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Media Clean Lies

3/29/2016

3 Comments

 
I can't take it anymore.  I'm gonna snap and start throwing water on a media that's all wet to begin with.  I've never seen so many lies, half-truths, and simply manufactured "facts" as those in the many stories that got generated over Easter weekend about DOE taking a kickback from Clean Line in exchange for agreeing to participate in its project.

Any entity that releases important information mid-day on Good Friday is up to no good.  It's a cowardly and underhanded way to release bad news that you don't want the media to see.  But see it they did.  And since Moniz was probably busy stuffing his piehole with farm-fresh Easter goodies, nobody was available to answer questions from the media.  So the media made crap up.

The DOE ought to be as ashamed of itself for its cowardly media release as it apparently is of its decision to "participate" in the Clean Line project.  But now that we all know how ashamed they are, and terrified of the truth getting out, we'll be sure to spread the word.  ;-)

Here are some of the worst lies that showed up in the media:
  1. The New York Times wins the award for stupidest lie with this:  "Energy officials have been urging significant extensions and upgrades to the nation’s transmission system for years but there has been little new construction since the 1980s."  What?  The same Energy Policy Act that brought us this travesty also tasked FERC with handing out incentives to build transmission.  Since the incentives started in 2007, more than $100B of "transmission spend" has been plunked down into the world's sweetest investment account where it earns double-digit returns on equity, even when the project is abandoned and never built!  The NYT simply made up the fact that little new transmission construction has occurred since the 1980s.  It's just not true!  The Times also thinks, "The development, led by Clean Line Energy Partners, had been delayed because of resistance from state lawmakers,..."  State lawmakers (as in legislators, right?) have nothing to do with state public utility commission approval of a transmission project.  State PUCs are the ones who examine applications to build transmission projects and issue or deny permits.  And the reporter tells us, "The decision also signals that the Obama administration remains committed to encouraging the spread of renewable energy, seen as a major component of reaching national goals on stemming climate change."  So, transmission projects are built as part of a political agenda now?  There's no planning involved in operating the world's largest machine?  Political decisions will create a hodge podge of transmission lines and we're supposed to cross our fingers and hope the lights stay on?  That's not how it works.  Generation and transmission planning is an engineering issue, not a political one, but I can see how this reporter got confused due to DOE's choice to step into transmission planning to push a political agenda.  DOE is now profiting from building its own politically-motivated electric grid.  That frightens me.
  2. E&E Publishing warped time with its made up set of facts involving Clean Line's application to the DOE.  "Clean Line's decision to seek federal participation in the project follows failure to win approval from utility regulators in Arkansas five years ago."  DOE issued an RFP for Section 1222 projects and Clean Line was the only company to submit applications in 2010.  Your story gets the date of the Arkansas Public Service Commission's rejection of Clean Line correct as 2011.  How did the 2011 rejection happen before the 2010 application to the DOE?  Lies!  Dirty lies!  Clean Line and the DOE were already in cahoots long before the Arkansas PSC rejected the project.  Of course, can we blame E&E when they got their lie directly from the drippy lips of Clean Line President Michael Skelly?  "In an interview with EnergyWire, Skelly said the company decided to seek approval under Section 1222 of the Energy Policy Act rather than lobby to change the decades-old definition of a public utility in Arkansas. 'Changing laws is quite a Herculean task,' he said."  No, no, no... Skelly decided to seek "approval" for DOE to issue an RFP for his projects long before he'd even applied to be a public utility in Arkansas!  And while he was on a roll, Skelly had some more lies to tell about the Federal government's role in electric transmission permitting and siting.  Skelly, however, downplayed the significance of the federal government's role in interstate transmission projects:
    "The federal government is involved in transmission and infrastructure siting around the country," he said, citing the government's role in siting and approving interstate natural gas pipelines.
    The federal government played a big part in developing the bulk power grid across large swaths of the rural West.
    "I think it's a mistaken notion that the federal government isn't involved in transmission," Skelly said. "The notion that this is unprecedented doesn't square up with the way the grid has been built and the way it will be built."
      Pipeline permitting and siting is a federal responsibility, while electric transmission permitting and siting is a state responsibility.  Congress has long rejected a switch to Federal electric transmission siting and permitting.  The closest it's ever gotten was these stupid loopholes in the '05 Energy Policy Act (Section 1222 and 1221) that don't stand up to judicial review.  Skelly is the one "mistaken" about the federal government's role in transmission, in his desperate attempt to normalize the charlie foxtrot the DOE has just created.  It is unprecedented.
  3. Sierra Club still owns the hypocrite award for its rather puzzling condemnation of the use of eminent domain for other regionally planned transmission projects it believes support fossil fuels, while supporting eminent domain use for the merchant Clean Line project.  Sierra Club demonstrates just how little it knows about what it supports with this statement, "The decision comes after five years of review by DOE, and means the federal government will step in to help secure the transmission route, if and only if the developer can’t reach agreement with a state (Oklahoma and Tennessee have already endorsed the project)."  This isn't about agreement with a state -- the DOE and Clean Line basically told the State of Arkansas to go blow and used Section 1222 to usurp the state's authority to site and permit a transmission project.  And the use of 1222 to change the delicate state/federal balance is what has Arkansas and its Congressional delegation hopping mad.  I have a feeling fallout will be swift and cutting.  Sierra Club also demonstrates that it has no earthly idea how the grid (or merchant transmission) works by claiming Clean Line will exclusively deliver renewable energy and shut down fossil fueled generation plants.  All transmission lines (all of them!) must abide by Federal open access rules, which means that all forms of generation must have equal opportunity to use them.  The grid cannot separate "clean" from "dirty" electrons -- they all look and work the same.  As well, nobody (and that means nobody) will be using Clean Line's capacity unless they pay for it.  So, it's just not true that Clean Line will meander through Arkansas "dropping off" clean electrons for use by citizens in that state.  It will only "drop off" mixed electricity if an Arkansas utility pays for the energy and transmission capacity.  Ditto for other states in the "south and mid-south" Clean Line claims it will serve.  Nobody gets anything unless they contract and pay for it.  And Clean Line and the DOE cannot force any utility to buy capacity on a Clean Line.  They can build it, but nobody may come.  Therefore, there are no guarantees that "Clean Line Entities shall use all commercially reasonable efforts to ensure that at least 75% of the total Electrical Capacity covered by all Transmission Services Agreement that are then in effect to be covered by Transmission Services Agreements used for the transmission of renewable energy resources."  (From DOE/Clean Line Participation Agreement).  All this happy clean energy talk is just that... nothing but talk.  And most of it is not true.
