly went up.  It was worth a lot of money to them to avoid the court.  How much?  Six times the original offer, and double that offered before condemnation.  It's a straight up poker game... who's bluffing... and who is forced to show their hand?

Anyhow... back to the briefs.  Invenergy claimed the Missouri Landowners Alliance presented no evidence that it was building a different GBE.  The MLA brief pointed out the specific language Invenergy used in its press release and other documents  and examined the definitive nature of its statements.  It wasn't about maybe, or perhaps, it was a straight up declaration of a new plan.  For example,
Among other indications that Grain Belt now intends to materially change the original project are these additional, unequivocal statements from their press release:
● “Invenergy Transmission, the owner and developer of the Grain Belt Express transmission line project (‘Grain Belt’) today announced plans to increase local clean energy access and accelerate billions of dollars in economic investment in Kansas and Missouri.” The statement does not say Respondents “might” or “are considering” those plans. It says they are hereby announcing them.

● “Economic recovery and long-term economic competitiveness in Kansas and Missouri depend on new investment, more jobs, and tapping into low-cost, homegrown clean energy, which Grain Belt is moving full speed ahead to deliver, said Kris Zadlo, SVP [with Invenergy] .... Grain Belt is proud to increase our investment in Kansas and Missouri to rebuild the economy, deliver billions of dollars in energy cost savings, and meet growing renewable energy demand.” (emphasis added). No ambiguities there.

● “As the new owner of Grain Belt, Invenergy Transmission plans to increase the project’s delivery capacity to Kansas and Missouri to up to 2,500 megawatts of the line’s 4,000 megawatt capacity .... Previously, 500 megawatts of the transmission line’s capacity was slated for delivery to Missouri.” (emphasis added). Again, Respondents’ plan to increase delivery of power to these two states was expressed in unequivocal terms.

● ”Grain Belt will provide critical power infrastructure to the region benefiting residents for decades to come.”

● Governor Laura Kelly of Kansas is quoted in the press release as stating that “[t]his impressive project is the latest example of Kansas’ place as a wind energy leader in our region and beyond.”

● According to the Kansas Secretary of Commerce, “the unwavering commitment from Governor Kelly to further support renewable sources is paying off in many ways, including this tremendous step forward in the Grain Belt Express.” He is further quoted as saying that the revised project “will deliver a significant economic boost to our rural communities in particular. The news couldn’t come at a better time.”

Clearly, these statements from the two Kansas officials would have been authorized for inclusion in the press release only if those individuals had been convinced that Respondents actually plan to move forward with the changes announced in the press release. Had Respondents told them that the revised plans were merely under consideration, the reaction from the Kansas officials would no doubt have been different from what they are quoted as saying in the press release.

● A representative of Renew Missouri is quoted in the press release as saying that “the benefits of Grain Belt have only grown with billions of dollars of added savings ....” Again, this statement is nonsensical unless the speaker had been led to believe that Respondents are committed to moving forward with the changes announced in the press release.

● Perhaps the clearest commitment by Respondents to materially change the original project is the following statement from the press release: “With increased delivery to Missouri ... Grain Belt will double its overall economic investment in Missouri to $1 billion .... Grain Belt will now make available as much as half or more of the project’s total capacity for Missourians.”

The importance of this statement lies in how this additional $500 million is to be spent on the project. As Mr. Zadlo acknowledged, the additional $500 million announced in the press release represents the added cost of increasing the capacity of the Missouri converter station by five-fold: from the original 500 MW to 2,500 MW.35 One could hardly argue that this change is not material.
And Respondents did not state that they were merely “considering” or “contemplating” the additional $500 million investment, which was earmarked for quintupling the size of the Missouri converter station. Instead, the press release states unequivocally that the new plans for the project “would” double the investment in Missouri to $1 billion.
In addition to the press release, in a letter sent from Respondents to landowners just this past December, Respondents included the following statements, again made unequivocally and with no hint that the plans announced therein were anything short of a firm commitment:

● “As you may be aware from recent news, Grain Belt Express has announced a proposed plan to increase the project’s delivery capacity for Kansas and Missouri consumers.”
● “Under this plan, up to 2,500 megawatts of Grain Belt’s 4,000-megawatt capacity would be delivered to Kansas and Missouri consumers .... This requires expanding the already-approved converter station in northeast Missouri.” Again, Respondents do not equivocate. The new plan “requires” the expansion of the Missouri converter station. As it turns out, it requires a five-fold increase in the size of that converter station. ● “Grain Belt Express will be seeking regulatory approval for this plan.” Again, this is a firm commitment to proceed with the project as modified by the announced changes. If Respondents had not already committed to making these changes, there would be no need to state that they “will be seeking regulatory approval” for the changes. This statement also recognizes that the changes being made are “material” enough to require Commission approval under the terms of the CCN decision.

● The letter also states that Respondents will be seeking approval to begin construction of the line prior to obtaining approval for the Illinois segment of the project. This statement confirms the description of the new project in the press release as constituting a “phased construction plan.”

And as counsel for Respondents conceded, “if phasing was to occur so that the Missouri and Kansas portion of the line was built before the Illinois and Indiana portion of the line, then we would likely consider that a material change and be before the Commission.” So the newly announced phasing plan definitely constitutes a material change to the project.

● A series of emails shown at Exhibit 6 indicate that a woman named Kimberly, acting on behalf of Grain Belt, was soliciting comments from the Governor of Kansas to be used in the August 25 press release. In an email of August 6, she informed a number of Kansas officials that “The project is moving into its next phase and the company plans to announce this development.” (emphasis added). She did not tell the Kansas officials that the project might be moving into a new phase. Instead, she unequivocally assured them that the project “is” moving into the next phase.
● Finally, in
his response to Data Request No. 8, Mr. Zadlo simply answered “yes” to the following question:
Do Respondents presently plan to eventually seek regulatory approval from the Missouri Commission for the changes described in the press release attached as Exhibit 1 to the Complaint in this case, assuming no other significant changes are proposed to the project as originally approved?

This answer says, plainly and simply, that Respondents do in fact “presently” plan to seek Commission approval for the changes they announced in the press release. Mr. Zadlo did not say they might do so, or that they were considering that as an option. He said they will be seeking approval for those changes, which necessarily means they have already decided to make the revisions announced in the press release. It follows that Respondents have abandoned the project as approved in the CCN case.
The press release also mentions that Grain Belt will seek regulatory approvals “to the extent necessary” for the revised project. That of course is a given. Respondents have no choice but to seek regulatory approval for what amounts to a new transmission project. But that fact has no bearing on the question of whether they have already decided, as they have said, to move “full speed ahead” with the revised project. And again, the statement reinforces the fact that Respondents themselves consider the proposed changes to be “material” enough to require Commission approval.

In attempting to explain away their answer to Data Request No. 8, Respondents claim that the revisions announced in the press release are merely “contemplated changes.” But that explanation misses the point. As of today the specifics of the new plan may well be in the “contemplated” stage, with final details still to be determined.

