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American Genius:  Combining highways and electric transmission

5/26/2023

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Missouri is proceeding with a study of upgrading its Highway 36 into Interstate 72 in conjunction with the widening of Interstate 70, which runs through Kansas, Missouri and Illinois.

The study is going to cost Missouri taxpayers $2.5M.  Upgrading the highways is going to cost them even more.  What if there was a way to pay for these road improvements that didn't involve taxpayer funding?

Such an opportunity has existed for over a decade now, but Missouri lawmakers refuse to consider what's right in front of them.  What if Grain Belt Express was required to site its project buried on the edges of the new road right-of-way, instead of building it overhead on new rights-of-way across private property?  Instead of paying landowners millions of dollars in compensation payments for ruining their land, what if GBE simply paid the state those millions to use its road right-of-way?  The road improvements could get done faster and cheaper, and GBE would not have to struggle to acquire land from citizens against their will.  GBE would only have to negotiate with one landowner, the highway administration.

It's pure genius... a fitting use for Highway 36, which has been dubbed, "The Way of American Genius."  It practically writes its own press release.  You're welcome.

But, but, but, you say, there's a million reasons why GBE cannot exist with highways.  But, really there isn't.  All those old excuses have been dispelled by up-to-date research, science, and implementation.

READ the information provided on The Ray's website.  This non-profit organization has a mission to build "a movement to build net-zero highways."  It makes ever so much more sense to combine new highways with new transmission with new technology to create a useful system that not only doesn't cause new burdens on private landowners, but delivers so many benefits that we will find useful in the future.

The article about Highway 36 says,
Riggs said he hopes MoDOT’s study looks at ways to make the future interstate “agriculturally friendly” to farmers can co-exist with freight traffic. In addition, he wants the upgrades to include electric vehicle charging stations.
What if those charging stations could be built along the highway using the DC power carried by GBE?  I know, brain explosion, right?  Maybe you want to let Rep. Louis Riggs, a Hannibal Republican, know about The Ray's work so he can use that information to make sure the new Highway 36 builds for the future, instead of the past.  You can contact him here. 

There's nothing stopping Grain Belt Express from changing its plan to route its project buried along a new Highway 36, except that they don't want to.  GBE has poured tons of money into its last century plan to build a DC transmission line overhead across over 200 miles of private property in Missouri in parallel to the existing Highway 36, even though better ideas were right there all along!  Any extra cost for the company is entirely GBE's fault because it chose to pursue an outdated project model when new research and discoveries pointed to better solutions.

We need to tell everyone about the possibilities of modern highways and modern transmission working together to propel us into a bright future!
1 Comment

I Hope You Enjoy Sweating

5/5/2023

2 Comments

 
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Texas grid operators and regulators are warning of the possibility of blackouts this summer.  They say that there is not enough dispatchable generation to cover periods when renewables like solar and wind are not performing.  A dispatchable generator can generate electricity when needed.  An intermittent renewable generator only generates power when nature provides the fuel.
Lake said this summer, the riskiest hours on the hottest days could be closer to the 9 p.m. timeframe when solar power goes away with the sunset.
"It's still hot at 9 p.m. The sun sets faster than the atmosphere cools, and our solar generation is all gone. So at that point in the day, we will be relying on wind generation,” he said.  "If the wind does not pick up, we will have to rely on our on-demand, dispatchable generators. And the data is showing us that on our hottest days under a certain set of circumstances, we may not have enough on-demand, dispatchable generation to cover the gap between when the sun sets -- and we lose the solar -- and when our wind generation picks up.” 
So if there's not enough wind on those hottest days, outages are possible after sunset.
But it's not just Texas.  The Southwest Power Pool, that operates the grid in the southwestern plains has also issued an alert for next week.
SPP has issued a resource advisory for its 14-state balancing authority area in the Eastern Interconnection next week, effective Monday at 10 a.m. CT through 8 p.m. Tuesday, because of an expected shortfall from wind resources and generating units offline on maintenance outages.

The difference is a forecast that projects wind energy to be significantly lower during the advisory period.
And it's not just ERCOT and SPP.  The Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) is warning that there could be problems this summer.
"Relatively low wind volatility but low production levels can stress some of our operations conditions as we do have a lot more wind in our system than we have had in the past," Kuzman said. MISO's summer wind forecasts tend to be off by 800-1,200 MW, and there is usually a falloff of wind output in August, he said.
And it's not just ERCOT and SPP and MISO, PJM Interconnection, the grid operator for Mid-Atlantic states recently issued its own warning.
Power supplies in the US PJM Interconnection could get dangerously tight this summer if there is high demand and high outages -- a situation that would require the grid operator to rely on demand response to maintain reliability, Mike Bryson, senior vice president of operations at PJM, said May 4.

