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FERC Chairman Suggests You Adjust to "New Normal" Where Blackouts are Common

5/22/2022

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The federal grid reliability watchdog issued a dire report last week that warned of a potentially severe electric generation shortage this summer.  That is, we may not have enough electricity to serve everyone if there are any weather extremes, fuel shortages, or equipment failure.  Mainly, these problems are likely in the Midwest, Texas, and the west (California).

It's no coincidence that these are the places where a lot of renewable energy generators (wind and solar) have been built in recent years.  The cause of that is political goals, availability of "cheap" land, and federal tax incentive windfalls for the companies who construct them. 

This coming shortage of electricity should come as no surprise to regular readers of this blog.  I've been talking about it for years as government subsidies for renewable generators effectively price baseload generators, that can run when called because they can simply add fuel and generate when the need arises, out of the market.  Renewables are intermittent resources, they only run when mother nature supplies their fuel.  She's a fickle mistress.
The problem spilled over into a Federal Energy Regulatory Commission monthly meeting last week when staff presented a report on summer grid performance.  At the new, politicized FERC disagreements cropped up.  Commission Chairman Glick blamed the problem on extreme weather caused by climate change and suggested that we all need to adjust to "the new normal."
The growing threat of power outages fueled by extreme weather calls for new approaches to grid oversight, the head of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission said yesterday, adding that utilities and grid operators should “think differently.”
In the face of droughts and heat waves worsened by climate change, the commission must advance new policies to modernize power markets, build more transmission lines and safeguard energy infrastructure, said FERC Chair Richard Glick. Regulators, energy providers and others also need to adjust to the “new normal” as extreme weather events become more common, according to Glick.
“The old way doesn’t work anymore. We need to figure out a new approach, a much more reliable approach, and that’s what we’re trying to do here at FERC,” he said.

His "new normal" includes fewer baseload generators and more intermittent renewables.  Instead of recognizing the real problem, he chooses to blame the weather for creating shortages.  The weather hasn't been a problem, until just recently, so his approach makes no sense at all.  Relying on transmission to solve the problem is no solution at all.  The report pointed to one shortage being caused by a transmission line that has been out of service for months due to tornado damage.  Building more transmission in tornado alley is hardly a solution to this problem, unless it is built underground, perhaps on existing highway or railroad rights of way.  However, FERC has chosen to ignore new technology that can accomplish this, complaining that it's "too expensive."  How expensive will that one transmission outage be when it causes blackouts?  It would have been cheaper to bury it in the first place so that this outage never occurred.  The report also highlighted above-ground transmission causing wildfires in the west, as well as transmission lines that were blocked by wildfires and couldn't deliver energy.  More transmission is not the solution.

Chairman Glick got push back from a couple of other Commissioners, who made a lot more sense.
While Glick, a Democrat, said the FERC report underscored the need for more transmission lines and changes in U.S. power markets, Republican commissioners highlighted how retiring fossil fuel power plants may be exacerbating reliability challenges.

The Midwestern grid region, for example, is at a “high risk” of power shortfalls due to a decline in generation capacity this year relative to last year. Power shortfalls could occur during extreme temperatures, during periods of low wind power or in the event of generation outages in the coming months, FERC staff said in a presentation on the findings.

The staff analysis showcased the need for more natural gas infrastructure to support generators, and for regulators to address state energy policies that are “reliability-impairing,” said Republican Commissioner James Danly. He also questioned whether more investments in the electric transmission system would solve the reliability challenges.

“There is, in the minds of some, an idea that as long as we get the transmission issue correct, everything else will eventually solve itself. I am simply a skeptic,” Danly said.

Me too, Commissioner!  It is simply unrealistic to believe that we can power our country reliably with intermittent renewables in far off places that would depend on above-ground transmission lines hundreds or thousands of miles long that would deliver the power to urban areas.  It's simply fantasy... an equation that only works on paper.

But it was Commissioner Christie who succinctly nailed the problem with today's double time march toward zero carbon.
“There is clear, objective, conclusive data indicating that the pace of our grid transformation is out of sync with the underlying realities and physics of our system,” Christie said.
That's it, exactly.  The forced closure of baseload plants is ignoring the fact that we don't have the right technology to replace them.

Many years ago, I opined that we shouldn't allow a bunch of environmentalist policy wonks to plan our electricity supply because they did not have the working knowledge to do so, simply a desire to meet their impossible goals.  Keeping the lights on and keeping power affordable is simply not one of them.

Plunging headlong into a carbon-free energy future without the resources to support it is simply foolish!
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Marketing to Mayberry 2022

5/4/2022

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It's no secret that the politicians currently in power and their deep pocketed owners are bellying up to the bar for a new transmission feeding frenzy.  But there's one thing standing in their way.  Y-O-U!  Despite a long string of failed transmission projects, such as PATH, MAPP, MCRP, RICL, WindCatcher, Project Verde, NECEC, Transource IEC, Plains & Eastern, Swepco Kings River, Western Carolinas Modernization Project, BPA I-5 Corridor, Northern Pass and many more I'm too busy to look up right now, these people think building a whole bunch more transmission is going to be a snap.

NOT!