  4. Transmission and Distribution World makes up an alternate reality for the purpose of Section 1222 and the contents of DOE's political agenda set forth in the 2015 Quadrennial Energy Review.  "This marks the first use of Congressional authority conferred to DOE as part of Section 1222 of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 with the objective of promoting transmission development. Congress passed this provision when it was becoming clear that our nation’s transmission infrastructure was beginning to show its age and needed modernization. Congress recognized the need for a modern and resilient grid that could accommodate increasing demands for power with newly available resources. Based on our thorough review of the Clean Line project, it satisfies the goals for which Congress established DOE’s authority.  The project will, if built, address infrastructure challenges outlined in the 2015 Quadrennial Energy Review (QER), which focused on Energy Transmission, Storage and Distribution Infrastructure. The QER acknowledged the importance of establishing transmission lines to facilitate remote generation development of renewable energy. The QER found that new long-distance transmission capacity like Clean Line has the potential to enable lower-carbon electricity, enhance system reliability and operate at a reasonable cost to consumers."  The 2005 Energy Policy Act was a political agenda developed by the energy industry to increase the use of fossil fuels and build more energy infrastructure from which energy industry profits are derived.  Remember Cheney's Secret Energy Task Force?  Yup, that was it.  The QER, a facet of Obama's political agenda, not Congressional action, made no mention of Section 1222 or forcing new centralized transmission infrastructure like Clean Line.  T&D World simply made it all up.
  5. American Wind Energy Association chief executive officer Tom Kiernan believes he knows what rural America wants and needs.  “The DoE’s decision is a critical milestone that will open up the spigots for billions of dollars in private investment, economic opportunity in rural areas that need it most and potential savings for American consumers.”  I don't believe Kiernan speaks for rural America.  He speaks for wind energy developers who make money off rural America's sacrifice.  What an arrogant thing to say, Tom!
  6. Bloomberg (whose "Philanthropies" division gave $50M to Sierra Club's Beyond Coal Campaign) pretends that "U.S. regulators" have been "pushing to clear" a Clean Line.  "The approval highlights a potential workaround for some U.S. transmission developers who have for years dealt with regulatory delays and roadblocks at the state level while trying to site new power lines. The statute gave the Energy Department authority to clear interstate projects co-sponsored by either of two of its four public power agencies. It’s just the latest twist in the battle over transmission siting between state and federal agencies as U.S. regulators push for stronger, multi-state lines capable of moving renewable power to where it’s needed."  Not true!  DOE is not a "regulator," and its involvement in transmission is political, not regulatory.  The regulatory side of transmission (which deals with planning and rates only, not siting or permitting) is handled by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.  What does "clear" mean?  It means nothing!  The word that Bloomberg wanted to put in there is "permit," but that would be untrue.  What the DOE's decision does is force its federal power marketer, Southwestern Power Authority, to own the transmission project for the express purpose of avoiding state regulatory review.  As a Federal agency, SWPA is not subject to state transmission or eminent domain laws.  It's simple avoidance, not permitting, or "clearing."  In addition, Bloomberg fails to acknowledge DOE's inclusion of an "Acquisition Option" in the Participation Agreement whereby Clean Line and DOE may enter into a deal to allow Clean Line to acquire DOE's ownership in the project, once it's built.  If that happens, this entire Participation Agreement and its requirements disappear forever.  "7.2 Acquisition Option.
    (a) After the Effective Date, Holdings and DOE shall discuss and determine whether, under Applicable Law, DOE may grant to Holdings (or its nominee, assignee ordesignee) an option to acquire from DOE the DOE Acquired Real Property and AR
    Facilities after the Termination Date (the “Acquisition Option”). To the extent DOE
    determines that such an Acquisition Option may be granted under Applicable Law, DOE and Holdings shall cooperate in good faith to enter into an agreement to set forth all ofthe terms, conditions and procedures under which such an Acquisition Option may be exercised by Holdings (or its nominee, assignee or designee)."  
    *cough*  no intention of ever owning the project  *cough*
  7. SNL also has a time warp failure, insisting that Section 1222 of the 2005 Energy Policy Act was Obama's invention.  "Plains and Eastern is now the first transmission project to partner with the DOE under Section 1222 of the Energy Policy Act of 2005, an obscure provision that the Obama administration hoped would spur big expansions in the nation's electric grid."  SNL also either spills some proprietary beans, or makes up other bidders under DOE's Section 1222 RFP.  "But although the DOE talked to several developers interested in Section 1222, Plains and Eastern ended up as the only application under DOE review."  As far as the information DOE has made public, Clean Line was the ONLY company to submit projects in response to DOE's cozy RFP.  SNL also reports that Skelly believes he can obtain the majority of needed right of way through voluntary negotiations, despite entrenched landowner opposition all along the line's proposed route.  "While Clean Line has said it would only use eminent domain as a last resort and that the vast majority of the line's right-of-way would come through voluntary negotiation with landowners, in many of the states where Clean Line has proposed to build transmission lines it has faced strident opposition from landowner groups and local politicians who accuse the developer of attempting to trample on property rights."  Don't count your chickens before they hatch, Clean Line, and don't expect that any landowners believe a word you say at this point.  Based on my conversations with affected landowners, you're probably going to be seeing some major and widespread Bundy Ranch before the Feds build your project on privately held land.