When PJM looked at the combination of unexpectedly high demand and high outages, it saw "for the first time that we would be below operating reserves for the summer," Bryson told a meeting of the Illinois Commerce Commission.
It's no longer a fluke or a coincidence.  It's reality, and it's spreading.  Environmental groups say "don't blame wind and solar, blame increasingly bad weather."  And of course, that increasingly bad weather, they claim, is a direct result of "climate change" and "climate change" is caused by reliable baseload power generators, like coal and gas.  So, if we turn off all the fossil fuels, will the weather change enough to provide 24/7 dependable wind and solar power?  Absolutely not.  This is a ridiculous contention.

Here's a good article on how and why this resource inadequacy is spreading like the plague.
“What other states do has a great effect on the grid. For example, any of the [PJM] states that say they’re going to go completely green or clean or whatever you want to call it — they say they’re not going to use any more fossil fuel. Well, that means they’re going to rely on someone else to provide power for them in those times when these clean and green energy projects don’t work. They’re intermittent; they depend on the time of day. The example I use is: Where does the power come from for a solar array at three o’clock in the morning?”
PJM is the last fossil-fuel generating hold out, and in the face of its own looming reliability problems, it can no longer be the powerhouse of the eastern interconnection.

Are these the solutions the clean energy peddlars and our bloated, woke government see?  They'll be the first to scream when the lights go out.
“There are two solutions: There will be certain times when you operate your appliances or charge your car or whatever, or there will be rolling blackouts. Neither of those sound like very good options to me.”
2 Comments

Ogres, Orks, Obakes and Offsets

4/30/2023

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What do these four things have in common?  They are entirely mythical.  They simply don't exist in reality.

This article caught my eye this week.  Google is partnering up with EDPR to build "community solar" that will power Google's gigantic data center power suck.  Except they won't.  The new solar projects won't provide power to Google data centers.  They will simply "offset" Google's enormous thirst for electricity supplied by coal and gas-fired power plants.  After all, if Google actually powered its data centers with solar, you wouldn't be able to use Google after dark, and everything would be erased by dawn each morning.  Instead, Google uses good old reliable fossil fuel burning electricity and activates its climate guilt to build renewables somewhere else for someone else to use.

It's a scheme that has been around for awhile.  Years ago, I investigated "renewable energy credits", or RECs to find out that they aren't actually energy at all.  While renewable generators provide and sell power to actual customers, they also sell RECs.  A REC is the social and environmental attributes of renewable power.  It is a completely separate product that is bought and sold, although it doesn't actually exist.  A REC is mythical, just like an offset.  An offset pretends that a power customer like Google can "offset" its carbon footprint by producing enough renewable power to match its use of fossil fuel power.  They believe if they produce as much power as they use then it negates their use of power.  Someone else's use of that power is supposed to substitute for that person's use of dirty power.  Except does it really?  If Google cannot rely on solar power 24/7, can anyone else?  Of course not.  We all use power 24/7.  This is starting to sound like a pyramid scheme where other people get stuck using unreliable renewable power 24/7 while Google uses all the good, reliable stuff without guilt because it has "offsets."

This is pure nonsense!

Sure, giving away money generated by the sale of community solar power is all Robin Hood-ish.  But would the community solar actually benefit the community in which it was sited if that community did not meet the financial qualifications?  Or is Google going to build these community solar projects in rural areas and give the profits to energy users in urban areas that qualify?  It's all so much fairy tale fantasy.

Ditto on the idea that overbuilding of renewables and connecting them all by overbuilding transmission can somehow make up for renewable power's unreliable intermittency.  But yet the political minions claim this to be so because it all works out on average.  Average.  A math problem.  If we have this much renewable power, and it has an average capacity factor of 30%, then if we build 70% more than we actually need that will create a 100% capacity factor. 

Capacity factor is the percentage of a power plant's maximum capacity that is actually produced.  Power plants cycle up and cycle down to follow load.  They don't run at their full capacity all the time.  However, renewable generators cycle up and cycle down at the whim of nature and load is supposed to follow them.  There's the difference.

Presuming that a region with lots of intermittent renewable power can "borrow" from its neighboring region when it doesn't have enough power doesn't work because its not a math problem.  It's reality.  What if the neighboring region is also experiencing inadequate generation?  Night is long, and an hour's time difference isn't going to cover it.  Say the sun sets in the Pacific at 9:00 p.m., and the sun rises over the Atlantic at 6 a.m.  There's a three hour time difference, so the Pacific solar generation ends at midnight Atlantic time.  It's still 6 hours before the sun rises there. 

Battery power, you say?  But we don't have the technology to store electricity for long periods of time, batteries are very expensive, and they come with their own environmental burdens.  Not a solution.