They seem to think maybe they need a new approach because what they've been doing is not working (see list above).  People are still opposing new transmission rights of way across their properties, and these people are winning.  They discussed their new approach at a recent Advanced Energy Economy webinar this week. Here it is, courtesy of RTO Insider:
But building transmission, she said, “takes patient money” and “a deep engagement with many, many regulatory bodies” and stakeholders.
“The very big reality is, whether we’re doing a 100-mile [transmission] line or a 500-mile [transmission] line, pretty much anyone can stop it. You can have local jurisdiction, county jurisdiction, state jurisdiction. And you don’t typically have condemnation rights.”
Overcoming landowner opposition “takes a lot of engagement. It takes a lot of humility. You’ve got to talk to people from where they’re at. You can’t come in political. You can’t come in with preconceived ideas. You can’t come in even with the implicit idea that this is essential for the greater good. You have to come in, when you’re talking with landowners, profoundly respectful, that you may be dealing with heritage ranches that have been in families for over a century. And you need to be willing to sit down, listen, have hard conversations [and] follow up again.
“And then you have to work with their concerns. … They can say, ‘You know, I am protective of this particular view. Can you work on the routing around this precious part of the land for me?’ And so I think that that’s really the key to engagement.”
Webster said Pattern takes a broad view of its “host community.”
“You’re a host community if you’re hosting an actual facility with turbines or panels. You’re a host community if you’re hosting a substation, or a major piece of transmission infrastructure. But to us, you’re also a host community if you’re supporting the public good by allowing your transmission line to pass through your county or your property. And so we created standardized community benefits packages based on just mileage that [is] consistent across our entire footprint.”

Oh, humility.  Who do you think you're fooling, Pattern?  You used eminent domain to threaten landowners in New Mexico and you got that authority from the state's industry-funded "Renewable Energy Transmission Authority."  Pattern bought eminent domain authority.  Are you now suggesting that paying off a local government to look the other way while you condemn and acquire rights of way across privately owned land is "humility"?

And let's think about those "preconceived ideas" that are supposed to be left at the door, like "greater good" and politics.  They're not abandoning that nonsense, they just think landowners are too stupid to understand it.  It's not an understanding or education problem.  Landowners are far from stupid.  This is nothing more than 2022's version of Marketing to Mayberry, where failed transmission developer Clean Line Energy Partners hosted a conference that supposed developers needed to dumb down their spiel so hillbillies and hicks in the sticks would go for it.  That failed miserably.  Clean Line Energy Partners no longer exists.

Get real -- there's no respect when transmission developers are "negotiating" with landowners while holding the eminent domain card.  That's coercion.  The transmission developer is going to build the cheapest project it can and your view and your use of your own land doesn't matter.

Transmission is poised to fail again because the developers and the politicians STILL refuse to acknowledge the answer that's right in front of them.  Don't cause impacts.  Don't burden people's land.  If you don't do these things, landowners and local communities simply don't care.... build whatever you want!  There's a network of highways and rail that already connect our country, and new technology that allows HVDC to be buried in a narrow trench on these existing rights of way is readily available to those who want to use it.  Landowners know this, therefore they will NOT allow the continued destruction of rural places in the name of "clean energy" for parasitic places far, far away.

Real respect is burying your projects on existing rights of way and causing no impacts at all on "host communities."

Marketing to Mayberry failed before, and it will fail again.
4 Comments

Delusion vs. Reality

5/2/2022

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There was much giddiness in California on Saturday as, for the first time ever, the state was running on 100% renewable electricity!  But Californians barely had time to pop the champagne and pour a glass because 15 minutes later the 100% renewable electricity came to an end when supply could not keep up with demand.

Even Californians don't want their electricity to only work for 15 minutes on a random Saturday afternoon, when solar generation is at its peak, so what was there to celebrate?  The random occurrence is NOT an indicator that California's 100% renewable energy goal has (or ever will be) achieved.  It's nothing but a delusional news nugget because renewable generators cannot be counted on to meet capacity at any one point in time.  When they do, it's random, not planned.  But what about batteries, you ask?  Not mature enough to supply reliable power for long periods of time.  But what about transmission lines that import renewables from other states?  How seriously self-absorbed can you be?  No, people in other states do not want to live with the impacts of renewable generators and transmission lines so that California can meet its impossible goals.  That's never going to happen.  Besides, those folks are heading at breakneck speed towards their own generation shortage.  There won't be anything to share.

Are we being pushed into a renewable energy delusion that is going to end in electricity being a "sometime" luxury?  The more renewables the government subsidizes, the more reliable baseload power is economically forced out of market.  The people in charge refuse to recognize this reality and keep driving their renewable train down the track towards disaster.
Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) warned last week that is unlikely to have enough capacity to get the Midwest through the summer months without emergency declarations and rolling blackouts.  Similar to weather alerts, that's a warning, not a watch.  It's going to happen.

Over the past decade, the Midwest has been covered with industrial wind installations, and now industrial solar installations are getting into the game.  As these "low-cost" subsidized power sources enter the market, older fossil fuel generators cannot compete and they are closing in record numbers.  But what happens when vast percentages of the power supply are unreliable, intermittent renewables?
The RTO said all summer months will require emergency resources to meet peak load conditions. Using a probable peak load forecast, MISO said it has 116 GW of firm resources to cover a 116-GW peak in June, an insufficient 119 GW to tackle a 124-GW peak in July and another 119 GW that will be no match for August’s 121-GW peak forecast.

The RTO said it could be in even worse shape if it encounters higher-than-normal temperatures coupled with a high level of generation outages. The grid operator said it’s possible it will find itself depleting all emergency resources and still coming up a few gigawatts short over all three months. In a worst-case scenario, MISO could have a little less than 114 GW in firm capacity and a daunting 131-GW demand during the July peak. In that case, it would be about 5 GW short after all firm and emergency resources are factored in.

And what happens when there's not enough supply?
MISO last week warned that even a normal amount of demand and generation outages will likely send it into emergency procedures this summer.
The RTO also didn’t rule out summertime load shedding during combinations of high demand and high generation outages.