However, that does not mean Respondents have not already committed to building the project in accordance with the announcements in the press release, as opposed to the project approved in the CCN case. In fact, they have as much as promised officials in Kansas that those changes will be forthcoming.
Perhaps at some point Respondents realized the potential consequences of their announced changes to the project. But taking them at their word up to that point, they have clearly stated they are already committed to making material changes to the project originally approved by the Commission. For Respondents to now dismiss the press release as nothing more than “a marketing exercise” simply demonstrates a complete lack of transparency and credibility.

The same holds true for their after-the-fact attempt to dismiss the press release as merely announcing the supposed benefits of the line and “an openness by Grain Belt to increase the converter station and dropoff in Missouri.” That document goes well beyond that characterization. In fact, the additional consumer benefits would materialize only if the chances announced in the press release were implemented.

The more credible statements from Respondents concerning this project are those made before the Complaint was filed here. Assuming Respondents were not deliberately misleading Missouri landowners, public officials, and the general public up to that point, those statements can only mean that they have already decided to materially alter the project approved by the Commission.
Based on the foregoing, the design and engineering of the project presently being pursued by Respondents is materially different from that approved in the CCN case.

... she unequivocally assured them that the project “is” moving into the next phase.

Is it, or is it not?  I guess that depends on what your definition of is is.  Famous words from a famous equivocator.

The language clearly stated that Grain Belt Express was being changed.  The claims about the vagueness of this new plan only came after GBE realized it had stepped in it.

Is the MO PSC going to allow Invenergy to dictate how it regulates by allowing the company to permit its new transmission project after the fact?  I think the PSC has a greater duty to the citizens of Missouri than it has to an out-of-state corporation who appears less than honest.

1 Comment

Calling all Hypocrites...

5/19/2021

2 Comments

 
When is hypocrisy not hypocrisy?  When it enables corporate profit and political goals!

The divide between using eminent domain for gas and oil pipelines and using it for renewable energy transmission lines is becoming an issue.  For years, environmental groups have raged against eminent domain to acquire right of way for fossil fuel projects.  However, they are being advised to think differently when it comes to electric transmission "for renewables."  For some reason, this use of eminent domain is okay.  Can we just admit that it never was about eminent domain in the first place?  It's about politics, and these politics are riddled with hypocrisy.

This article just goes too far.  Written by a law firm scrounging for clients who want to re-write eminent domain law, it proposes to change the definition of "public use."  Cue the Supreme Courts...

The 5th Amendment of the Constitution reads:
No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a Grand Jury, except in cases arising in the land or naval forces, or in the Militia, when in actual service in time of War or public danger; nor shall any person be subject for the same offence to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb; nor shall be compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself, nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor shall private property be taken for public use, without just compensation.
Each state has its own version of this.  What is "public use?"  Your personal definition of it may differ, but we can all probably agree what it is not... it's not the confiscation of private property by others seeking to make a profit using it for their own purposes.  I cannot force my neighbor to sell me the use of his backyard so that I can plant a vegetable garden that will enable me to open a booth at the local farmer's market and make a profit selling produce.  So why should we allow a for-profit corporation to acquire my property to build a transmission line from which they will realize profit?  We did this in the past because the transmission line enabled others to have electricity.  The public was getting a benefit from having electricity.  We use it still when it enables the public to realize a benefit.  When a transmission line is needed for reliability, for instance.  However, we need to draw the line at using eminent domain to build transmission that may lower prices for a small segment of the population at the expense of another.  We need to draw the line at using eminent domain to build transmission for political reasons.  We need to draw the line at using eminent domain to build unneeded transmission designed for corporate profit.

This law firm proposes:
Soon enough, eminent domain policies will have to evolve to align with renewable energy policies in order for a complete overhaul of the grid system to be attainable. State and federal lawmakers will eventually have to address the issue by having to revise the definition of “public use” to account for transmission lines transporting renewable electricity.
We're going to have to re-define "public use" to suit your political goals and corporate profit? 

NO!

The last time the definition of "public use" arose was in the context of a high profile Supreme Court case, Kelo v. City of New London.  In that case, the Court narrowly decided that economic development (increasing the tax base) was a "public use."  The backlash was enormous.  Many states enacted new laws to thwart this ridiculous decision.   Any corporation can increase the tax base by turning residential property into commercial property, but are the tax benefits to the community a "public use?"

The same goes for taking private property to enable new generation choices.  Everyone who wants electricity has electricity.  Where's the public need?  It's nothing but politics, folks.

And here's something to consider that you may find surprising.  The liberal justices were the ones who supported eminent domain for economic development purposes.  Conservative justices dissented.  How might a new battle be decided?  And just how long might that take?  It would be much, much longer than renewable energy companies are willing to wait.

Can they quietly change the definition of "public use" written in the Constitution and in individual state law?  And if they did, how could they still use it to oppose eminent domain for fossil fuel use, but enable electric transmission "for renewables"?  The hypocrisy here is so thick you could cut it with a knife.
2 Comments

Grain Belt Express Seeks New $600 Million Taxpayer Handout

5/14/2021

4 Comments

 
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At a recent ACORE webinar trying to sell a new transmission investment tax credit to a friendly, money-spewing administration, GBE owner Invenergy stated that it NEEDED the proposed tax credit to "enable" the Grain Belt Express.
Financing large-scale, interregional transmission can be particularly challenging for merchant developers, said Shashank Sane, senior vice president and head of transmission at Invenergy.  “The beneficiaries of these projects can be diverse, and so in order to monetize the value of those lines, we have to find the stakeholder who is willing to pay for a certain benefit and create those links,” Sane said. “That’s really not the right model.”

For example, he said, Invenergy’s Grain Belt Express project now under development is aimed at bringing wind power from Kansas across Missouri, Illinois and ultimately to Indiana, providing a connection to MISO and PJM.

“The ITC is the key tool that will enable [the project] because it addresses the cost allocation problem and paying for those multiple benefits a single beneficiary is not willing to pay for,” Sane said.

The ITC is a new tax credit that will allow the owner of new transmission to take a credit on their taxes of 30% of the project's cost.  If Grain Belt Express is supposed to cost $2B (latest estimate I could find), then it would receive $600M (that's 600 MILLION!) of federal tax credits paid for by U.S. taxpayers.  What's more, the ITC is proposed to be refundable, if the transmission owner does not pay enough taxes to offset the credit it earns.  If Invenergy only owes $50M of federal taxes in the year it puts GBE in service, under the new proposal it could pay no taxes at all that year and receive a $550M tax refund from the federal government.

As a supposed merchant transmission project, GBE is supposed to pay for its own project and collect all its costs from voluntary customers who negotiate rates for service on GBE.  GBE is supposed to shoulder all risk of its project.  If GBE fails, there are no captive ratepayers to cover its costs.  However, GBE is now proposing, indeed saying it NEEDS, a new handout from American taxpayers in the neighborhood of $600M in order to build its project.

Just yesterday, GBE "needed" eminent domain to take land from Missouri farmers cheaper than it could acquire the same land in the free market.  Keeping land costs low keeps Invenergy's costs low, and lower costs translate to higher profits.  Today, GBE "needs" a $600M taxpayer handout to further increase its profits.  GBE just keeps "needing," and taking, more and more from people.

Isn't it time to say enough?