We have not found the "clean power" silver bullet.  It's not wind + solar + transmission.  However, saying it is makes certain people and certain companies very, very rich.  What a bunch of patsies!  Making crap up for the sake of political and financial gain is never going to stop.  However, we can all get a lot smarter and stop believing it.

When the power flickers on and off in the middle of the night, I used to think it was an equipment failure somewhere, roll over, and go back to sleep.  Now when it happens, I feel compelled to get out of bed to check my phone to make sure the grid hasn't crashed in a spectacular way before I can relax enough to go back to sleep.  Welcome to the land of Ogres, Orks, Obakes and Offsets.
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Chump Change

4/19/2023

1 Comment

 
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An insignificant amount of money that is thought to be a lot of money by a blockheaded chump.

I see that Buchanan County, Missouri, signed a Grain Belt Express Road Use Agreement for chump change, seemingly because Randolph County did it first.
...in the Buchanan County Courthouse, where Grain Belt has agreed to pay more than $300,000 over 20 years to bring the power line through this area.
The deal, based on a similar agreement in Randolph County, would provide Buchanan County with one lump-sum payment of $75,000 plus $15,000 annually for 20 years.

So there Buchanan County was, in the catbird seat where it could have asked for anything in exchange for signing Grain Belt's agreement... and they settled for chump change.

Why is $75K up front and $15K a year an insignificant amount for Buchanan County?  According to the Google Gods, Buchanan County's annual budget for 2022 was $85.6 million.  That's MILLION.  Those Grain Belt payments are hardly going to make a dent in that.

Grain Belt could be using (and abusing?) Buchanan County's roads during construction of GBE (if it actually ever finds any customers to create project revenue).  The agreement says GBE will repair the roads after construction.  Right.  I'm sure GBE will cheerfully agree to repair every road it damages, even those off the haul routes, or ones where nobody has proof that GBE contractors caused the damage.  The key point here is that GBE will only repair the roads that it agrees it damaged.  I've yet to find a construction truck that admits or apologizes for road or berm damage.  Good luck, Buchanan County!

Even after construction is "complete," the transmission line could be there for perpetuity and like any aging transmission line it may need repairs and upgrades.  Good luck there, Buchanan County!

So, how much is $15K in Grain Belt's world?  It would be like me flipping a dime at one of those professional panhandlers that stand at traffic lights pretending to be homeless.  Did Buchanan County stop to consider (maybe even ask) how much revenue GBE could bring in if it ever finds any customers to pay for it?  It's probably a lot more than $15,000 per year.  It's probably more like $15,000 per hour.

Gosh, what a deal you made for your citizens, Buchanan County!

If they weren't sure of the relevance of $15K to GBE and whether or not it was a considerable sum for allowing GBE to cross county roads, maybe they could have assured that they were paid what it was worth by asking for a percentage of the annual profit, instead of a set sum that becomes less and less valuable over time as the value of money falls.

Chump:  a foolish or easily deceived person.
1 Comment

About As Sneaky As A Herd Of Elephants

3/18/2023

2 Comments

 
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Well, hey now, what's that noise?  Is it a herd of elephants thundering through private property across the west?

This lovely article says:
John Arnold, a billionaire from Houston, is making a big bet on modernizing the outdated transmission infrastructure in the United States to transport electricity to areas where it is needed, including the distribution of wind and solar energy to towns and cities nationwide for the clean-energy transition. 
Arnold told Bloomberg he has invested "several hundred million dollars" into Houston-based Grid United, a company he co-founded with transmission line developer Michael Skelly, to purchase land, easements, and the necessary permits for constructing electric highways that can stretch hundreds of miles.
Mikey's got a new sugar daddy!  You might be wondering how he found another mark to give him a couple hundred million dollars to play transmission.  If you figure it out, let me know.

Here's the plan:
Arnold and Skelly are planning long-haul transmission lines across multiple states on private land that might be very difficult to achieve because failing to win over every landowner could quickly scuttle the entire project.

"We are trying to break this chicken and egg cycle by acquiring the land position first."
How do you acquire the land first if you're honest with landowners about what you intend to do?  If they want to sell their land, they'll do it.  And if they don't, they won't, no matter how "early" you plan to hustle them.  Does Skelly think he can sneak up on landowners and acquire their "land position" before telling them he plans to build a ginormous overhead transmission line on it?  That's about as subtle as a herd of elephants.  The landowners aren't stupid.  That was Skelly's problem last time... he thought landowners were "just a bunch of farmers" that he could easily bamboozle.  And the next thing you know, he'd pissed away $200M of investor's money and his company folded.  Good times!

Maybe Skelly doesn't know that eminent domain exists for a reason?  It is so that land can be acquired for public use, particularly for long, linear infrastructure that requires the buy-in from hundreds or thousands of landowners.  There's bound to be a fly or two thousand in the ointment.