I'm going to paraphrase the rest of the glittering generalities that were common to a lot of the 60+ recent articles on this debacle.  I just don't have time or space to call out each instance, and it wouldn't be fair to point the finger at just one media outlet for parroting lies that were repeated by many when their origin is unclear.
  1. Jobs fiction.  Depending on the article, thousands of jobs will be created by this project.  What they mean are fictional supply chain job numbers created by spreadsheets fed by number crunchers.  These aren't actual jobs constructing the project.  They're economic development fiction, where an investment of a certain dollar figure theoretically creates a "trickle down" of jobs.  It includes things as insignificant as an increased number of fast food lunches purchased by transient skilled workers.  Constructing transmission lines is a highly skilled and specialized occupation which is accomplished by a small number of companies whose workers travel from job to job.  These aren't long-term jobs for local people.  You locals get to sell the extra Big Macs and clean the cheap hotel rooms transient workers dirty.
  2. Clean Energy fiction.  All the articles, in one way or another, presented the fiction that this project is restricted to delivering renewable energy.  It's not.  Clean Line is a transmission line.  Transmission lines are subject to open access regulations.  Any generator can use any transmission line -- there is no such thing as a "clean energy only" transmission line.  In addition, the grid does not recognize the difference between "clean" and "dirty" electrons.  They're all the same color once they enter the transmission system.  All sorts of dirty electrons are going to sneak onto a "clean" line.  Even though DOE's Participation Agreement stipulates: "8.27 Renewable Energy Transmission. At any time during which any Transmission Services Agreements are in effect, the Clean Line Entities shall use all commercially reasonable efforts to ensure that at least 75% of the total Electrical Capacity covered by all Transmission Services Agreement that are then in effect to be covered by Transmission Services Agreements used for the transmission of renewable energy resources..." DOE also recognizes it can't enforce this stipulation, "...provided that, to the extent the
    transmission of energy from non-renewable resources is required by Applicable Law (including
    pursuant to any open access tariff rules), such events would not render the underlying
    Transmission Services Agreement from being disqualified toward the 75% threshold."
      Therefore, non-renewable energy will be counted as renewable energy for purposes of ensuring that 75% of the energy is renewable.  Wow!  Just wait until the fossil fuel industry hears about this magic trick for turning "dirty" energy into "clean" energy with the stroke of a pen!  *cough*  fig leaf  *cough*
  3. Low-cost energy!  Skelly and the DOE like to pretend that energy delivered by the project will be "low-cost."  But the generators who will use the line have yet to be priced or built.  In addition, the Federal Production Tax Credit that currently reduces wind generation costs by 2.3 cents per kwh is being phased out beginning in 2017.  Unless the wind industry can get all these wind farms built before the end of this year, the tax credit will begin being phased out through credit reductions.  All credit reductions will be added to the cost of generation.  Low-cost?  Nobody knows!  And the firm cost of buying energy via Clean Line is going to make or break any deals for firm Transmission Service Agreements that Clean Line needs before moving forward.  The proof will be in the pudding, and the pudding isn't done yet.
  4. Reliability.  Both Skelly and Moniz made statements in the media that this project will increase reliability by connecting three transmission regions.  Use of the word "reliability" should make your blood run cold, if you pay an electric bill.  Clean Line has previously made comments at regional transmission organizations purporting that because its lines could increase reliability, all ratepayers in the region should pay for them (instead of Clean Line using the "merchant" model where only users of the lines pay for them).  It's not that the regions have reliability problems that need to be solved by Clean Line projects, but that its projects will increase reliability simply by existing, and that all ratepayers in the region would benefit from increased reliability, therefore all ratepayers should pay for the Clean Line projects.  While it remains to be seen whether Clean Line will resurrect its arguments in an attempt to have ratepayers in SPP, MISO, and SERC cover its cost of building this line, the possibility is on the table. 
  5. Protections for landowners, taxpayers and ratepayers.  DOE thinks that its Participation Agreement provides protections?  I don't think so.  In fact, I've seen better protections in lines approved by state regulators.  In a future blog post, I'll review the landowner "protections" the DOE included.  Don't hold your breath.  It's another fig leaf.
  6. DOE held 15 public meetings and numerous opportunities for written comments from stakeholders.  DOE wants to take more than 700 miles of right of way from private landowners and it held only 15 public meetings?  It also failed to notify many affected landowners that the meetings were being held.  This is a travesty of "public participation" and certainly nothing to brag about.
  7. DOE says eminent domain will be used "only as a last resort."  But if it's the last resort, it's also the first resort when attempting to coerce landowners to sign voluntarily.  There is no such thing as a completely voluntary agreement when the specter of eminent domain is on the table.  All negotiations would be held with that elephant in the room, a hammer hanging over the landowner's head if they don't agree.  This is the definition of coercion, even though the Participation Agreement stipulates that "Land Agents will not use coercive action to
    induce an agreement on price or terms." 
    *cough*  window dressing *cough*
  8. DOE says the Arkansas converter station was included in response to public input.  Except I never saw one public comment that asked for an Arkansas converter station.  In fact, no Arkansas utilities expressed a desire to purchase any of Clean Line's capacity, so why would they request an Arkansas converter station?  The Arkansas converter station is a creation of Clean Line and DOE used to pretend that there's a benefit to Arkansas and it's not merely a "fly over" state.  It is a flyover state, and no Clean Line capacity will be used by Arkansans unless an Arkansas utility signs a contract to purchase it.  That may never happen.  What then?  Will the plans for an Arkansas converter station disappear?  Why build a converter station that nobody is using?
What a bunch of poppycock DOE, Clean Line and the media created here.  It's nothing but glittering generalities and lies designed to make project opposition melt away.  That won't happen.  It's going to be a rough ride, but there's too much at stake to turn around now.  Godspeed, Arkansas and Oklahoma.  You can win this!
3 Comments