Stop enabling Invenergy's profits!  Start supporting the citizens of Missouri who elected you.
4 Comments

Transmission Tax Credits Interfere With Negotiated Rate Authority

5/14/2021

1 Comment

 
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Well, someone's been doing a little reading, haven't they?  Stick around, fellas, and maybe you'll learn enough about transmission rates to finally admit that your stupid ideas about building a useless and super expensive "macrogrid" just don't work.

The silly schemers behind the "22 shovel ready transmission projects" have finally recognized that there are two distinctly different types of transmission, traditional and merchant.  Can we get a hallelujah, boys and girls?  I'm guessing that they got a little worried that someone might recognize their lies, and that regulators certainly aren't going to fall for them.  So, they issued a new "report."  There's more "reports" in there than a 7th grade Social Studies class!  However, their "we meant to do that" ass-cover report does nothing but make excuses for their ignorance.  Do they really think regulators are going to buy this nonsense?

ACORE says that investment tax credits for transmission can be used by either type of transmission project.

Traditional:  The tax credits lower the cost of the transmission project and lower the amount captive ratepayers must pay for cost-of-service rates. *

Merchant:  The tax credits lower the amount of money the transmission owner needs to recover through rates, therefore the transmission owner can "offer" lower rates to voluntary customers it negotiates with, making the project more likely to find customers and be built.

Say what?  This is the biggest bunch of misleading propaganda I've read in a while.  Does ACORE really think regulators are going to buy that?
The tax credit would stimulate both of the main types of transmission projects—regulated rate- based projects and “merchant” lines whose costs are recovered through negotiated or market- based capacity reservations. In the case of regulated lines, a utility or Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) would allocate the costs through a state or federal (FERC) regulatory process across a set of wholesale or retail customers. In that case, the tax credit would reduce the costs paid by those customers and make the cost allocation and approval process easier so more projects can move forward. In the latter case of merchant projects, the transmission capacity reservation costs that developers need to recover from wholesale customers would be reduced by the tax credit. This would allow the transmission developer to offer a more attractive price to customers, increasing the odds of success.
A merchant project will have a set amount of capacity to offer through negotiation with willing buyers.  The project offers that capacity, and then negotiates the highest price it can get in the open market with voluntary customers.  Lowering the project's costs does not affect the market, or the negotiating power of the project.  The transmission owner will still negotiate individually with a voluntary pool of customers to contract the highest rates it can negotiate.  Paying less for the project because of a tax credit only increases the merchant transmission project's profit, it doesn't lower its rates.  Whoever came up with that idiotic idea needs to belly up to the bar and think of something else because this dog don't hunt.

And while you're scheming up your new scheme, don't lose sight of the fact that merchant transmission accepts all risk.  Any subsidization of merchant projects invalidates their merchant status and ability to fairly negotiate rates.  You can't give government or other handouts to merchant transmission and still call it merchant.  If you want to do that, we're going to have to regulate merchant transmission rates.  So, which is is going to be?

*The schemers have turned traditional transmission rates into Robin Hood Rates by replacing the current system of beneficiary pays with a new system where taxpayers fund the electric system based on income.  This upends the way utilities are paid for, and wrecks the regulatory system.
By reducing the cost of electricity, a transmission tax credit can significantly reduce the burden of electricity costs on lower-income Americans. Electricity costs are regressive in that they hit the lowest income Americans disproportionately hard. Electricity accounts for 3.7 percent of total household expenditures for lower-income Americans, versus only 1.4 percent for the highest-income Americans. This is because electricity is a necessity for many aspects of modern life, so the poorest Americans can only reduce their electricity consumption to a limited extent. Unlike other products, it is not possible to use a lower-cost substitute, as a kiloWatt-hour used by a lower-income family is the same and costs the same as one used by a higher-income family. In addition, lower-income Americans have less ability to invest in cost-saving energy efficiency upgrades. As a result, those in the highest 10 percent income bracket only spend twice as much on electricity as those in the lowest 10 percent bracket; for other goods, those in the top 10 percent spend nearly six times as much.In contrast, the federal taxes used to offset the cost of a transmission tax credit are much more progressive, with the top 10 percent of earners paying 60 percent of total federal taxes, and the bottom 30 percent paying negative tax rates due to policies like the earned income tax credit. As a result, a transmission tax credit that moves costs from utility bills to tax bills is very progressive.

It's also very illegal!!!  A public utility with an obligation to serve must charge the same rate to all similarly situated customers.  This means by customer class (residential, business, industrial) and not by individual customer income.  A public utility is prohibited from charging different rates to different customers based on their income.  A rich person pays the same for a kilowatt hour as a poor one because both use the same system at the same rate, and the sale of kilowatt hours is for the purpose of building and maintaining the system that produces and delivers that kilowatt hour.  Regulated utility rates are not about how much the consumer can or wants to pay, but about the consumer's share of how much the system costs to build and operate.

You cannot change regulated electric rates into some Robin Hood system based on income, race, or political affiliation by shifting the cost responsibility for electricity from ratepayers to taxpayers.  I think this idea might just be laughed out of regulatory venues.  Again, belly up to the bar... more ideas, more reports, more spinning your wheels doing dumb things.

The "macrogrid" just isn't going to happen.
1 Comment

Reliability Reality

5/13/2021

0 Comments

 
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Seems like the idea of "reliability" is a big thing these days.  When applied to electricity, what does it mean?  It means that when you flip the switch on the wall at your home, the lights go on.  And that may be the extent of what the general public knows about the "reliability" of their electricity.   These folks are gullible patsies for  greedy, electric industry propaganda.  The best propaganda disseminates a self-serving idea that plays on public fear.

How many stories have you read lately about things that fail without warning:  bridges... pipelines... electricity.  Bingo!  You're being fed a bunch of lies about "the electric grid" and its "reliability."
Developers of the Grain Belt Express say the massive transmission line remains on track to open up by 2025, connecting wind power in western Kansas with voracious demand in the East.
The 800-mile project promises to add more reliability to the electric grid — all the more enticing since rolling blackouts in February left millions of Americans without power. While the $2 billion overhead transmission line aims at exporting wind energy from Kansas, it will also be capable of moving electricity both directions, which could have helped mitigate the electricity crisis that hit the United States earlier this year.

Zadlo understands the opposition to the project. But he said the benefits for people here and across the United States are immense. Just like railroad cars transport coal from mines to refineries, the Grain Belt will move a much-needed resource to customers, while also strengthening the electrical grid.

"Reliability benefits all people, right? Increasing the reliability of the grid is a good societal impact," he said. "Whether you're in the city or in rural areas, you will benefit from the increased reliability that Grain Belt will bring."

Well, gosh, you might think that we NEED GBE to make sure the lights go on when we flip the switch.  However, this is nothing but propaganda designed to make you think we're just sitting around watching the grid rot and waiting for some non-utility corporation to build enormously profitable new transmission that serves their generation portfolio.  That would just be stupid!

Reliability is maintained through transmission planning by several independent regional transmission system operators.  Reliability planning is their main purpose!    In addition, utilities must meet rigorous reliability standards set and enforced by NERC, a federal reliability enforcement organization.  We don't leave reliability to chance!!!  Therefore when some vapid media piece tells you that our grid is "outdated," "creaky," "aged," "unreliable" you can be assured that none of that is true!  Our grid is kept reliable through strict regulation, planning and operation.  These are the organizations that deserve all the credit for keeping your lights on.