And, hey, would you look at that?  Skelly is "developing" five new projects, just like last time.  It's like throwing spaghetti on the wall and hoping a few pieces stick.  Didn't work last time.  It just wasted a whole bunch of money that could have gone to better use.

And what do either of these yahoos know about where power is "needed"?  Their knowledge thimble may be only half full.

You'd think after his last spectacular transmission failure Skelly would have learned at least something... like burying transmission on existing highway rights of way is faster and cheaper and doesn't require any landowner participation.

How much money is going to be wasted this time?  Keep your ear to the ground... there may be a herd of elephants approaching.
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Who's Ready For A New Game of Whack-a-Mole?

3/18/2023

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This idiotic news article proclaims that "Grain Belt Express Has Positive Update."  For now, but things can change, just like they did last time the Illinois Commerce Commission approved GBE.

Just take a look at the ICC's Order:
The Landowner Alliance and YTI both assert that Section 8-406(b-5) constitutes special legislation in violation of Article IV, Section 13 of the Illinois Constitution of 1970 and violates the Equal Protection and Separation of Powers Clauses of Article II, Section 1 of the Illinois Constitution. The Landowner Alliance notes that Intervenor Bradley Daugherty filed the Lawsuit in the Circuit Court for the Fifth Judicial Circuit in Clark County, Illinois which asserts that Section 8-406(b-5) is unconstitutional for the same reasons outlined by Landowner Alliance and YTI. The Landowner Alliance agrees with GBX’s position that the Commission does not have jurisdiction to declare the special legislation enacted for GBX unconstitutional and that this challenge is properly before the Circuit Court in Clark County. Cinkus v. Vill. of Stickney, 228 Ill.2d 214 (2000); Bd. of Educ. of Peoria, 2013 IL 114853, ¶38. The Landowner Alliance raised the constitutional challenges under the Special Legislation Clause, the Equal Protection Clause, and the Separation of Powers Clause of Article II, Section 1 of the Illinois Constitution before this Commission to avoid any challenges based upon exhaustion of remedies or waiver raised by any party who asserts that Section 8-406(b-5) is constitutional.