"Load shedding" is just engineer talk for rolling blackouts, where power is shut off to certain areas for a period of time, and when that power is restored, the blackout rolls into a different area where power is shut off for a similar period.  The rolling blackouts continue until sufficient power is restored to meet demand.  "Generation outage" means electric generators fail to operate, whether they are broken or out of fuel.  When it's really hot, land based wind is likely to die down.  This causes the turbines to stop generating.  They often fail when they're needed most... on a hot summer afternoon.
The grid operator said it will probably rely on a combination of emergency resources and non-firm energy imports from neighbors to maintain system reliability in June, July and August.
Well, aren't you a little California there, relying on imports from neighboring regions to keep your lights on because the generation you have in your own region is unreliable and insufficient to meet your expected load?  But what if PJM also experiences summer capacity shortages, as it also has experienced a run on subsidized industrial solar installations that is causing its own baseload generators to retire.  That's when the power gets shut off on a really hot day (or night, when solar isn't producing anything).  The generation shortages are spreading as fast as renewables.... and it's no coincidence.

At what point are the politically-driven policy wonks going to wake up and realize we're not at the point yet where we can be reliably powered by wind and solar, and not likely to get there by spending all our energy dollars on more wind and solar and transmission lines for import/export between regions?  It's an equation that only works on paper.

More misery to come.  Stock up on candles and hand fans.
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How The Media Sausage Factory Cranks Out Fake News

4/30/2022

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What happens when the people who create "news" have a political or ideological bias?  The "news" they crank out no longer presents facts and allows the reader to decide.  Biased media thinks readers are too stupid to make the same biased conclusions they would when presented with actual facts, therefore the media makes up facts that are not really facts at all in order to skew the conclusion the reader would draw from the story without the made-up facts.

Here's a look inside the sausage factory of biased news creation that demonstrates how the media lies to you, dear reader.

Our case study: Price of Progress:  Grain Belt Express Pits Public Benefit and Private Property Rights in Race Against Climate Change.  Kind of a screwy headline for a piece that was supposed to tell landowner's stories.  The headline tells you a lot.  Race?  The idea that we have to hurry up and "beat" climate change by building a transmission line with with only one customer for less than 10% of the line's capacity is so much created hogwash.  In the global picture, the effect of Grain Belt Express is infinitesimal.  It won't actually "beat" climate change.  But it will beat agriculture and struggling farmers in Missouri, adding a new impediment to their production and a burden on their finances and heritage.

There's a lot screwy about this story, but let's focus on just one "fact" in the story:
For the 39 municipalities in Missouri signed up to buy power off the line, it’s an estimated $12.8 million in annual savings.
It's not a quote of someone's opinion, it's a statement of "fact".  Facts require investigation on the part of a reporter, especially "facts" that present such a specific number.  If there's an estimate with such a specific figure, then there must be data used to reach that estimate.  Show us your math, right?

The municipalities have not shown anyone their math since January 2017.  That's 5 years ago.  In 2017, the municipalities' witness at the Missouri PSC said:
As stated in the rebuttal testimony of Duncan Kincheloe, MJMEUC’s president and general manager, our current arrangement with Illinois Power Marketing Company (“IPM”) for 100 MWs of energy and capacity will expire in 2021, and that contract currently serves the needs of the Missouri Public Energy Pool (MoPEP). We have been actively considering sources to replace this energy and capacity.
What was it that Kincheloe said?
In 2021, a contract for 100 MWs of energy and capacity with Illinois Power Marketing Company (IPM) (former Ameren coal plants in Illinois, now owned by Dynegy) will expire. That energy and capacity will need to be replaced. That contract currently serves MoPEP, a group of 35 Missouri cities for which MJMEUC provides full requirements for wholesale energy, capacity and ancillary services. The TSA with Grain Belt and the power purchase agreement with Infinity Wind would allow the MoPEP to replace the current 100 MWs of purchased power in MISO with more affordable energy. John Grotzinger will explain in his rebuttal testimony that while the TSA and corresponding contract with Infinity Wind will not by themselves replace the IPM contract, these contracts will form the cornerstone of the resource mix to replace the IPM contract.
So, the municipalities' savings argument rests on replacing IPM with GBE + a contract for wind in Kansas.  A low price is supposed to replace a higher price and result in savings.  But what year is this?  It's 2022.  The IPM contract expired last year.  What did the municipalities replace that energy with?  It can't be GBE, because GBE is still limping along trying to get permitted in Illinois.  Nothing has been built.  Was the new contract as expensive as IPM?  Or was it cheaper?  Where's the math using the new contract amount?  Did the municipalities even do the math?  It was the reporter's job to ask, especially since she was tipped off that there has been nothing shown since 2017 to back up their "estimate."  They just keep spitting out the same numbers even though the underlying equation has changed drastically.

But the reporter has been unable to say whether or not she verified this "fact" in her story.  First she claimed it was an estimate, as if using that word absolved her of verifying the estimated number.  When asked if she did verify the number, she stopped responding.  I will presume that means the answer is no.  What a pity!  She was quite engaging and promised to tell the real story that others in the media were missing.  But, in the end, she ended up repeating the same old out-of-date information from the municipalities and other corporate propaganda from Invenergy.

Is the media incapable of telling a factual story?  Must all truth be ground up in the media sausage factory before it is presented to a public presumed to be too ignorant to come to its own conclusions?