U.S. DOE Takes Kickback From Investors To Condemn Private Property

3/28/2016

6 Comments

 
Think your home is your castle?  Not anymore, if the Federal government can make money selling it to a private investor.

On Friday, the U.S. Department of Energy sold its authority to condemn land to private investors in exchange for two percent of the investors' profit from using the condemned land.

That's right... the U.S. DOE will receive 2% of the revenues collected by Clean Line at the end of each fiscal quarter, once the transmission line starts delivering electricity.  DOE says it will use its new windfall "to offset costs associated with federal hydropower infrastructure or for any other authorized purpose."  So, at best, this payola will be used to lower rates for customers of federal hydropower marketers.  At worst, it will be used "for any other authorized purpose."  Of course, this isn't defined. So ol' Beethoven could "authorize" the purchase of a private island for him and his renewable energy investor buddies.  Anything goes, right, Ernie?
Picture
I don't think that was the intent of Congress in allowing a brainless piece of lobbyist mischief to become part of the 2005 Energy Policy Act.  Section 1222 doesn't contemplate the Federal government making money off transmission projects it "participates" in or "owns."  Nor does it authorize the Secretary to determine how his boodle is spent.  Not anywhere.

Everybody is making money off the Clean Line scheme.  Clean Line's investors, Clean Line's executives (personally invested in the project), legislators Clean Line has "donated" to, vendors who want to supply goods and services, local governments being paid off at the rate of $7500/transmission mile, wind companies, landowners who lease their land for wind farm royalties, Federal hydropower ratepayers, environmental groups, unions, economic development hacks, and even the Federal government.  It's all profit and no sacrifice from these entities.  Everyone's got their finger into the money pie, and it costs them nothing. These are the supposed "public benefits."

And these are the sacrifices that must be made so that "the public" can benefit.  The landowner whose property is along the transmission line route is forced to sacrifice his private property to enable this money-fest for the benefit of others without any skin in the game.  He pays dearly.  The landowner can be found at the bottom of this greed pile on.  The landowner isn't part of any "share in the wealth" plan.  The landowner is involuntarily forced to make a sacrifice by having his property condemned by the Federal government so that others can profit from its use.  In exchange, the landowner is handed a one time pittance that attempts to compensate him for the current value of his property taken.  A landowner's potential for future profit related to his property?  The Federal government doesn't recognize that in its rush to provide for the future profits of energy speculators, union workers, suppliers, etc.

If my property was subject to such a taking, I'd add the following clause to any easement or survey permission presented to me, in addition to any "fair market value" or one-time structure payments:
 Participation Amount. Commencing on and after the Project Completion, Clean Line shall pay to the easement grantor (landowner) at the end of each fiscal quarter an amount equal to 2% of the gross revenues received by the Clean Line Parties from the Project during such fiscal quarter resulting from the sale of transmission service in connection with the Project (as such gross revenue amount is reflected in Clean Line's Financial Statements for such fiscal quarter, including, with respect to the first such fiscal quarter, sales of transmission service which occurred at any time prior to Project Completion) (the “Participation Amount”).
The Participation Amounts shall be paid to landowner to offset costs associated with having their property devalued and their quality of life disturbed in perpetuity, or for any other landowner authorized purpose.
The Secretary of Energy has sold you out in exchange for quarterly dividends from Clean Line Energy Partners.  Ernie would have a really hard time telling you that you're not also eligible to receive 2% of the revenues, since you're actually making an involuntary sacrifice to enable this profit-making scheme.  Fair is fair, right?
6 Comments

Landowners To DOE:  See Ya In Court!

3/26/2016

1 Comment

 
Statement of Golden Bridge, LLC, an organization of landowners affected by Clean Line Energy Partner's proposed Plains & Eastern HVDC line to empower them to protect their rights.
The Department of Energy has released it's record of Decision on Plains and Eastern. They have opted to participate in the project, however, there appear to be numerous conditions Clean Line will have to meet.

While we are disappointed with the the decision, there are numerous legal, procedural, and meritorious questions, raised by multiple parties, we believe are still unanswered. We have long felt the fate of the Plains and Eastern project will not be decided by the DOE or Clean Line, but rather in a court of law.