The Landowner Alliance argues that determining whether a law runs afoul of the Special Legislation Clause requires a determination of whether the statutory classification discriminates in favor of a particular group, and second, if it does, whether the classification is arbitrary. Doe v. Lyft, Inc., 2020 IL App (1st) 191328, ¶34, appeal allowed, 163 N.E.3d 713 (Table). The Landowner Alliance asserts that “arbitrary” can mean motivated by caprice, politics, or bias. Foreman v. Civil Service Comm’n of the City of Chicago, 7 Ill. App. 2d 122 at 126 (1st Dist. 1955). Also, “arbitrary” can also mean whether it is rationally related to a legitimate state interest. Moline School District v. Quinn, 2016 IL 119704, ¶26.
The Landowner Alliance states that prior to the enactment of Section 8-406(b-5) a non-public utility like GBX with no ownership or control of assets to be used for the production, transmission or furnishing of electricity could not utilize the rocket docket process available only for public utilities under Section 8-406.1. The Landowner Alliance argues that after GBX failed to obtain its CPCN as a non-public utility in 2015 and the Third District Appellate Court held that Rock Island Clean Line’s project did not satisfy the public use requirement, Invenergy Transmissions, L.L.C. lobbied the General Assembly, which enacted the new Section 8-406(b-5), which allows the Commission to issue a CPCN to a “qualifying direct current applicant,” defined as “any entity” that “seeks to provide direct current bulk transmission service for the purpose of transporting electric energy in interstate commerce.” 220 ILCS 5/8-406(b-5).
The Landowner Alliance points out that if the qualifying direct current applicant has a “qualifying direct current project,” the certificate can be issued “without the taking of additional evidence on these criteria.” Id. The Landowner Alliance states that it is obvious that the amended section tracks the application of GBX almost exactly. The Landowner Alliance argues that while GBX did not have to put forth any evidence relative to Section 8-406(b), every other entity or utility has that obligation. It goes on to argue that Section 8-406(b-5) essentially states that GBX does not need to meet the requirements of Sections 3-105, 8-406(b), or 8-406.1(f)(1) and does not need to meet the public use requirement to offer services in a non-discriminatory manner.
The Landowner Alliance argues that if GBX is allowed to side-step the public use requirement, the asset ownership requirement, and Sections 8-406(b) and 406.1(f)(1) and proceed with its “qualified direct current project,” on or before the arbitrary date of December 31, 2023, the door closes, and no other entity will qualify under Section 8-406(b-5).
The Landowner Alliance further argues that Section 8-406(b-5) arbitrarily discriminates against landowners, including the Landowner Alliance, that own land within Pike, Scott, Greene Macoupin, Montgomery, Christian, Shelby, Cumberland, and Clark Counties, Illinois (the “Enumerated Counties”), to the benefit of landowners that own real estate outside of the Enumerated Counties. Section 8-406(b-5) arbitrarily and unfairly subjects the landowners within the Enumerated Counties to the possibility of the Project traversing through their property without the same level of review by the Commission that is afforded landowners in non-Enumerated Counties.
The Landowner Alliance argues that there is no rational basis for this legislative purpose, and Section 8-406(b-5) is arbitrary and unreasonable. The classification created by the statute is not based upon reasonable differences in kind or situation, and whether the basis of the classification is insufficiently related to the statutory purpose. Doe v. Lyft, Inc., 2020 IL App (1st) 191328, ¶36, citing Best v. Taylor Machine Works, 179 Ill. 2d 367, 394 (1997).
The Landowner Alliance concludes that GBX is the only entity that will be using 8-406(b-5) for its project. Section 8-406(b-5) was passed for the benefit of only one entity, GBX, to enable it to bypass the requirements of Sections 3-105, 8-406(a) and (b) and 8-406.1.
The Landowner Alliance asserts that this special legislation violates the Equal Protection Clause of the Illinois Constitution. The Landowner Alliance argues that under the new legislation, Section 8-406(b-5), landowners in the nine counties are deprived of their right to a full evidentiary hearing and were forced to participate in the rocket docket process, which is available only to public utilities, before a CPCN is granted to a non-public utility merchant transmission line developer. The Landowner Alliance claims that no other project falls within the qualified direct current project designation and that both the qualified direct current applicant and the qualified direct current project are elements of the same denial of Equal Protection.
According to the Landowner Alliance, the legislature looked at the requirements that GBX and Rock Island Clean Line failed to meet under the Act and Illinois common law, and then passed special legislation custom tailored to make sure that GBX could obtain a CPCN. As a result, the Landowners are being treated differently from all similarly situated individuals in violation of the Equal Protection Clause.
The Landowner Alliance further asserts that Section 8-406(b-5) violates the Separation of Powers Clause of the Illinois Constitution. It is the Landowner Alliance’s position that the General Assembly’s purpose in enacting subsection (b-5) was to expressly order the Commission to approve GBX’s Project and grant it a CPCN. The Landowner Alliance states that the portion of Section 8-406(b-5) declaring the Project a public use violates Article II, Section 1 of the Illinois Constitution because, by arrogating to itself the power to declare something a public use, the General Assembly is exercising the judicial power to determine whether a particular use is public or private. The Landowner Alliance argues that it is well settled Illinois law that the determination of whether, for purposes of exercising the power of eminent domain, a proposed use is a public use is a decision for the courts, not the legislature.
The Landowner Alliance further argues that if this portion of Section 8-406(b-5) is allowed to stand, the General Assembly will have acquired sole power to define what the term "public use" means in Article II, Section 1 of the Illinois Constitution. According to the Landowner Alliance, the General Assembly's eminent domain power would then be left unchecked because there would be no branch of government that could review its public use decisions. The General Assembly would have eminent domain power by fiat: it could merely declare something a public use in order to affect the involuntary transfer of private property from one party to another, which has never been the law in the State of Illinois. The Landowner Alliance concludes that in the public use declaration in Section 8-406(b-5) the General Assembly unconstitutionally usurps the judicial power. The Landowner Alliance contends that GBX’s Application should be denied due to these constitutional concerns, along with the other arguments that it has raised in this proceeding.
To sum it up, GBE's special legislation for its project is unconstitutional.  The Landowners' arguments are sound.  Let's see what a court does with it now.  Get your hammer ready to pound GBE back in its hole.

And then, back to that ridiculous article...

The project does not have all the necessary siting approvals in all states.  It is still trying to get siting approved in Missouri.  And there are some problems in Kansas that need solving.  And GBE needs a favorable Environmental Impact Statement from the U.S Government in order to get an unsecured loan from the taxpayers.

And then it spits out some completely unverified numbers of energy savings, jobs and economic activity.  Who is going to measure this to see that it actually happens?  NOBODY, that's who.  It's all just magic math.

The only thing I'm positive about is that this isn't the end. 
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Smells Like Propaganda

3/6/2023

1 Comment

 
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Propaganda rag Bloomberg article about four long-stalled transmission projects, including Grain Belt Express, that the reporters claim are "inching ahead."  Ahead of what?  These projects have been bumping around for more than a decade without success.  Only one is actually being built, and that's the one buried on existing rights of way and underwater.  Coincidence?  I think not.