Don't count on them to tell a factual story.
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How Propaganda Works

4/19/2022

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Repeat something often enough and it becomes "fact."  That's how propaganda works.  Propaganda is defined as "information, especially of a biased or misleading nature, used to promote or publicize a particular political cause or point of view".  It's information without any factual basis.  It's just a simple phrase, repeated over and over endlessly until the public simply believes it is a fact.
The United States desperately needs new power lines.
Our grid is not inadequate to keep the lights on.  Our grid is a carefully managed machine that is upgraded and rebuilt constantly to maintain reliability.  But our grid is also a fertile money-maker for investor owned utilities and merchant electricity generators.  Utilities make money investing in electric transmission that pays a double-digit return over the project's expected 40-year life.  Our grid also enables for-profit electric generators to connect their product to far-flung customers, often at no cost to themselves.  These are the entities spreading propaganda that our grid is somehow inadequate and needs to be rebuilt and expanded.  They will make money building and upgrading, and electric consumers will pay the bill.

This guy really shouldn't be writing about energy.  He has little practical understanding, and uses fluffy pieces written by biased pontificators.  And, even then, he misquotes them to back up his ignorant theories, such as this statement:
Our transmission standstill has a number of consequences. First of all, it raises consumer prices. As this post at CanaryMedia makes clear, bad transmission hasn’t raised utility bills despite generation being cheaper than ever.
The canary in the coal mine piece shows that while the cost of generating renewables falls, the cost of building transmission to connect them rises.  There's a limit on how much the cost of generation can fall, but there is no limit on how much transmission costs can rise.  Transmission costs are rising at a higher rate than generation costs are falling.  And we really haven't even begun building the amount of transmission utilities, generators, and their governmental and big green cheerleaders are pushing for.  What is "bad transmission"?  What is "transmission standstill"?  I really don't know because neither means anything except in the dim mind of the author.  Right there I realize that this guy knows nothing about transmission.  But that's okay in a propaganda world because most of the people reading his brain farts have even less knowledge.  That's how propaganda works!

Moving onto the next piece of propaganda:
A 2018 report by the nonprofit Americans for a Clean Energy Grid identified 22 shovel-ready projects that had been in existence for a decade or more. To get such projects off the ground, the report’s authors suggested streamlining project siting and permitting, passing a tax credit for transmission projects, and direct investment by the federal government. 
First, Americans for a Clean Energy Grid is a Bill Gates-financed front group promoting new transmission that Bill and his super-rich global elite pals "need" to create a sweet investment honeypot for themselves (see section above about double-digit returns for 40 years).  Second, most of the projects on the "shovel ready" list are not actually shovel ready and have serious regulatory or financial flaws that prevent them from ever being built (hence the government handouts).  At least one of the projects on the "shovel-ready" list has been cancelled by its owner.  Not shovel-ready, no matter how much American tax money gets showered on these private-profit endeavors.

The author sort of chokes on the fact that even though taxpayer subsidies have been requested, the subsidies simply cannot shut down due process for affected landowners.
Despite recent noise from the Biden administration about speeding up the sitting process, the same problems are still knocking off and slowing down transition projects. 

The most recent and notable example is that of the Grain Belt Express. The transmission line, which would span nearly 800 miles across four midwest states, from Kansas to Indiana, connecting into the PJM Interconnection LLC grid, is at risk of being thwarted by House Bill 2005. The bill, brainchild of big ag groups across the region, would give any county in the line’s path the right to block construction. 

Oh, right... "big ag."  It's "big ag" (aka small family farm and ranch interest groups) vs. Chicago billionaire Michael Polsky, who has spent millions lobbying and influencing the Missouri legislature so that he may use eminent domain to take farm property for whatever price he wants to pay, instead of fairly negotiating for the use of other people's land in an open market.  Acquiring land "cheaply" through the use of eminent domain does not save any money on transmission bills -- it just increases the project's profit that flows into Polsky's pockets.

Next they propagandize about the "savings" from GBE:
The project represents a special economic opportunity for the region’s rural communities which have struggled in recent times. The cheap wind power would provide significant savings to the small municipalities. What’s more, emissions would be brought down as well. 
It represents additional agricultural production costs in rural communities as land is removed from production, or impeded in such a way that production becomes more expensive or impossible.  It also spoils future land use.  It is especially hard on small family farms, which constitute the majority of impacted properties.

So where's the opportunity?  A handful of municipalities are relying on a back of the envelope calculation that was done more than 5 years ago based on energy contracts that have since expired.  None of these supposed "savings" are anywhere close to real.  Do the math, based on today's costs and contracts, and then tell me all about it.  However, they refuse to update the calculations.  That can only mean one thing:  the "savings" have fallen or evaporated entirely.  Propaganda not based on fact.

And here's the part that is most egregious:

Cumbersome regulations and NIMBYISM are mostly to blame for the nation’s stagnant transmission system.

The same article includes quotes from advocates of bill 2005: ‘“Grain Belt is currently working towards condemning our land,” Henke said in written testimony. “They have told us they will not negotiate with us and the price they tell us is what we get. This line will take out our shade trees in our pastures and cut through several fences. They are not willing to move the line at all to avoid some of these things that will greatly impact our farm.”’

I don’t want to completely disregard people like Henke’s misgivings, but no decision comes without a cost. At some point, we’re going to have to accept some of the costs associated with big transmission projects to reap the important benefits: Cheaper, cleaner electricity.

Excuse me there, Henry, but WE?  WE???  What are you sacrificing here?  You're not giving up anything at all.  How dare you speak for "we" when you're not part of the "we"?  If Henry was required to sacrifice his shade trees and his fences and the sanctity of his property and his ability to earn a living, along with a big chunk of his investments made to plan for retirement, like he expects the Henckes to sacrifice, I can guarantee you that Henry wouldn't think GBE was such a great idea after all.  Henry only likes GBE because it's not in his back yard. 

This makes Henry the biggest NIMBY of them all.
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Game Changer!