The regional transmission system operators have a robust transmission planning process that looks years into the future to ensure that the grid remains reliable in any scenario.  If we need new transmission for reliability purposes, then the buck stops there.  All transmission that we actually NEED for reliability is planned by the grid operator, assigned to a regulated utility, and ordered to be built, with the costs of the project allocated across the electric ratepayers who receive the benefit.  It works!

However, GBE is not one of these needed reliability projects.  No grid operator has planned, ordered, or allocated the costs of GBE to ratepayers.  Instead, GBE is an outside actor that is attempting to build transmission for its own purposes.  It is building transmission because it wants to make money.  It is not building transmission to be a public service.  GBE owner Invenergy has no obligation to serve electric consumers and it doesn't give a rat's patootie whether or not your lights come on when you flip the switch.  Invenergy simply wants to see lots of money in its bank account.

So when merchant transmission projects like GBE tell you that they will provide some necessary "reliability," it's nothing but bogus propaganda.  Any "reliability" provided by GBE is reliability we don't need.  If we needed it to keep the lights on, GBE would be a regional system operator planned, ordered and cost allocated project.  But it's not.  It's a private corporate foray into transmission whose only obligation is to its own balance sheet.

The reality of reliability is that we have an extensive, federally sanctioned system that ensures reliability.

Grain Belt Express is not part of that system.  We don't "need" it to make sure the lights go on when we flip the switch on the wall.
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Lies About The Energy Industry That Even Ron White Wouldn't Joke About

5/11/2021

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My eyes rolled so far back in my head this morning that it's taken half a day to regain their function.  It happened as a result of reading this article in the popular periodical, Institutional Investor.  Now, I'm not sure who actually reads this, but any readers should be aware that not only is the article full of energy fallacies that would make a junior high school science student laugh, but there is no "investment opportunity" for pensions and large companies to be found in electric transmission.  When the rubber of this grandiose brain fart hits the road of reality, it's going to be a giant blow out!

I gotta wonder, do these investors actually drop cash into investment schemes they know nothing about, advised by a couple of yahoos who know nothing about how electric transmission is actually paid for?  Aaron Bloom and Richard Wiggins should be laughed right outta the room for suggesting that non-utility corporations can invest in electric transmission and earn a GUARANTEED 9-11% return on their investment from ratepayers.

NO!

Their understanding of the financial side of transmission is probably being laughed at in utility and regulatory circles.  I hope they're suitably embarrassed for this faux pas.  It's sort of like someone who has never had a child telling someone who has many children how to be a parent.  Aaron and Richard have no idea what they're talking about!!  Their article rings nearly every single bell in this dire warning about fraudulent investment schemes!  Maybe Aaron should spend less time trying to act like P.T. Barnum's long-lost grandson and more time being a humble student at NextEra's transmission rates department?  Then he could actually know his subject matter before he opens his mouth on the investment sideshow circuit.  Obviously Aaron is not the smartest guy in the room, no matter how much he may think so.

I'm going to split this into two parts, the rates/investment lies part, and the energy lies part.  Let's do the rates thing first, because it just bugs me so much!  Aaron (maybe with the help of Richard?) has completely scrambled two very different ways to pay for new electric transmission into one too good to be true investment "opportunity." 

Updating the grid is going to be expensive: at least $150 billion of investment and probably closer to $200 billion. That’s a lot of coin, but here’s the good news: These investments will earn 9 to 11 percent because that’s the regulated return on transmission assets. This is what’s allowed under the regulatory compact that was first laid out in the Binghamton Bridge Supreme Court case of 1865 because transmission is a natural monopoly. This isn’t like the deregulated power generation market; there’s actual competition there so independent power producers like Calpine Corp. can — and do — go bankrupt. Investors can lose everything. Not here — these returns are guaranteed.

The formula is pretty simple. I won’t bother to explain it:

Total revenue requirement = rate base × allowed rate of return + expenses

Biden just unlocked private investment in the grid. It is the most fundamental infrastructure there is — a giant power cord that connects supply with demand. These are valuable assets so the private sector should be lining up to invest. David Swensen made his reputation by championing investment in novel asset classes, and this one is sitting right in front of us: X marks the spot. Pensions and large companies like Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon are sitting on mountains of cash that should be jonesing for private finance initiative projects to build transmission for the federal government, give operational control to a regional transmission organization, and receive the approved return from ratepayers. Do more than consume the power — bank the returns!

Just last week, I blogged about politician, bureaucrat and media confusion over the distinctly different traditional, utility-owned transmission project vs. the more recent merchant transmission construct.  I'm guessing Aaron and Richard didn't read it.  If they had, they never would have made such a colossal mistake.  At least we should hope not, since trying to sell this "investment" if they knew it was fraudulent is... well... fraud!

Only regulated utilities can build and own regulated electric transmission (referred to as the "traditional" kind in my recent blog).  Amazon could not decide to build a transmission project and receive a return from electric ratepayers.  That's not how the regulatory compact works.  (Aaron needs to drop into NextEra's legal department, too, on his way back to the huckster department.)  Regulated utilities do not need "investments" from Amazon to build transmission ordered by grid planners (not the federal government).  Regulated utilities invest THEIR OWN money in transmission projects... and that's why they are allowed a regulated 9-11% return.  The regulatory compact balances low rates for ratepayers with a return that is just enough to keep the utility financially healthy.  There's nothing in there about corporations who are not regulated utilities.  Ratepayers are not money fountains for private corporations.  Utilities are for the purpose of serving the public.  Amazon is not.  Furthermore, utilities would never allow a company like Amazon to invest in their projects and collect the entire return.  The utility wants (needs?) that return to keep its own company healthy.  There's nothing in it for a utility to pass on all its profits to Amazon.  Let's really stretch Aaron's brain here, shall we?  A utility's equity in a transmission project is usually in the neighborhood of 40-60%.  It only earns a return on its equity.  The remainder of the project is financed with debt.  And that's not debt from Amazon.  It might be a bank, who gives really good rates to utilities - maybe 6% or less, based on the utility's credit rating and guaranteed regulated revenue stream.  However, debt is paid back to the bank by ratepayers at the utility's borrowing rate, not its equity rate (6%, not 9-11%).  There is no regulated profit for the utility there.  In addition, the "turning over operational control" of new transmission to regional transmission organization is purely figurative.  RTOs don't own transmission.  It's not like a utility could build transmission and then give it to PJM and wash its hands of the responsibility while collecting its juicy ratepayer return.  Saying something like that just demonstrates a complete lack of knowledge about transmission... or pushing a conniving and fraudulent investment scheme.

The only investment space for companies like Amazon in the electric transmission world is merchant transmission.  Non-utilities can propose, build and own whatever they want in the non-regulated world of merchant transmission.  Go for it, Jeff Bezos!  However, merchant transmission is not regulated.  This means there is no revenue stream from captive ratepayers.  This means there are no guaranteed returns.  This is a deregulated transmission project market.  There’s actual competition there so merchant transmission developers like Clean Line Energy Partners, can — and do — go bankrupt and their investors can (and did!) lose everything.  Merchant transmission can only recover its costs through negotiated rates in a free market.  Merchant transmission must have voluntary customers to be financially viable.  There are no captive ratepayers.  The allowed return is the difference between the cost of service and the rate that can be voluntarily negotiated.  It is not guaranteed.  Nothing about merchant transmission is guaranteed by anyone.  It's a risky business, but if Amazon wants to dabble in it nobody is going to stop them.  But Amazon has to accept the full risk of losing its investment in its entirety.  Is that a good investment for pensions and corporations?  No, it's not.