Going forward, our focus will be educating landowners about their rights, the process, the powers (or lack thereof) that have been granted to Clean Line, as well as the legal options available to them as we evaluate the contents of the Record of Decision and other documents.
1 Comment

At The Crossroads

3/25/2016

0 Comments

 
What's it going to be, America?  Are you going to be part of the solution or part of the problem?

In a New York Times feature article this week, the Gatrels of Cowgill, Missouri, are pitted against a stable of merchant transmission speculators and their lobbyists and beneficiaries.

Jennifer Gatrel says,
“We believe that the East Coast has access to abundant offshore wind and that any time you talk about green or clean, you should also be talking about local,” she said. “Unnecessary long-haul transmission lines are not our country’s future.”
Gatrel grows the bulk of her family's food on their own cattle ranch.  And, as the NYT reporter put it, "Why should they have to live beneath the high-voltage lines when there is plenty of wind in the East?"  Why can't the coastal cities develop their own available renewables?  The federal government has known about the potential of offshore wind for more than a decade.  This map clearly shows that usable renewable resources exist along the coast to serve our population centers.  Why, then, does our government and the transmission proponents quoted in the NYT article skip right over offshore wind resources like they don't exist?  I think it's pretty plain after reading the article:  All the transmission proponents stand to make money building a gigantic network of overhead transmission across the country.  Their own personal profits come before science or common sense. 

Get with it, America, you have the ability to make your own local energy!  It's just not true that energy comes from "somewhere else."  A "somewhere else" off in Appalachia, where they happily mine and burn coal to produce electricity for distant cities.  Or now that coal is gauche, a "somewhere else" off in the Great Plains, where farmers sit on the porch and count their cash while happily watching windmills turn to produce electricity for distant cities.  The citizens of "somewhere else" aren't profiting from their sacrifice!  Instead, all the cash ends up in the pockets of the transmission companies, their "advisors" like Hoecker, and their pet landowner representatives like Wayne Wilcox.  Go ahead, google Wilcox, he's got more miles on him than a vintage John Deere tractor.  He's Clean Line's pet landowner, trotted out again and again when they need someone to represent "landowners" who approve of their plan.  One landowner isn't a majority.  It's one lonely landowner vs. the thousands of landowners who oppose the Grain Belt Express.

And that's what's happened in Missouri.  The Missouri Public Service Commission weighed the claimed benefits of the Grain Belt Express project against the burden on affected citizens, and Grain Belt Express came up short.  The Commission found that the project wasn't necessary or convenient for the public service.  It wasn't needed for Missouri utilities to meet their state-mandated renewable portfolio goals, and the project is not economically feasible.  The PSC determined the project proponents did not prove it would lower wholesale electric prices, lower retail electric rates, or reduce the need to generate electricity from fossil-fueled power plants.  The PSC also noted Grain Belt's failure to submit its project into the regional transmission planning process.  "The Project is not needed for grid reliability because GBE did not submit the Project to the regional planning process, has not identified any existing deficiency or inadequacy in the grid that the project addresses, and has not shown that the project is the best or least-cost way to achieve more reliability."  The Missouri Public Service Commission stands out as visionary -- the only state to say no to a badly-planned project and demand better solutions for its citizens.

Like all the projects featured on the NYT-created map in the article, Grain Belt Express is a merchant transmission project.  Merchant projects are conceived and proposed outside the established regional transmission planning process.  Projects ordered needed through the regional planning process are financed by electric ratepayers in the region who receive benefits from them.  In contrast, merchant projects are self-funded and rely on market-based need to support them financially.  If it is economical to use a merchant project, then it shall develop a customer base to support it. 

That's all fine and good, until a merchant that fails to develop a customer base looks to the government to force a customer base to develop through conditional permits and the use of eminent domain to take land cheaply for the project.  This is where the problems begin.  In a truly market-based project scenario, a developer's cost to acquire necessary right-of-way is at the mercy of the market.  The cost of right-of-way should be at whatever value is necessary to acquire land voluntarily.  The use of eminent domain, however, forces landowners to involuntarily part with their land at a utility-determined "market value" that is not the product of free market negotiation.  While Clean Line Energy Partners representative Michael Skelly says that his company "would compensate landowners for their sacrifice," he's not talking about a "share in the wealth" proposition where landowners become equal partners in the project and share in the profits.  He's talking about a one-time "market value" payment for right-of-way that is determined by his company to be adequate.  Take it or have your property condemned, with an ultimate value to be determined by the court long after the sacrifice begins.  In this scenario, the landowner is forced to live with the obstruction in perpetuity in exchange for a small one-time payment for the land in the right-of-way only.  Permanent obstructions lower the value of the entire parcel and constrain future land use possibilities.  A one-time payment for land in the easement only is not adequate compensation.

Where is the problem with this kind of project?  Opposition.  Opposition from landowners like the Gatrels results in costly delays in the permitting process, and can result in permit denials.

But it doesn't have to be this way.  Two of the featured merchant projects can be compared to show that avoiding opposition saves time and money and gets merchant projects built.  The overhead Northern Pass transmission project proposed in New Hampshire has been stalled for years due to landowner opposition.  However, the buried New England Clean Power Link has sailed through approvals with no opposition.  What's the difference?  Land use.  The Clean Power link is buried underwater and in public rights-of-way.  It's not proposed as a permanent obstruction on anyone's private property, therefore it has not generated opposition from affected landowners.  Buried transmission lines are approximately twice as costly to construct as overhead lines, but when the cost and delays of opposition are factored in, is an overhead project really cheaper to construct, especially if opposition causes outright denial?