4/15/2022

2 Comments

 
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Several years ago, I wondered if a transmission line completely buried on existing linear rights of way would draw the kind of landowner and community opposition that delays and cancels new transmission projects.  Since then, my theory has proven correct.  SOO Green Renewable Rail has not drawn crippling opposition.  The only objections to the project come from a handful of adjacent landowners who claim the rail easement does not allow the construction of a transmission line in the easement.  This has not been tested because the project is stalled in the interconnection process.  But what didn't happen was widespread opposition from landowners.  The vast majority of landowners simply didn't care enough to protest because the project would not permanently impact them and would not use eminent domain to take new rights of way. 

The idea of siting new transmission on existing rail and highway rights of way has been a transmission opposition group favorite ever since.  However, transmission developers and their enabling regulators have tried to shut the idea down with all sorts of crazy excuses that are not based in reality.

Perhaps that is over now, thanks to a new study and report recently published by The Ray, an independent non-profit advocating for technology to create a better highway system for all.  The report concludes
Coordinating with utilities to deploy buried HVDC transmission in the highway ROW offers several benefits, including increased resilience and significant carbon emissions reductions without changing the viewscape. Expanded transmission will be vital for electrifying transportation in the most cost-effective manner.
The traditional thorny issue of building linear infrastructure on private property can be mitigated with
undergrounding the transmission along existing highway and rail corridors. Burying HVDC transmission can be done at a similar cost to conventional overhead AC transmission while providing critical reliability and resilience benefits. Furthermore, the potential for accelerated permitting timelines for buried transmission projects would be worth billions of dollars in avoided carbon emissions.
The findings from this study demonstrate that buried HVDC transmission is cost-effective and can
be feasibly sited in interstate and highway ROW after making appropriate consideration of existing and future transportation system needs. While the study identified challenges, none appear to pose insurmountable barriers.
That's right, Doubting Thomases and Thomasinas, all your excuses are put to rest in this game changing report!  The report is very thorough, effectively slaying all the excuses and myths currently used to shut down discussion of buried transmission on existing linear rights of way.

One small point made in the report opens up a world of new thinking.  Our existing highway and rail systems already go between the places transmission developers think they need to connect - rural and urban areas.  If building new transmission is like our interstate highway system, why create a whole new interstate when the existing one can be used?  Simply put... it makes perfect sense!
The development of transmission and fiber lines often requires the ability to acquire or lease significant lengths of ROW – this is especially true for interregional transmission. Utilities often prefer to use a ROW they have developed and own. However, obtaining new ROW is challenging and the optimal route is not always possible. (Footnote:  A number of overhead interregional transmission projects have been successfully blocked by public opposition in recent years.)  Access to a portion of existing ROW in interstate or highway could offer significant benefits in the development of new transmission and fiber lines. Existing ROW along interstate highways would be especially valuable for the interregional transmission lines needed to cost-effectively decarbonize the grid while improving its reliability and resilience.
If interstate and highway ROW were made available for transmission development, a typical transmission project would likely use a portion of the highway ROW while also using existing utility and rail ROWs. The transmission line would not be fully sited within the highway ROW alone. In these circumstances, siting of the transmission line within the ROW would be done in close collaboration with the existing ROW owner (e.g., the DOT) and would take into account current and future transportation needs.
While not all highway ROW is suitable or available for electric transmission (siting within urban corridors can be particularly challenging), ROW in rural areas can be suitable (see figure 7). In rural areas, the ROW is often 300 feet wide, and other utilities and land uses are not as competitive.
We don't need to junk up rural areas with objectionable, new overhead electric transmission infrastructure.  Proposing new electric transmission corridors using eminent domain is ALWAYS a non-starter with affected communities.  Not engaging in this battle with affected landowners and communities actually saves money and speeds up the construction of new transmission.
By building a buried HVDC transmission system alongside our interstate network of roads and rail lines, the country can overhaul and expand the transmission network more quickly, cost-efficiently, and easily than developing a new ROW through private land. Benefits of this approach accrue to landowners, electric customers, and the grid itself.
Siting, permitting, and building a traditional overhead HVAC transmission line typically takes at least
10 years and often much longer because of challenges related to cost, environmental permitting, and siting on private land. Using highway and rail ROW means working with fewer property owners – potentially just a handful instead of many hundreds. It also largely removes the threat of eminent domain to take land from private owners.

Thus, the five-year
reduction in the transmission development timeline that the NextGen Highways Team believes is possible (for a typical interregional transmission project) would translate into $1 billion of societal value.
It is worth noting that a 2GW, 300 miles-long, buried HVDC transmission line would cost roughly $2.5
billion. As such, $1 billion of societal value would equate to 40 percent of the transmission line’s cost.
Scaling the societal benefits from a single interregional transmission line to meet estimated interregional transmission needs yields about $150 billion of societal benefits from coupling buried HVDC transmission with our existing transportation ROW.
That's billions of dollars of savings and benefit from reducing the current 10-year plus permitting time that comes with engaging in battles with opposition.  It's just not true that opposition can be ameliorated with more "education" or earlier "engagement."  The only thing that avoids opposition is not creating something to oppose in the first place.

Buried HVDC is cost effective.  This report slays the myth that burying transmission is 10 times more expensive than running it overhead.  Let's hope that stupid myth stays dead now.
Buried HVDC transmission costs have declined and become competitive with traditional overhead AC transmission. The technology for buried HVDC transmission has matured, and the industry has gained experience designing and building projects across the world. Figure 8 compares transmission coston a capacity-normalized basis (dollars per gigawatt-mile of transmission capacity) for a few representative transmission projects in the United States. The figure shows that buried HVDC projects are cost-competitive with overhead AC transmission projects. 