Biden did not "unlock investment in the grid."  The only thing that is actually operational is some transmission loan guarantees from DOE.  That does not mean that Amazon can invest in the new merchant transmission Clean Line, called Grid United, and recover all its investment from the federal government when Grid United fails.  Merchant transmission assumes all risk.  If the federal government is taking on the risk, then it's no longer a merchant project and we're back to square one with the regulated utilities that aren't interested in Amazon's money.

Bottom line:  There is no "private investment" in regulated transmission.  There is no opportunity for companies like Amazon here.  Trying to sell it as a high yield, no risk investment opportunity would make P.T. Barnum blush.

Now, let's move on to the energy lies...
  1. Environmentalists are not winning.  They're losing.  Probably because of lies like this.
  2. We don't need ONE unified electric grid.  The bigger it gets, the more connections it makes, the bigger its chances of failure.  Cascading outages are a real risk when everything is connected.
  3. California and Texas can't keep their lights on in a crisis because they don't have enough reliable baseload generation that can run when called.  Renewables are variable resources that must be backed up with adequate baseload.  Build too many subsidized renewables and baseload is forced out of market and closes.  When your baseload closes, it is not incumbent upon other states or regions to sell you their electricity because you didn't plan your system properly.  If California and Texas planned and built for their own needs, instead of planning to be a power parasite, they would be able to keep their lights on. 
  4. Remote renewables are NOT "distributed" generation.  They are the same centralized generation + transmission model criticized in the article.
  5. Fifteen states DO NOT account for 87 percent of U.S. wind energy potential, most geographically far from the urban load centers where most of the country’s energy is consumed.  The article leaves out offshore wind, which has much more potential and is conveniently located nearly all of the major urban electric load.  Turning the Midwest into "the Saudi Arabia of wind" while keeping your own sea views pristine is just another parasitic move.
  6. If Wyoming wants to tax wind power, bravo!  There's nothing bad about that.  It's good for Wyoming.  Why should Wyoming become the parasites' power plant for free?
  7. The physics of distributed generation do work!
  8. Wires are not cheaper than batteries in all instances.  Consideration must also be given to who pays.
  9. It's only "cheaper" to build renewables because they are so heavily subsidized by taxpayers.  The real problem is that transmission is not an asset that can or should be subsidized. 
  10. The U.S. transmission grid is not inadequate.  It is not congested and old.  It is a carefully balanced high-tech machine that is constantly updated and it keeps the lights on, even when the wind doesn't blow.  (Had to add that... hope it hit the spot!)
  11. You can't pump any more electrons on to certain places in the grid because they don't need power there!  Building generation in remote places where no one needs it and then demanding that those folks pay to build you a road to get your product to market defeats any cost savings from building the generator there in the first place.  How about concentrating on building generation near load and saving us all a lot of money and headaches? 
  12. We don't need to double or triple the size of the electric grid.  We simply can't afford it.  Electric bills are high enough for most people, without doubling or tripling them.  (Investment opportunity!!!  Who is supposed to be paying for this?  There ain't no such thing as a free lunch!)
  13. The grid is not collapsing.  People may find it boring, but that's because it's serving its purpose and nobody has to think much about it.  However, if you triple electric bills, make the grid unreliable, and put huge lattice transmission towers across working farmland and in everyone's backyard I guarantee you that nobody would find it boring anymore.  They'd be talking about it constantly... and they'd be coming for your head with torches and pitchforks.
  14. The sun shines brightest and the wind blows hardest?  WTF?  Do you know how juvenile this crap sounds?  How condescending of you!  You glib little shit.
  15. The overhead grid on huge towers is an old idea that requires sacrifice from landowners who receive no benefit.  We don't have to build transmission this way anymore.  It can be buried on existing rights of way, like railroads or roadways, and no one would have to sacrifice.  In fact, transmission like that would probably face little to no opposition and sail through regulatory proceedings.  Why aren't we building that?  Why are we stuck in the past continuing to build new versions of Nikola Tesla's grid?
  16. Nobody cares how many jobs you create building stuff we don't need.  Maybe we should just pay these people to sit on the couch and call it a "job."  Oh wait... that's already happened.
  17. If you want low cost energy to increase America's productivity, building a whole new energy source and grid while continuing to pay off the perfectly adequate one we have now, isn't the way to accomplish it.  Switching to renewables is only going to drive prices up.  I don't believe any "low cost renewables" hogwash.  It does not pencil out.
  18. The only ones who can afford electric cars are the wealthy.  The other 99% are going to cling to their gas cars as long as they can, and then simply do without.  Every American is not going to switch to an electric car.
  19. A Tesla charged in WV is not a coal-powered car any more than one charged in New York City.  The entire grid is a mix of both "dirty" and "clean" electrons, however there are much more "dirty" ones than "clean" ones.  They get all mixed up.  You can't segregate them.
  20. Electrifying everything is putting all our eggs into one energy's basket.  That's terrifying.  When the electricity goes out at my all electric house, nothing works.  Not even the water.  That's why I have a diesel generator for back up.... and a charcoal-powered grill!  Diversity is a wonderful thing!
  21. We don't have room for forests of wind turbines and oceans of solar panels.  Build that crap in your own backyard.
  22. The idea that a 3-hour time difference from coast to coast will act as a buffer for renewables failure to produce when needed is preposterous.  It's only 3 hours.
  23. Other countries use more renewables.  They also pay exorbitant electric bills and, as a result, use much less electricity.  They are not adding things to their electric load, like cars and heat pumps.  Other countries have robust offshore wind generation.  We have one.  Other countries use buried transmission. We do not.
  24. ZzzzzzZZZssss... oh pardon me, I think I fell asleep reading all this drivel.
What a joke!  A joke for Ron White.

Aaron Bloom got run over by a Volvo;
Coming home from transmission rates class last night;
Some folks say there's no such real investment;
But as for these two hucksters, they believe.
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When Merchant Transmission Is No Longer Merchant

5/6/2021

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I touched on this the other day... merchant transmission is now looking for a handout of public money to finance their speculative transmission projects.

According to this old article, merchant transmission is an offshoot from traditional transmission projects built by utilities and approved by regulators on a cost-plus, rate-of-return basis.  Not all transmission projects are the same. 

"Traditional" transmission is planned by independent grid operators and assigned to incumbent public utilities.  The grid operator plans transmission for a reason, whether to keep the grid reliable, to avoid costly transmission congestion in order to lower prices for electric consumers, or in some instances for "public policy" reasons to meet state or local energy goals.  The reason is never overtly just for the transmission owner to make a profit.  Once the need for a new transmission project is determined by the grid operator, different proposals are evaluated using a number of factors, chiefly price.  Does the transmission project provide more benefits for electric consumers than costs?  Because captive electric consumers must pay for the project they need, this is designed to prevent building transmission that costs more to build than it provides in consumer benefits.  Hence, the "cost-plus, rate-of-return basis" in the description.  Electric consumers pay the cost of building the project, and the transmission owner collects its costs plus a regulated rate of return on their investment.  Because transmission is a utility monopoly (it's more efficient to build one line to serve many than it is to build multiple, competing lines to serve the same population) the amount of profit it can collect from captive consumers, who have no other options for service, must be held to a reasonable level.  Regulators determine the amount of profit to be fair to both the consumers who must pay it, and the utilities who invest their money in the project.