Most merchant transmission projects, like Clean Line, are wrongly using the traditional business model for needed transmission lines ordered by regional planners and paid for by all ratepayers.  It's like trying to fit a square peg into a round hole.  A merchant project, because it's not needed, must make itself marketable by avoiding opposition, not by using the government to force opposition to accept a less appealing project in order to allow maximum profit for the merchant.  Clean Line's continued attempts to force a market for its projects has electrified (heh, pun intended) massive, sustained opposition across the Midwest.

This is how the projects featured in the NYT article are different than traditional projects, and why there is so much controversy about building them.  This is what was left out of the article.

Now, circling back to Jennifer Gatrel's point about the East Coast's failure to develop the incredible renewable potential available in its own backyard, why is that?  When offshore wind projects have been proposed in the east, opposition has developed fueled by rich landowners who don't want wind turbines junking up their sea views.  Not much different than Midwesterners not wanting wind turbines or transmission towers junking up their own pastoral views, you think?  Wrong.  The electricity produced offshore would be used by the very landowners complaining about its appearance, while the electricity produced in the Midwest would be used by the eastern landowners who don't want to look at infrastructure in their own backyard.  One is refusing to sacrifice for the benefit of others, while the other is refusing to sacrifice for its own benefit.  Who's selfish now?

Renewable energy is right there near the population centers who want to use it.  Get on with harvesting it, using it, and enjoying the economic benefits that come with a new industry.

We're at an energy crossroads in this country.  We don't have to continue to use old, centralized, energy creation and transportation paradigms that relied on harvesting and converting fossil fuels where they were abundant.  Renewable energy is everywhere.  The movement for fresh, locally grown food can be extended to fresh, local energy.  This is the only way our energy use can become truly sustainable.
0 Comments

What Funny Math Looks Like

3/23/2016

0 Comments

 
This week, Bob Stevenson ruminates on what a contract between Clean Line Energy Partners and the City of Hannibal might look like.

It looks like funny math to me.

Bob tells the ratepayers that they have four options.  But they really also have a fifth -- to tell Clean Line Energy Partners to go back to Houston and quit using Hannibal as a fattened pig to force approval by the Missouri Public Service Commission.  It is not the duty of the PSC to save Hannibal from the financial consequences of its own bad energy choices.  There's nothing Hannibal can do to cure the defects of the project upon which the PSC based its denial.  It never was a simple problem of GBE not having customers in Missouri.  The PSC found that GBE had not carried its evidentiary burden that the project is needed, economical, or that its benefits would outweigh the burden on affected landowners.  Bob sitting up in the witness chair telling the PSC that he thinks GBE is needed isn't going to cut it.  Bob wouldn't last two seconds under cross examination because he has a whole lot of personal opinion and little in the way of facts.  Does he really want to embarrass himself that way?