Historically, utilities have discounted the use of underground transmission because buried AC line costs
were often 7 to 10 times more costly than overhead lines. Today, some utilities will still cite those cost comparison numbers without considering the technological advances of HVDC cables and converter stations over the past decade.
Here's the bottom line:
Buried HVDC transmission is cost-competitive with traditional overhead AC transmission projects.

Buried HVDC transmission is roughly 2-4 times the cost of overhead HVDC transmission. (Footnote:  This assumes that the overhead HVDC transmission can be permitted and built. Over the last decade, a number of
overhead HVDC transmission projects across the US were unable to be successfully built, including Northern Pass, New England Energy Connect (still active), Plains and Eastern, Grain Belt Express (still active).
That's right!  These projects have been delayed or cancelled solely because of grassroots opposition.  If they had been sited on existing linear rights of way, perhaps they would already be in operation today.  What a gigantic waste of time and money!

But The Ray isn't done with this game changing new idea for electric transmission.  It plans to continue to push its idea forward.
Given the positive findings from this Feasibility Study, the NextGen Highways Team is planning to launch a NextGen Highways Coalition to support the co-location of buried fiber and transmission in highway and interstate ROW.
Game changer!  It's something transmission opposition can support by furthering this idea with stubborn transmission profiteers, cluless regulators, and prevaricating policy wonks who continue to try to ignore or shut down discussion of this idea.

Like these folks.  Government employees, a Congressman, a lobbyist, and a tone-deaf propaganda spreader, who recently held a webinar to "educate" rural communities about the "benefits" of new high voltage transmission forced upon them.  They were asked repeatedly about burying new transmission on existing rights of way but completely ignored the topic.  The last 15 minutes or so of the webinar devoted to "questions" are an absolute scream.  They didn't actually answer any questions, but got really defensive and tried to push back against the questions they were asked, all to no avail.  They just looked angry and defensive... and ineffective.

It seems to be a theme.  Recent government webinars about transmission were also posed the same question of burying transmission on existing rights of way.  Here and here.  For the most part, these government functionaries simply ignored the question.  Only one person attempted to make an excuse for not burying transmission (see section about safety on page 41 of the report, Kimberly).

The Ray has its work cut out for it getting bureaucrats and self-interested utilities to adopt their better idea.  But, time-wise, it's still probably more effective to adopt new ideas than to continue to waste time and money trying to site new transmission on new rights of way across private land.  We can make transmission a win-win by burying it on existing linear rights of way.

Many thanks to The Ray for undertaking this study and report, and for continuing to advance the idea.  As Margaret Mead once said, "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it's the only thing that ever has."  We believe!
2 Comments

The Cost of Questioning Absolute Authority

4/14/2022

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Stunning story out of Wisconsin.  Former PSC Commissioner Mike Huebsch has racked up over $800K in legal bills defending himself against accusations of bias in his approval of the Cardinal-Hickory Creek transmission project.  The story tells us that the PSC has paid Huebsch's outside counsel to defend him, even after state attorneys bowed out of the case when it was revealed that Huebsch was trading encrypted messages with employees of the utilities proposing the project.  The PSC says it could have a conflict of interest and therefore cannot defend Huebsch in-house.
PSC spokesperson Matthew Sweeney said the commission “has unique obligations and could have different interests and duties relating to transparency than former Commissioner Huebsch would have in his capacity as a private citizen,” which could have created a conflict of interest for PSC attorneys.
It would be logical, then, that Huebsch is on his own to defend his actions as a private citizen.  But yet the PSC thinks it should cover his expenses under state law.  The state law covers the actions of state employees "acting within the scope of employment."  Is trading personal messages with utility employees a required or recommended job function of a PSC Commissioner?  Regardless of whether communicating with utilities is a job function, Huebsch says the messages were of a personal nature.
Huebsch, a former state legislator who served in Gov. Scott Walker’s cabinet before joining the PSC in 2015, says the messages were purely personal exchanges with old friends and that he never discussed PSC business outside of official proceedings.
Therefore the messages were not within Huebsch's scope of employment and defending him should not be the state's financial responsibility.  The law is clear.
Regardless of the results of the litigation the governmental unit, if it does not provide legal counsel to the defendant officer or employee, shall pay reasonable attorney fees and costs of defending the action, unless it is found by the court or jury that the defendant officer or employee did not act within the scope of employment.
But what does the PSC care?  It thinks that it can simply shift the costs of Huebsch's legal bills onto the utilities it regulates under a different state law. 
The public service commission is authorized by s. 196.85, Stats., to charge any public utility, power district, or sewerage system the expenses attributable to the performance of the commission's duties.
If the messages were personal and not part of Huebsch's job function, then the cost of defending them may not be passed to the utilities.

Huebsch makes a giant leap in logic to presume that these costs wrongly paid by the PSC and wrongly charged to the utilities would be passed through to electric ratepayers in their electric bills.
Through his attorney, Huebsch blamed the plaintiffs for running up the tab on utility customers who will ultimately absorb the costs of defending the PSC’s decisions.
The news article says, "Under state law, legal expenses are assessed to the utilities involved, in this case American Transmission Company, ITC Midwest and Dairyland Power Cooperative, which don’t serve retail customers but charge transmission rates that ultimately affect electricity costs."