"Merchant" transmission is different.  It's strictly a money-making proposition whose profit is held in check by market conditions, not artificially set by regulators.  A merchant project gambles that its cost to build the project will be less than it can charge for service in a free, unregulated market.  Therefore, merchant projects do not need to go through rigorous vetting processes run by grid operators.  Because there are no captive customers who are required to pay the cost, no entity must determine a merchant project is needed, or that it is cost effective.  All the risk is on the merchant transmission developer.  A merchant developer pays all its own costs to develop and build its project.  In order to recoup its costs, plus profit, a merchant transmission project sells capacity (essentially a roadway to move electricity from one place to another) on its project to voluntary customers on a negotiated basis.  A merchant announces it is building a project, and opens a bidding window for willing customers to negotiate a price for service.  No one is required to take service, it's completely voluntary.  A customer will only sign up if the service is economic for the customer's purposes.  How much profit a merchant makes on its project is dependent upon the value of its service to potential customers.  If the cost to build the project is less than the rates a project can negotiate with its customers, then the merchant project is viable and successful.  Regulators consider this free market setting of rates to provide the mechanism to keep rates in check.  If a merchant charges too much for service in order to make a larger profit, then it won't have customers.  A merchant tries to hit that sweet spot between cost and rates where its project is attractive, but still provides a profit for the company.  Therefore, merchant projects are not regulated beyond some generalized review of the open season offering to customers and negotiations to ensure the merchant fairly evaluates bids and does not give undue preference to certain customers.  When a merchant project is owned by an entity with interests in generation or load-serving utilities, it is especially important to make sure the merchant does not give preference and lower prices to its own affiliates.  The amount a merchant can charge and the profit it can make are not regulated in any way.

This works on paper, but has been generally unsuccessful in real life.  I've concluded that the main reason for merchant transmission failure is that it cannot attract enough customers to hit that sweet spot for success.  A merchant relies on load-serving utilities to purchase its capacity (or contracts with generators to purchase power that includes merchant transmission capacity).  Many load-serving entities are affiliates of huge investor-owned utility conglomerates that also own generation and transmission of their own.  The transmission these companies own is the "traditional" variety, where the utility collects its transmission investment from captive customers.  Traditional transmission is a cash cow for these utility conglomerates because it supplies a slow and steady, regulated profit.  Utilities build transmission because it provides around a 10% return on their investment.  Do you get that kind of return on your investments?  Probably not.  This is why owning transmission is lucrative.

Merchant transmission asks the utility to purchase capacity from another company, and let that company earn a return.  The utility in this situation is only reimbursed on a dollar-for-dollar basis for the transmission capacity it purchases.  There is no profit in purchasing transmission from others.  So, why would a utility want to purchase transmission from a merchant when it could, instead, build and own the transmission project itself and realize a guaranteed profit?  To make it simpler, why buy the milk when you can own the cow?

Now that you know all there is to know about merchant transmission, let's go back to that "shovel-ready" transmission project proposal that was released with such fanfare last week.  The vast majority of the projects on the list are merchant transmission projects.  They've been ineffectively spinning their wheels for years trying to find enough customers to become commercially viable.  If a merchant does not have enough contracted customers, it does not have a sufficient revenue stream to be successful.  Utilities are generally eschewing merchant projects in favor of building their own transmission.  This situation is unlikely to change.  But merchant transmission really, really, really wants to be successful, and renewable energy companies want it to be successful so they don't end up paying any of the costs of new transmission planned by regional grid operators.  Renewable energy companies want to build profitable wind and solar farms in remote locations, but they don't want to pay the cost of getting their newly created product to market.  They want to rely on merchant transmission to do it for them, but merchant transmission can't attract customers.  This is the problem they're all trying to solve.

They're trying to solve it using YOUR money, and not their own.  They do stuff like release lists of merchant transmission they pretend is "shovel-ready" to try to interest a sadly uninformed federal government into showering them with taxpayer cash in the name of "infrastructure."  It's your money, little taxpayer, not the government's.  The schemers behind the 22-project "list" include merchant transmission companies and renewable energy generators.  These are the companies who will make a whole bunch of money if they can only get merchant transmission off the ground.  It includes Michael Skelly, famous for losing $200M of private investor cash on a failed merchant transmission scheme.

The schemers want the federal government to help them out.  If that happens, merchant transmission is no longer merchant.  It's dependent upon taxpayer money to succeed, and if it fails again it's only taxpayer money that is lost.  Private investors won't be risking anything if the government backs up the scheme with loan guarantees, tax credits, and customer mandates.  The schemers propose that the federal government power marketers be required to sign up as customers of merchant transmission and become resellers of the transmission capacity that the merchants are unable to sell to utilities.  This does not require utilities to become customers, and they won't.  It merely leaves the federal power marketer holding the bag on transmission capacity no one wants.  They don't consider that the federal power marketers are essentially running a utility.  They are a zero-sum game.  Their customers pay all their costs to operate, but because they are a government entity, they aren't trying to make a profit.  Their captive customers depend on the power marketer (such as TVA) to supply power.  All the costs of the power marketer are paid for by their captive customers.  If TVA gets left paying for transmission capacity that it cannot sell to investor-owned utilities, the cost falls to TVA customers, not the federal government.
  If the merchant is guaranteed to collect its costs from the TVA, then it can no longer negotiate prices in a free market that provides the necessary cap on profit.  If TVA is required to purchase capacity from merchants, the merchant can charge whatever it wants.  Where's the necessary regulation?  It does not exist!

There are also problems with federal loan guarantees.  When Michael Skelly spent $200M on his failed merchant projects, the only ones who lost money were the investors.  If the federal government now guarantees a loan for a merchant project will be repaid, then the U.S. taxpayers are the investors who will be left with nothing but debt.  The merchant has absolutely no risk and will still be whole after failure.  This is NOT a merchant construct!

And let's talk about those tax credits... where does the money for those come from?  Taxpayers.  If a merchant transmission company pays less taxes, that means you have to pay more to maintain the same amount of government.  What's more, the proposed tax credits are supposed to be convertible to cash.  If a company eligible for the tax credit cannot use the credit to reduce its tax burden because it pays little to no tax, the government will PAY them the amount of the tax credit as a refund.  Outrageous!  The schemers say tax credits are necessary for merchant projects because:
One of the most urgently needed policy changes, several clean energy experts and transmission developers argue, is an investment tax credit specifically for transmission projects, which would allow developers to deduct a certain percentage of their costs from their federal taxes. A bill establishing a tax credit for transmission lines has already been introduced by Senator Martin Heinrich, a Democrat from New Mexico, and the concept also appears in Biden’s major infrastructure proposal, the American Jobs Plan. 