But that's not the stinkiest part.  The propaganda oozing from this article claims:
The fact these long-in-the-works projects are reaching similar milestones appears to be coincidence; no single policy is moving them forward. They are, however, advancing at a time of increasing understanding by local communities and even traditional opponents — including some conservation groups — of the need to move clean energy from rural outposts and to build more durable electric systems after a series of weather and climatic events have felled grids in recent years.
Who are these "communities" and "traditional opponents"?  Doesn't say, but it also "includes conservation groups" so perhaps we have our culprit right there.  Conservation groups are pretending they speak for landowners. Conservation groups like Sierra Club and all those other big green organizations that like to intervene in state siting and permitting proceedings to support the destruction of your community and property.  They speak for you about as much as former Missouri Governor Jay Nixon did when he negotiated "landowner protections" on your behalf without consulting you.  Now you've got posturing, sanctimonious swamp creatures claiming that you "understand" how you must sacrifice your home to the Gods of Climate Change that they worship.

Nobody affected by new above-ground transmission rights-of-way taken under threat of eminent domain "understands" this  idiocy.  That's a bold-faced LIE designed to make the hoi polloi believe that you don't mind being thrown under the wheels of the "clean energy" bus that they're driving so that they can all cheer about how they have saved the planet (that was never in any actual danger).  This is gas  lighting.  This is mainstream media propaganda.

These reporters also doesn't realize that what has "felled grids" in recent years is the retirement of baseload coal and gas electric generators and a failing attempt to replace them with intermittent industrial wind and solar generators.  It's not the weather.  It's the generation sources.  See how they did that?  "Not enough power?  Build more wind and solar and transmission lines!"  When their agenda causes a problem, they pretend you need to continue with their agenda to solve the problem that's being created.  They are doubling-down on the cause of the problem instead of finding a solution.  What is it going to take to stop this craziness?  Do we have to wait for these low-information fools to crash the grid?

Tell the reporters they are quite mistaken in their unsupported presumption.  We do care and we will continue to resist.
1 Comment

Repeating Big Mistakes

3/3/2023

4 Comments

 
What happens when we erase history?  We don't learn from it.  And when we don't learn from history, we repeat the same mistakes over and over, like a dog chasing his own tail.
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I've written about this over and over during the past decade... entities with horrible ideas seem to think if they can present manipulated polls to idiotic elected officials and the uninformed masses that they can suppress any opposition to their stupid idea.  In fact, these push polls rely on the reality that the masses are uninformed about many, many things.  Case in point:  electric transmission.

This "new" poll blares that Voters support building electric power transmission infrastructure... in their own communities!
Not really.  The last pollsters who made a similar claim had to roll it back with something closer to the truth:
Polling indicates the public’s feelings about a number of various topics on any given day. But it can also be misleading if viewed out of context — especially when it comes to land use issues.

How is it, for example, that most Americans support wind energy in general, but emotive opponents can block transmission lines delivery wind energy or wind farms in some local communities?

So, the jury’s in, right? Everyone loves renewable energy projects. But wait.

But the emotional opposition appears to fly in the face of surveys and polls showing national support for clean energy generation and transmission. What’s going on? Do these polls and surveys lack credibility? No. In fact, they are spot-on in terms of reflecting how Americans feel about renewable generation and distribution projects and how they may positively impact our communities given the perceived global threats of climate change, greenhouse gases and negative impact to wildlife over time. Today, based on a solid campaign by climate change advocates, the renewable energy industry, the current Obama administration and constant media pounding, the threat to our economy and the environment posed by carbon-emitting generation sources is very real and frankly easy to grasp. The arguments have been made and, let’s face it, many Americans are buying in.

But it’s easy to support a wind energy project without a real wind turbine or transmission line literally staring you in the face. That’s where rational thinking ends and passionate “defense of the community” (or defense of the children for that matter) campaigns begin.

...shop for a home in a community of interest and share the rumor of a new 765 kV transmission line going across the property down the road, in front of the view of the mountain range. What’s the survey say then? Chances are you may not find majority support, even from residents who responded in the poll you fielded yesterday.

Perhaps at best, polling identifies the size of the silent majority you have on your side when they are under no local threat of changing their daily lives. Winning hearts and minds in a poll won’t necessarily win you a permit at town hall.

Renewable energy is great in our public opinion, just not when it gets in the way of our personal point of view.
These are the actual words of the PR geeks who did a poll about wind turbines and transmission lines circa 2009.  Sadly, this PR shop seems to have gone out of business and the evidence has been removed.  Maybe that's why some new PR shop has attempted to essentially re-invent this wheel? 