All Bob's options involve contracting with Clean Line Energy Partners at some point.  Let's take a look:
  1. Writing a contract with Clean Line for transmission capacity at $5/mwh.  $5/mwh?  Where did this number come from?  As we know, Clean Line quoted a $10/mwh transmission figure to Hannibal during its presentation of "wind options" in January.  Clean Line also quoted a figure of $15-20/mwh to the MO PSC.  And, finally, Clean Line quoted a figure of $20-25/mwh in a presentation to MISO.  What's the real figure?  Is Clean Line willing to sign a contract today to provide Hannibal with transmission capacity at $5/mwh?  Or is this a product of Bob's imagination?  Regardless, this is only a potential contract for transmission, not energy.  Bob figures the City would have to write a separate contract with a wind generator in Kansas in order to use the GBE capacity.  Without a firm energy contract, a transmission capacity contract is like a plane ticket to a certain location you're not sure you want to visit.  It doesn't work.  Bob thinks the "indicative" price of Kansas wind in they year 2021 might be between $19-20/mwh.  But that's nothing more than wishful thinking.  Is Bob going to sign a firm contract with a Kansas wind generator before signing a firm contract to have that generation delivered via Clean Line?  It doesn't look that way.  Bob is basing his prices on rumor.  Bob fails to take into account what future pricing may actually be when the federal production tax credit is phased out over the next 5 years.  Beginning in 2017, the tax credit is reduced by 20%, therefore wind prices will go up 20%, with additional increases every year.  Where has Bob figured this into his future pricing?  He hasn't.  In addition, Bob shares that Hannibal is paying the legal costs of developing a contract with Clean Line Energy.  Why?  Any company so eager to sign a contract should be offering to reimburse Hannibal for its contract expenses.  Why is Bob obligating Hannibal's ratepayers to pay for legal services to evaluate a contract that benefits a private corporation?
  2. Option 2 involves joining with other municipalities to make a joint purchase of Clean Line capacity (and that fictional future energy from Kansas).  Bob thinks this might save 5-10%.  But he doesn't seem to have any facts to back up his thoughts.  What happened last time Missouri municipalities got together to jointly purchase the latest and greatest generation?  Prairie State.  The track record here isn't comforting.
  3. Option 3 involves waiting until the line is built before writing a contract.  But Bob wants to convince you that will be more expensive.  Bob "expects" a lot of things to happen that won't.  Bob thinks that Clean Line transmission capacity rates will be subject to the forces of supply and demand, which would make them "higher."  Bob also thinks that construction cost overruns will show up in future rates.  He also thinks that eastern utilities will "find a way to use more of the wind energy" and drive up costs for Hannibal.  Finally, he thinks that post-construction contracts will only be available for shorter time periods.  Bob, Bob, Bob, you don't understand Clean Line's business model, do you?  It's going to cost $2.1B to build the line, assuming it ever gets approved, which isn't likely.  Clean Line doesn't have $2.1B.  It would have to borrow the money to finance construction.  In order to borrow money to finance the project, Clean Line must show the bank a revenue stream sufficient to repay the loan.  Since Clean Line is not a MISO-approved project that is cost allocated to all ratepayers in the region, Clean Line cannot use a ratepayer financed revenue stream as collateral on a loan.  Instead, Clean Line will have to present the bank with a pile of contracts for transmission capacity that obligate buyers to purchase capacity at a firm price for a firm period.  Clean Line must have evidence of its revenue stream BEFORE construction.  Therefore, Clean Line must negotiate all contracts for its capacity long before it ever puts a shovel in the ground.  Firm, long-term contracts are the best collateral, not short-term contracts for tiny bits of capacity at below-cost prices!  And furthermore, there are no "eastern utilities" interested in contracting with Clean Line.  In fact, you seem to be the only one, Bob.  Does that tell you anything?
  4. The "investment."  Option 4 involves Hannibal giving Clean Line Energy Partners a big ol' chunk of ratepayer cash up front "during construction."  In exchange for this "investment," Bob thinks Hannibal will receive free capacity for the life of the project.  Where's this investment coming from, Bob?  Just for giggles, let's use the figure of $12.5M.  Where is BPW going to get the $12.5M?  Will it borrow the money?  If so, then the City will be paying interest on the money it has borrowed, and it will be expected to repay the loan.  An "investment" in ownership of the project like that would be a utility capital asset.  Capital assets are paid for over their useful life.  Therefore, Hannibal would have to determine the useful life of its asset and depreciate it over that time period.  Depreciation of the asset gets added to rates.  Therefore there would be a yearly cost for such an "investment."  It wouldn't provide capacity at "$0/mwh for the life of the project."  In addition, ownership comes with obligations, such as annual operations and maintenance expense, taxes, etc.  That would also have to be added to the depreciation costs and will be reflected in increased rates.  In addition, any "investment" will not be secured.  If Clean Line doesn't finish building its project, or goes broke several years down the line, Hannibal loses its entire investment.  Entirely.  However, ratepayers would still be on the hook to repay the $12.5M, even though they would receive nothing in return.  This has to be the worst option Bob has come up with.
Here's Option 5:  Do nothing now.  It's the only "free" option.  Let Clean Line sink or swim on its own.  When Hannibal is ready to write a contract for future energy, it can follow its purchasing procedures to write a Request for Proposals and accept sealed bids from companies wishing to supply Hannibal with energy.  When companies compete, Hannibal ratepayers win!  It makes no sense (and may not be quite legal) for Hannibal BPW to write contracts with a certain transmission company behind closed doors.  The ratepayers of Hannibal deserve better -- they must demand that energy purchases follow established procedure to be evaluated through an open and competitive process.

When does the repainting of the water tower begin?
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So You Want To Be An Electric Resource Planner?

3/17/2016

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Where are the warts, Bob?  Where are the warts?  Another week, another glowing review of the Grain Belt Express project from Bob Stevenson, where he tells people that GBE has no warts.  Those are "beauty marks," right?  In his first weekly testimonial, Bob promised to tell the people of Hannibal the truth about GBE "warts and all."  When someone promises that, and then finds absolutely no warts to expose at all, it makes me suspicious that everything might be less than truthful.

This week's offering talks about resource planning.  Well, sort of.  Bob talks about his great opportunity to cut the city's ties to "full requirements" contracts and replace them with what looks like some sort of amateur integrated resource plan where price (or is it a "potential" price?) is the most important factor, followed by having tons of resource diversity to lessen the effects of any one bad choice.

Does Hannibal have a professionally developed integrated resource plan?  Doesn't sound like it to me.  Bob says the BPW has relied on full requirements contracts with Ameren, who currently performs this function for them.  An integrated resource plan is a long range plan that looks at need and available options in order to determine the most cost effective and reliable plan to supply the need.  However, like a brand new college student, Hannibal will soon be released from all the rules and oversight it had previously been forced to live under.  Bob shares that now Hannibal can do whatever it wants -- buy however much power it wants from whoever it wants to buy it from.  Who needs a plan?

Bob explains that Hannibal has already put 56% of its eggs in the Prairie State basket.  Ameren didn't obligate Hannibal to buy that.  Hannibal thought it was a good idea, so they did it.  And Prairie State has been a financial disaster.  Even Bob admits Prairie State's prices haven't meet expectations and it "is the most expensive power in Hannibal's portfolio today."  That means that Hannibal's first attempt to independently purchase a resource was a financial and planning failure. 

He also shares that BPW made a much more economical recent purchase for summer peak power through a competitive bidding process.  Let's hope it doesn't develop any Prairie State warts.  What are the chances?

The remainder of Hannibal's power will be purchased through MISO's power market, and turns out to be the lowest-priced option in Bob's little portfolio.  Why is that?  Because MISO's market is professionally run and managed, and power markets are at historic lows right now.  MISO does the hard work to supply the most economical options for purchase by Hannibal.

Bob compares his little "integrated resource plan" to retirement investing.  It's so easy, anyone can do it!  Who needs a professional investment planner?  And why would Hannibal need a professional integrated resource planner, when they have Bob?  Bob is a registered professional engineer with over 15 years of experience.  Except engineers aren't financial planners, are they?