Whereas utilities know they can recover the cost of new transmission lines from the ratepayers they already serve, private developers need to confirm that at least a portion of the energy they transport will be purchased, whether it’s by utilities themselves or large corporate energy users like data companies. Many developers, Gramlich said, are ready to begin building, but don’t have quite enough customers to comfortably pull the trigger on construction. A tax credit would help the “project economics pencil out,” he explained, boosting transmission projects over the hump toward completion. 

So tax credits are to be used to reduce the cost of merchant transmission so they don't have to find as many customers in order to make their projects profitable?  Again, providing a risk-free environment for a market based project obliterates its "merchant" construct.

Merchant transmission assumes all financial risk for its project.  In exchange for little to no regulation on its profits, a merchant assumes all financial risk of its project's viability.  Handing a merchant taxpayer cash shifts risk to taxpayers.  If we're going to make taxpayers captive investors in merchant projects, then they are no longer merchants and must be regulated like "traditional" transmission.  There must be a need for the project, it must be cost effective as determined by an independent grid operator, and its profits must be kept in check by regulators.

Instead, these greedy schemers are asking for you to become a captive investor in their project without earning any return at all for your risk.

The schemers might be able to pull the wool over the media's eyes, and also those of government bureaucrats that don't know the difference between merchant and traditional transmission, but they'll never succeed at pulling the wool over the eyes of experienced regulators.  Maybe when merchant negotiated rate authority begins being vacated and denied, people will get wise.  Until then, it's a merchant transmission feeding frenzy on taxpayer funds, even though these projects are no longer actually merchants.
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What Will You Give?

5/5/2021

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Joe Kalin in News-Press Now
Will you remember him when you turn on the "clean" electricity the media tells me you're "demanding?"

Read Joe Kalin's story in the St. Joseph, Missouri, News Press.
Joe Kalin has fond memories of growing up in the Buchanan County countryside.
His father came from Switzerland and turned 87 acres near Faucett, Missouri, into a successful dairy farm, where Kalin lived and worked with four brothers and a sister. Before passing it to the next generation, Kalin’s father instilled a deep appreciation for the land and its productive capacity.
“My parents both come from the old country,” said Kalin, now 84. “My father, he loved to farm. It was given to us boys as an inheritance. We were always told to take care of it, that it would care of us.”

Mr. Kalin is being threatened with eminent domain so that a merchant transmission company can build an overhead electric transmission line across his family farm. 
It’s a 780-mile, high-voltage transmission line that threatens to cut through the land that brought John Kalin to America in the 1920s. The project, known as the Grain Belt Express, seeks to transfer wind power from western Kansas to population centers east of the Mississippi River.
Perhaps for you, dear reader.  Are you a person east of the Mississippi who has been demanding "clean energy?"  Do you know and appreciate what it's going to take to fulfill your "demands?"  There are millions of Joe Kalins between your house and that fictional "Saudi Arabia of Wind" located vaguely somewhere in the Midwest.  It's time to get acquainted.  Remember his face!  And think about what he's being asked to sacrifice so that you can assuage your climate guilt by pretending the electricity you freely use is "clean." 
For his part, Kalin said he isn’t against green energy but opposes being forced to pay the price while others reap the benefits. He doesn’t want to look out the window and see 150-foot power poles where his father once saw a landscape reminiscent of an alpine meadow.
“I don’t like the government telling people what they can do and can’t do with their land,” he said.

Mr. Kalin isn't going to use any of the electricity that's proposed to cross his farm.  He gets no benefit.  Just sacrifice.  If he has to sacrifice in the name of "clean energy," what sacrifice are you making?

No, I'm serious.  I want to know what you're sacrificing for the sake of the climate.  I mean personally, not some generalized feel good buzzwords.  Go ahead, post a comment.  I want to hear from you.

Are you donating a portion of your private property for the use of a profit-generating corporation?  Mr. Kalin is being told he must allow an easement across his own property so a corporation can make money.

Are  you donating a portion of your 401(K) to some climate change reversing business?  How much?  A farmer's retirement is his land.  When his land is appropriated for someone else's use, it reduces the productivity and future uses for his farmland.  It reduces the value of his retirement nest egg.

I have yet to hear from one person demanding clean energy, just one for goodness sake, who can say their sacrifice in the name of "climate change" is as significant as Joe Kalin's.

Don't turn a blind eye to the reality of "clean energy."  And don't give me a list of "whataboutisms".  They don't impress me.  Everything you do affects someone else.  When are you going to be responsible for your own needs?  Or are you just that type of person who gladly walks over others to benefit yourself?
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22 Transmission Ideas + Free Government Cheese = Rat Infestation

4/30/2021

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He's back!  Thought you were done with Michael Skelly for good when his Clean Line Energy Partners went belly up after wasting $200M of investors' money?  Sorry.  The smell of free government cheese was apparently too much for him.  He's back... as a "founder" of Grid United.  Grid United LLC was just created a couple weeks ago and registered in Delaware.  Gosh, where have we seen all this before?
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Isn't this the way the Clean Line money burner started?  I wonder if he's called up Jimmy and Jayshree to join him again?  So... what sparked this sudden interest to join the transmission world again after such a spectacular failure?

Free government cheese!  If you put out the cheese, the rats will come!

It appears that the people and corporations who will make enormous profits from overbuilding new transmission, along with "big green" non-governmental organizations who seek to fatten their own bottom line and reach their own political goals, have been elected to the White House.  It's no coincidence that the cabals seeking political power and riches beyond imagination have taken control of U.S. energy policy.  It's also no coincidence that the White House announced new actions to "upgrade America's power infrastructure" at the very same time that one of the cabals announced a new list of 22 "shovel ready" transmission projects.  It's quite clear who is in control here.  It's corporate interests.  The swamp has been rewatered and the creatures are multiplying.

Along with the 22 "shovel ready" transmission projects, the White House announced more than $8B of federal loan guarantees for "innovative" transmission projects.
“DOE is making financing available for projects that improve resilience and expand transmission capacity across the electrical grid, so we can reliably move clean energy from places where it’s produced to places where it’s needed most,” said Secretary of Energy Jennifer M. Granholm.
Holy Solyndra, Batman!  Gosh, what if Skelly could get his hands on $8B of free government cheese to spend on a new suite of Clean Line... err... Grid United... transmission ideas?  Since no private investor would be likely to give him another penny for his transmission ideas, it's up to the federal government to give OUR money away for Skelly to play with.  And where are those "places where it's needed most?"  I've been trying to get this meaningless platitude defined for years now without success.  I think it means turning rural America into an industrial power plant for urban needs.  For some reason, urban needs are "most" and rural needs are sacrificed.  Environmental justice?  No, just a bunch of hypocrites of the highest order who intend to place their energy infrastructure on precious farmland and through the backyards of hundreds of thousands of rural residents, even though these "peasants" won't get any benefit from it.  The DOE pretends that its free government cheese is only for "innovative" transmission projects, however the list of 22 "shovel ready" transmission projects includes mostly old technology  projects that have been bumping along unsuccessfully for decades.  There's nothing innovative here... overhead wires and hulking lattice structures hundreds of feet tall are something that Thomas Edison would recognize!  There are only a handful of quasi-innovative projects on the list -- those that are buried underwater or along existing rights of way.  And even then, they are based on the century-old idea of centralized generation and miles of transmission wire.  What's truly innovative?  This!  Distributed generation, making power where it's used, is our future however there is no free government cheese for this truly innovative new energy idea.