And who has jurisdiction over transmission rates?  It's not the Wisconsin PSC, it's the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.  Wisconsin has no authority to determine that these legal fees should be a ratepayer responsibility.  Indeed, the case could be made that Huebsch's legal expenses to defend his personal actions while serving as PSC Commissioner do not belong in an account that is passed through to ratepayers through the utilities' formula rates.  FERC administrates an accounting classification system known as the Uniform System of Accounts, which sorts utility expenditures into categories, or accounts, based on their nature and purpose.  Where does Huebsch think his legal expenses belong under the USoA?  Do they belong under Regulatory Commission Expenses (Account 928) or do they more properly belong in the 426 account series as a non-operating expense?  An argument could be made that they are a non-operating expense.  Do the utilities involved bear any responsibility for communicating with Huebsch in a secretive manner while he was considering their permit application?  If the messages were not entirely personal, then they could be seen as "for the purpose of influencing the decisions of public officials", which belongs in Account 426.4.  If the messages cannot be produced for judicial review, how could anyone ever know what they said?  The utility could never PROVE that the messages were harmless, routine operating expenses that should be recovered from ratepayers, and the utilities have the burden of proof.  They won't have enough proof to recover these expenses from electric ratepayers.

Unbelievably, Huebsch whines that nobody should be allowed to question whether his decision was biased because it's just too expensive for ratepayers.

“The best outcome for ratepayers in Wisconsin and across the country would be for this unfounded ‘bias’ claim to be dismissed as soon as possible,” Huebsch said. “Every dime they have had to pay until now — including for the co-owners’ numerous law firms and PSC legal staff — is because of the plaintiffs and their choices.”

Huebsch said if the Supreme Court doesn’t throw out the bias claim, ratepayers will end up paying to litigate an “untold number of copycat ‘bias’ lawsuits.”
Can we talk about "choices" here?  Huebsch CHOSE to carry on personal conversations with employees of utilities that he regulates.  That's the "choice" that has caused these costs, not the filing of lawsuits that resulted from Huebsch's "choice." 

The idea that anyone affected by regulatory decisions should be prohibited from challenging those decisions in court is a non-starter, no matter who is paying. 

If Huebsch was really worried about electric rates, perhaps he should have considered the cost of the project itself?  It's out of his hands now, of course, but the utilities behind it continue to spend money knowing that they can apply at FERC to collect their sunk investment, plus generous double digit return, even if the project is never built (which looks like a real possibility lately).

Is this really about the ratepayers?  Or is that just an excuse to shift attention away from Huebsch's personal choices?
1 Comment

We Can't Eat Solar Panels

4/11/2022

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Quote from California farmer who persists in growing food although surrounded by industrial solar farms.
“Food is going to be more valuable than ever in the world we live in now,” Tagg said. “We can’t eat solar panels.”   
Don't miss this article about how even California is struggling to meet its impossible clean energy goals.  San Diego wants to run on 100% clean power, except it doesn't want the economic burden of constructing the infrastructure necessary to support its goal.
Specifically, the researchers analyzed whether rooftop solar, along with small solar parks on urban, potentially polluted land called Brownfields, could meet San Diego’s energy demands. It could, Leslie said, but it might not be economically feasible. 
So they push into the rural areas and gobble up all the productive farmland because it's "cheaper" and "faster."
“We’ve got millions of acres of perfectly suitable land in the desert,” Hamby said, referring to the area east of Imperial’s fertile plain, much of which is federally controlled land. 

“If you’re a developer … there’s all kinds of federal red tape you could go through, but it’s easier to go and buy out a farmer,” Hamby said. 

Still, procuring renewables from Imperial Valley is one of the few ways San Diego could reach its projected energy demand by 2050, the researchers say. The cost of generating energy there is relatively cheap, from $31 to about $42 per megawatt hour, according to the county’s study. And there’s existing infrastructure built by San Diego Gas and Electric to get it to San Diego.  Joe Bettles, who teamed up with Leslie on the study, said though the cost of rooftop technology – the solar panels themselves – has dropped significantly over the years, labor costs are higher as well as the cost of permitting each project.
  
“You need a really big sales machine to go door to door and convince building owners one at a time,” Leslie said. 
 
It’s cheaper, they say, for a utility to build a large solar project on flat rural land.
The icing on the cake is San Diego "Community" Power, a government run public power agency, that doesn't want to build clean energy in its own "community."  Instead...
There are big new sales machines entering the marketplace. San Diego Community Power and Clean Energy Alliance are government-run public power companies with the sole purpose of providing 100 percent renewable energy at a cheaper rate than SDG&E. It’s San Diego Community Power that secured the contract for JVR Energy park, and a 150 megawatt solar project in Imperial near Holtville called the Viking Energy Farm.
 
“Our philosophy is that it’s going to take all of the above. It’ll take rooftop solar, smaller scale and distributive energy systems and utility scales to reach renewable energy goals,” said Cody Hooven, San Diego Community Power’s chief operations officer.
 
Right now, San Diego Community Power doesn’t decide where renewables should be built. The governing documents of San Diego Community Power show there’s a preference for local power, but its boundaries aren’t explicitly defined. In the case of the Viking and JVR project in Jacumba, the public utility basically told the marketplace how much renewable energy it wanted to build, and it’s up to private developers to pitch a project. 

“Down the line we could eventually build our own projects,” Hooven said. 
The "clean energy" goal is being pursued without care towards how it affects land use and interferes with other goals, such as food security.  It's often left up to the local communities to create and enforce sensible restrictions on local land use.  And many do, leading to cancellation of planned projects.

However, our federal government thinks that it can designate "renewable energy zones" wherever it likes and invest hundreds of billions of dollars building transmission roads to nowhere to tap them ahead of building the actual generators.  This is going to lead to an enormous waste of money and huge pile of debt that electric consumers are going to be stuck paying for without receiving any benefits.

If you want renewable power, make it yourself, in your own community.  Keep your fantasies in your own back yard!
1 Comment

Should Kansans Pay to Export Power to Other States?

4/11/2022

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The Kansas Industrial Consumers Group is concerned about new electric transmission for the purpose of exporting electric power generated in Kansas to other states.  And rightly so... why should Kansans pay the freight so that other states that don't want to build their own renewable energy generators can assuage their climate guilt by pretending to use renewable energy?