Here's the facts:  People willing to take telephone surveys will say whatever they think signals their virtuous nature, or repeat canned political talking points they have adopted without critical thought.  Sure, renewables are supposed to be good and we are virtuous if we like them.  Therefore, the polled will say they support this crap, even "in their community."  Of course "the community" doesn't include THEIR back yard or any place within sight of THEIR castle, it's supposed to happen to someone else, some place else.  When it happens in their own back yard (a question the pollster conveniently forgot to ask) it's not such a good idea after all.  In fact, it's horrible.  Not one person actually faced with a transmission line in their back yard has ever supported it, no matter what it's carrying.

And those questions about whether "voters" support speeding up transmission by giving authority to the federal government?  They contain presumptions that are not facts (such as the notion that giving authority to the federal government could speed ANYTHING up!) in order to steer the response in their desired direction.

I don't see the words "federal eminent domain" used anywhere in these questions, although that's the goal of federal permitting authority.  What if you asked people if they would support federal government authority to use eminent domain to condemn land in their back yard and use it to construct new high voltage transmission lines?  They are asking a question based on limited information.  When full information is provided, the response changes dramatically.

THIS POLL IS GARBAGE!
Of course, this poll isn't for us.  It's for our elected officials, who would have to make legislative changes to remove state authority over electric transmission in its entirety.  They have already made changes in the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act that allows the federal government to give itself authority over any transmission project that can be dreamed up.  They just have to work for it a bit.  What's the point of this anyhow?  It's just more trash aka "inflation reduction" that doesn't actually reduce inflation but makes it worse through more outrageous government spending.  Tell your elected officials today that you do not support "permitting reform."
4 Comments

The Blackouts Are Coming!  The Blackouts Are Coming!

3/2/2023

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It seems not even Paul Revere could alert our biased mainstream media to cover a recent paper from PJM Interconnection that reports major grid reliability problems on the horizon if we continue down our current path toward the Emerald City of Green Energy and Unicorn Farts.

When the biggest electric grid operator in the country reports
For the first time in recent history, PJM could face decreasing reserve margins should these trends – high load growth, increasing rates of generator retirements, and slower entry of new resources – continue. The amount of generation retirements appears to be more certain than the timely arrival of replacement generation resources, given that the quantity of retirements is codified in various policy objectives, while the impacts to the pace of new entry of the Inflation Reduction Act, post-pandemic supply chain issues, and other externalities are still not fully understood.
What this means is that big energy generators that can run any time they are needed are being shut down and they are not being replaced with new generators that can keep up with demand.  Eventually, this hot potato is going to land and the lights are going to go out.

Maintaining an adequate level of generation resources, with the right operational and physical characteristics, is essential for PJM’s ability to serve electrical demand through the energy transition.
Our research highlights four trends below that we believe, in combination, present increasing reliability risks during the transition, due to a potential timing mismatch between resource retirements, load growth and the pace of new generation entry under a possible “low new entry” scenario:

The growth rate of electricity demand is likely to continue to increase from electrification coupled with the proliferation of high-demand data centers in the region.

Thermal generators are retiring at a rapid pace due to government and private sector policies as well as economics.

Retirements are at risk of outpacing the construction of new resources, due to a combination of industry forces, including siting and supply chain, whose long-term impacts are not fully known.

PJM’s interconnection queue is composed primarily of intermittent and limited-duration resources. Given the operating characteristics of these resources, we need multiple megawatts of these resources to replace 1 MW of thermal generation.
Well, thanks a lot, policy makers!  Electricity is soon going to be a commodity only for the moneyed elite, coincidentally the same people who have created this certain Armageddon.

And the only people interested in reporting this clarion call of impending doom were bloggers, trade press, and media outlets designated biased and unacceptable.  Where were the mainstream media?  They were too busy pretending that a whole bunch of new transmission would allow regions like PJM to "borrow" power from neighboring regions to keep the lights on.  Except those regions are also struggling with the same issues and were expecting to borrow from PJM.  Or maybe they were making up stories about how the grid is failing.  Or that the weather is getting worse.  Or that we need lots more wind and solar to stop climate change.  Or maybe there are too many plastic straws?

What happens when the blackouts start?  We almost had one in PJM on Christmas Eve.  And because we were short on generation here, and the Tennessee Valley Authority could not borrow from us, they actually DID have blackouts.  And still the policy idiots who have never even seen PJM's control room, much less talked to the heroes who work there, blathered on about needing more wind + solar + batteries + transmission.  My eyes are wide open and I'm seeing that the independent entities whose responsibility is keeping the lights on are increasingly concerned that we're on the path to disaster.  In this day of cancel culture, many walk on egg shells to issue a warning without ending up fired, with 100 filthy protestors littering in their front yard and preventing their neighbors from sleeping.

It's real.  It's happening.  Faster and faster and faster every day.  We are retiring too much fossil fuel generation and not replacing it with anything.  Let's hope it doesn't damage the grid and plunge us into months or years of darkness before these idiots wake up.