What projects are on the list?  Of course, Grain Belt Express makes the list, but it's not the project Invenergy is trying to build.  The project on the list includes the leg through Illinois, although Invenergy has announced that it only wants to build the portion through Kansas and Missouri.  It seems the "list" only includes Skelly's version of it.  Is he going to buy it back from Polsky?  Stab him in the back this time?  Completing Skelly's dream is the Plains and Eastern project.  It's on the list, although it was abandoned more than 4 years ago!  Is Skelly going to buy that one back from NextEra?  Adding to the mystery is the "new" Plains and Eastern's route.  It ends abruptly at the Arkansas border.  It does not continue through Arkansas to make the connection at Memphis that Skelly originally envisioned.  In fact, Skelly never envisioned a connection point at the Arkansas border.  What's there?  Is that a strong connection point where a gigantic 4,000 MW converter station can be built?  Nobody knows... it all seems like simple artwork fantasy.
Picture
Observing the report’s map, Skelly said, “If you squint a little bit, you can see the beginnings of what would be a nationally connected system. Obviously, there are plenty of gaps here, but … if these lines get done, then we have the beginnings of a something” that could “grow organically into a national grid.”
Ahh, geez, if you squint a bit you can also see an infestation of fat rats swarming the cheese.  A squinting transmission plan and free government cheese?  Is this what now passes for national energy policy?  Stop the crazy!  But wait, there's more...
Among the projects are a few originally proposed by Michael Skelly’s defunct Clean Line Energy Partners, including the Grain Belt Express and the Plains & Eastern Clean Line.

“The reason we put these projects on the list is because they’re sited, and they’ve got interconnect agreements, and they’ve got studies; they’re ready to go,” said Skelly, now a senior adviser at Lazard, who joined ACEG Executive Director Rob Gramlich and several representatives of the listed projects’ developers in presenting the report.

Say what?  These projects have interconnection agreements?  That is a BIG FAT LIE.  Neither of these projects have signed interconnection agreements for both ends of the extension cord.  In fact, Grain Belt Express seems to be hedging its bets about where it will interconnect lately.  Will it be Ralls County?  Will it be Randolph County?  Will it be Indiana?  Invenergy says it has no idea.  No idea at all.  In addition, nobody knows what NextEra intends to do with the Oklahoma portion of Plains and Eastern that it purchased.  It's done nothing to make a new project out of the ashes of the old one.  However, Skelly's new cabal has some more policies it wants to put in place using its new perch at the White House.

Given the scale of transmission need discussed above, other policies to enable large-scale expansion of transmission over the longer-term are also needed.

Anchor Tenant

Legislation could be enacted to direct the federal government to directly invest in new transmission lines as an “anchor tenant” customer, and then re-sell that contracted transmission capacity to renewable developers and others seeking to use the transmission line. This would help provide the certainty needed to move transmission projects to construction and overcome what is called the “chicken-and-the-egg problem,” in which renewable developers and transmission developers are each waiting for the other to go first due to the mismatch in the length of time it takes each to complete construction.

FERC Transmission Planning and Cost Allocation Reform
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has authority over how transmission is planned and paid for. FERC can use that authority to break the transmission planning and cost allocation logjams that are preventing large regional and inter-regional lines from being built. Legislation to direct FERC to use that authority could also be helpful.

Streamlined Permitting
While most authority for permitting transmission lines is held by states, federal agencies have authority over lines that cross federal lands. Steps can be taken to streamline and expedite that process, which can currently take a decade or more.

Hey, remember why Plains and Eastern failed in the first place?  It was because the TVA (federal power marketer) refused to sign on as an anchor tenant and be Clean Line's customer.  Skelly aims to fix that by requiring that the federal government hold the hot potato of transmission capacity nobody wants or needs.  The government would pay Skelly for his project and then maybe re-sell capacity to someone else as a middle man.  And if the government is as unsuccessful as Skelly at selling transmission capacity to a utility that wants it?  Well, then, no harm done.  The government can just continue to fund unneeded transmission that nobody uses... forever.  This is absurd, uneconomic and just plain stupid.

There's so much free government cheese here it makes my head spin!

Free transmission tax credits.
Free government loan guarantees.
Guaranteed purchase of new capacity.
New federal government siting and permitting.
Wider cost allocation so consumers don't notice how expensive it is.
New rate incentives for transmission.
New federal planning to increase transmission expansion.

It's like different branches of the federal government are trying to out-do each other by providing layer upon layer upon layer of new cheese handouts for transmission developers.  None of it is coordinated and designed to work together.  It's a buffet line of government handouts for transmission.  A tax credit here, a loan there, a customer contract on the side, a handful of new federal permitting authority, a bowl of new rate incentives.  This is the epitome of bloated, ubiquitous government controlling your life and your wallet.  Nose to the grindstone, little serf, we've got lots of big government to pay for!!

Let's take a sanity break for just a moment, shall we?  Nearly all of the 22 transmission projects on the "shovel ready" list are merchant transmission projects.  What are merchant transmission projects?  Merchant transmission projects are distinguished from those planned by traditional public utilities in that such projects assume all the market risks, and have no captive pool of customers from which to recoup the project's costs.  Merchant projects assume ALL market risk!  They pay for themselves.  They do not have any guaranteed stream of revenue from any captive customers.  Because they have no captive customers, they are not regulated.  Transmission with captive customers (such as the proposed federal government anchor customers, or perhaps the taxpayers who are paying for all the free cheese being handed out) must be regulated because the regulation serves as stand-in for competition in a free market.  You cannot allow these monopoly constructs to charge as much as they want when there is no competition.  But, yet, that is exactly what the federal government is now proposing.  It is proposing to make itself a captive customer of an unregulated monopoly.  It is proposing to make U.S. taxpayers captive customers of an unregulated monopoly.  If we're going to start handing cash and guarantees to merchant transmission developers, THEY MUST BE FULLY REGULATED!  When they are regulated they can no longer charge negotiated rates, and they must pass cost/benefit tests that guarantee consumers will receive more benefit than the project costs to build.  There must be a fully vetted reason to build them, aside from corporate profit.  You cannot hand public money to unregulated monopolies!

And let's end, for the time being, with a little irony, shall we?  After he flamed out in the world of transmission, Michael Skelly became an activist against highway expansion in his own hometown of Houston.  Let's take a look at his comments in a recent news article about the highway project:

Community opponents of the highway expansion said TxDOT’s only solution to ease traffic problems and congestion is to build more highways, which, besides allowing more cars on the road, also covers more city area with asphalt and concrete. This has considerably increased flooding in areas surrounding highways, many of which have suffered disproportionately since Hurricane Harvey in August 2017, they said.
Michael Skelly, a local activist with the Make I-45 Better Coalition, said TxDOT has consistently ignored residents’ input on project design despite several public hearings. “In 2015, a few of us residents got together and submitted our comments to TxDOT on a 2017 draft project,” he said. “It soon became clear they were not going to commit to anything.”

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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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