Today's NIMBY is the climate guilt ridden urban warrior who wants to use renewable energy, but doesn't want the infrastructure that produces it in his own back yard.  All reward, no sacrifice.  They champion building industrial scale wind and solar generators in someone else's back yard and they say silly things like "where the wind blows harder or the sun shines brighter."  What they really mean is that they think that rural areas should junk up their communities with industrial scale energy generators and new transmission lines.  They pretend all this new "infrastructure" provides some benefit to the rural area, like payments to "struggling" farmers and new taxes to "struggling" local governments.  The struggle is real... but it a struggle to maintain their way of life without being turned into a sacrifice for urban NIMBYs.

The funny part is that the Kansas Industrial Consumers Group is fanning the flames of land use conflicts.
Imagine this: A 150-foot (half a football field wide) right of way that extends continuously for 89 miles through five counties in Kansas, for a 345-kV electric transmission line. The physical structure — poles and wire — for a 345 kV transmission line, is much larger than most Kansans have ever seen.

The transmission line construction and operation would affect the private property of many homeowners, but the primary physical impact of this transmission project would be on hundreds of farms and ranches in Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Coffey and Crawford counties Kansas.

NextEra, however, must acquire 89 miles of right of way in Kansas to construct and operate the transmission line. This is likely impossible without a KCC order to permit NextEra the power to condemn the private property of those landowners who do not want a large transmission line on their property.

The private property rights of Kansans may be condemned for the benefit of consumers in other states. This is a big step.
Can't argue with that logic, but I have to ask... where were these guys when the KCC was considering the Grain Belt Express merchant transmission line?  The answer is that they were nowhere because a merchant transmission line must contract with voluntary customers.  There's no way for GBE to pass its costs onto involuntary Kansas customers.  If it's truly about burden on Kansans, why were the land use arguments not just as valid when GBE was proposed.  After all, the project was not even found needed by a regional transmission organization.  There was no need, it was purely an profit-seeking proposal for its owner, who thought if it built a transmission line for export across Kansas that voluntary customers in other states would want to use it to import electricity from western Kansas.

And where were these guys a couple years ago when Kansas Governor Laura Kelly "partnered" with GBE because it was going to create thousands of jobs and billions of dollars in "economic development" in Kansas by building a giant one-way highway across the state to export electricity?   Again, I don't remember them caring one way or the other.

And where have these folks been during KCC Commissioner Andrew French's interaction with federal energy regulators during its state-federal task force on transmission?  Have they been listening to French drone on at FERC about how Kansas "needs" new transmission to export electricity?  Sherlock Holmes told me that French was vice president of the consumers group before he was appointed to the KCC.

Is this some sort of public plea for French to remember where he came from?  He seems to have done a 180 since being appointed to the KCC.  There's definitely something in the water there... or maybe it's the vanilla pannacotta served up by utilities that makes commissioners lose all common sense?  The KCC has never taken the side of Kansans against out of state energy interests with fat wallets.  Why does the Kansas Industrial Consumers Group think they're going to start now?
0 Comments

When are Environmental Groups Going to Start Caring About the Environment?

4/9/2022

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Picture
Did you manage to catch this story this week? Wind energy company kills 150 eagles in US, pleads guilty kind of made the rounds this week, but some people simply didn't care.  Now if a famous politician had killed 150 eagles on a hunting trip, it would have been 24/7 news.  But it was just one of America's biggest energy conglomerates killing eagles while it "saved the planet" by generating electricity from wind, so it wasn't big news.

The story tells us
A subsidiary of one of the largest U.S. providers of renewable energy pleaded guilty to criminal charges and was ordered to pay over $8 million in fines and restitution after at least 150 eagles were killed at its wind farms in eight states, federal prosecutors said Wednesday.

NextEra Energy subsidiary ESI Energy was also sentenced to five years probation after being charged with three counts of violating the Migratory Bird Treaty Act during a court appearance in Cheyenne, Wyoming. The charges arose from the deaths of nine eagles at three wind farms in Wyoming and New Mexico.
But what does NextEra care?  It's raking in billions of dollars every year in the form of production tax credits for generating electricity from wind.  What's $8M between friends?  NextEra is simply giving the government its own money back... a drop in the ocean of riches NextEra has stuffed into its own pocket over the years.  I think NextEra has absolutely no remorse and will continue to kill as many birds as it wants.  If it shuts the turbines down to save the eagles, then it doesn't earn as much money from the federal government, who pays for energy actually generated.

You should be outraged by this.  But, more importantly, the "Big Green" organizations, like Sierra Club, should be outraged.  But I don't see any of the big organizations quoted in the article coming to the defense of eagles.

Why?  Remember this?  When the Sierra Club was taking money from the gas industry and calling natural gas a "bridge fuel" to a cleaner environment?  Are these big organizations now taking money from energy companies promoting big wind?  Where do these organizations get the cash that makes up their oversized budgets?  They get a lot of it from private "foundations", but where do the "foundations" get their cash?  Nobody seems to care.  Advocacy groups for big wind and solar get their money from electric utilities.  NextEra has a position on ACORE's board of directors.  ACORE doesn't even mention eagles.  None of the entities making money hand over fist building and operating renewable energy facilities seem to care about the eagles.

Sierra Club got in a bind because its national policies conflicted with its individual members who saw gas destroying their local environment.  The propaganda about "clean energy" we're all fed absolutely refuses to recognize that "clean energy" is also destroying our environment while purporting to save it.  It's only a matter of time until the big environmental organizations are pushed by local members to stand against massive, industrial scale big wind and solar plants. 

Perhaps it's coming sooner than they think...
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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