The blackouts are coming!
0 Comments

And You Get Transmission, And YOU Get Transmission, And....

3/2/2023

1 Comment

 
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When the only tool you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail!

The U.S. Department of Energy released a draft of its new "National Transmission Planning Study" last week and, surprise, surprise, surprise, every last place in the continental U.S. needs a whole bunch of new transmission lines.

As our pals at PJM Interconnection stated in a comment to the DOE about this study:
PJM cautions against approaching this analysis based on a ‘top down’ analysis based on what appears to be an attempt at optimizing the deployment of renewables across the nation.
That's right, DOE has stepped outside its statutory playpen and tried to make a study of transmission congestion and constraints about building a new transmission system to support an unbelievable and unachievable number of industrial wind and solar installations, mainly in the Midwest and Plains.
New transmission advances clean energy goals by enabling greater access to clean energy resources, which can be in remote areas, far from load and the existing transmission system.
And, of course, all those "remote" clean energy resources planned for your back yard need new transmission to get the electric harvest to those that "need" it in the big cities that don't want to look at ugly energy infrastructure in their own neighborhoods.
Transmission projects also frequently face public opposition or “not-in-my-backyard” concerns for various reasons. These challenges can lead to increased costs, schedule delays, or even project cancellations.
Damn straight, Skippy!

But what's the goal here?  This biased study created from other studies paid for by "clean energy" special interests and "clean energy" special people who now all seem to work for the DOE for some weird reason, is a precursor to DOE designation of National Interest Electric Transmission Corridors, or NIETCs.  Once an NIETC is designated by DOE, then permitting authority for transmission projects proposed within the corridor passes to FERC.  DOE proposes that NIETCs be generated for very narrow corridors requested by transmission developers on a project-by-project basis.  And FERC proposes that it shall begin its permitting work right away, even before state utility regulators have a chance to approve or deny the project.
This is a whole of government effort to flatten you and take your property in the name of "clean energy."

There's plenty wrong with DOE's study, both from a technical and a legal perspective.  I'd like to buy a drink for the commenter from Reliability First (one of the NERC reliability organizations) who pointed out every incorrect presumption and crazy unicorn dream in the study.  Obviously it goes without saying... if the independent professionals who make sure the lights come on when we flip the switch is skeptical of this "study" then perhaps we should also question it.

The study suggests that we need to build huge transfer facilities between regions to enable "sharing" of resources.  However, such a scheme could also create kings and serfs -- where certain regions do not build enough generation to meet their own needs, even on low use days, and then develop increasing reliance on other regions to keep pumping out more power for the King's use. 

There's nothing in here that is even remotely useful.  DOE's findings of "congestion" aren't even real, as demonstrated by their finding of "congestion" between Pennsylvania and DC/Northern Va. in the PJM region.  PJM says:
A significant portion of the higher congestion noted in the Report is associated with multiple transmission outages in support of approved upgrades. As a result, the congestion listed should not necessarily be considered a persistent level of congestion in the Mid-Atlantic.
Great job, DOE!  Your study as about as useful as a couple puddles of cat puke.... kinda looks like that, too.
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Here's a news article that is a lot easier to read than the actual report, although it may gush just a little too hard.  Media bias is a real problem these days.  The article tells us how very much Invenergy loves this "study" as it relates to its "Green Belt Express" project.
The study was warmly welcomed by Chicago-based Invenergy LLC, developer of the proposed $7 billion Green Belt Express line that could help carry up to 5,000 MW of Great Plains wind power to Great Lakes and mid-Atlantic population centers.
A key 530-mile segment of the line, running from Kansas to central Missouri, is a candidate for a federal loan guarantee, according to DOE — one of the new or strengthened transmission initiatives provided for DOE in the infrastructure act.

“We are encouraged by the findings of the draft study which underscore the critical need for interregional transmission to deliver cost-effective generation, meet projected demand growth and usage shifts, and improve reliability and resilience, especially in the face of increasing extreme weather events, cybersecurity risks, and physical threats,” said Shashank Sane, Invenergy executive vice president for transmission, in a statement.
“The draft study rightly focuses on identifying market barriers to interregional transmission development to accelerate deployment of clean energy,” he added.

Sure, right... as if Grain Belt Express has anything at all to do with electricity markets and isn't just going to sell its project off to be used as a private tie line to proposed generation.

Anyhow... the article also plays up the fact that the public can comment on the "study."

And you're all invited to ASK QUESTIONS at DOE's "study" webinar tomorrow afternoon!  Sign up now and don't miss all the fun!

Be sure not to lose sight of the fact that all of this complete and utter nonsense is costing you millions that can only be paid for by higher taxes.
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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