At the end of this week's column, Bob starts talking about how GBE "holds the potential to connect us to a very low cost future energy source."  My bedroom held the potential for flying fuschia elephants over the weekend, too.  But then I realized I wasn't being told the truth by the 104 degree fever and influenza particles who'd recently shown up on my doorstep promising me the most amazing adventure.  The elephants weren't real, but they were way more fun to watch than anything on television.  GBE is nothing but a "potential" future energy highway for a "potential" future energy source.  Two layers of potential there. And GBE has proposed that Hannibal invest $12.5M of its ratepayers' money in its "potential" energy highway.  If the "potential" energy source or energy highway doesn't happen, Hannibal's money disappears completely.  All of it.  Why would Hannibal want to pay millions for a "potential" energy source?  "Potential" doesn't turn the lights on.

Bob loves Kansas wind generators!  He relates that they are currently signing 25-year contracts with purchasers for less than 2 cents/kwh!  But Bob is completely wrong when he says, "this energy is not available to us due to limitations of the existing high voltage transmission system."  If Bob wanted to sign up to purchase Kansas wind, he certainly could.  These generators are currently signing contracts with customers, right, Bob?  How is that happening if the existing high voltage transmission system is so limited, Bob?  This doesn't sound like a fact.  It sounds like something Bob made up to try to create a "need" for Clean Line.  In fact, Clean Line presented Bob with a "wind option" for Hannibal that included Kansas wind, delivered over the existing transmission system, for 3.27 cents/kwh (or less)!  Is Bob not paying attention?

And where's the competitive process, Bob?  After sharing that his most recent contract purchase was the result of a competitive bid process, Bob wants to sign a contract with GBE without any competitive process at all.  This should never happen.  A power option that can't stand up to competition is one that isn't worth purchasing.

And don't miss next week's column... Bob will be discussing the potential benefits of Hannibal becoming a  customer and advocate for Clean Line Energy.  Becoming an advocate?  You mean that hasn't already happened?  Will advocacy for Clean Line keep Hannibal homes warm next winter?

Bob's only fooling himself.  There's warts all over this thing.
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How Much Do You Want to Pay Environmental PIGs to "Represent" You at FERC?

3/9/2016

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Warning... this is going to be a long one.  Like a terrifying octopus, this issue has tentacles going in all directions.  Hopefully I can follow them all, so that you, little consumer, can follow along and perhaps act in your own interests down the road.

Let's start with the good news -- FERC has approved ratepayer funding for the Consumer Advocates of the PJM States (CAPS) to participate in PJM matters.  This is good news for consumers in the PJM region who don't have time or inclination to participate in PJM's countless stakeholder proceedings.  CAPS is made up of "state advocate offices designated by the laws of their respective jurisdictions to represent the interests of utility consumers within the service territory of PJM...".  These state consumer advocates are overworked and underfunded for all they do on behalf of residential electric customers. 

One caveat in the Order, however, says that CAPS funding may only be used for "staffing and travel costs for state consumer advocates to participate in in-person meetings and other proceedings at PJM as well as to pay professional staff and operation of the CAPS organization."  This also includes "participation in other Commission activities, such as responding to Notices of Proposed Rulemakings and participating in Technical Conferences."  CAPS funding may not be used for "(1) activities related to proceedings of state agencies;  (2) proceedings at federal agencies other than the  Commission; (3) litigation of matters at the Commission arising from the filing of Tariff or Operating Agreement changes by PJM including the filing of interventions or protests or participation in hearings or settlements; or (4) the hiring of counsel or expert witnesses to support the filings of other parties."

However, Commissioner Tony Clark dissented, stating:
This Commission has not before endorsed the policy that the activities of non-decisional
intervenor groups be funded through a dedicated utility tariff under the auspices of the FPA. Yet here we are doing exactly that. Today’s order is couched in the language of
good intentions, but I find it troubling  precedent as both a matter of policy and prudence.
Commissioner Clark said that this Order "cracks open Pandora's box," and before the ink was even dry on the Order and the Dissent, that's exactly what happened.  Clark wondered:
My public policy concern is that there is little that meaningfully differentiates these
organizations from a myriad of other state agencies and not-for-profit governmental
organizations or other interest groups that will now say, “what about my piece of the
pie?” CAPS entities argue they are uniquely situated. But aren’t state energy offices, in
their own way, also uniquely situated? What about state departments of environmental
quality? Do they, too, deserve a Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) funded
organization to finance their participation in stakeholder meetings? Furthermore, given
that CAPS includes at least one non-governmental non-profit, we now have cracked-open the lid of Pandora’s Box just a little wider yet. What is to stop any of the countless groups that intersect with the regulatory world from arguing that they are also uniquely situated to speak for any  number of communities of interest?
Which brings us to... Monday, when the very PIGs (Public Interest Groups) Commissioner Clark was concerned about filed a rulemaking petition looking for their own piece of the pie.

It's no secret that Public Citizen has been harping on FERC for years to set up the Office of Public Participation which was authorized by Congress back in 1978.  That's 38 years ago, folks.  And Public Citizen just now thought about filing a Petition for Rulemaking?  That's some stellar FERC work right there!  Thirty eight years ago, a leisure-suited Congress authorized such an office, along with a funding stream to compensate "persons under this subsection" through the year 1981.  What is new is that Public Citizen now wants its piece of the "person" pie!  And Public Citizen has brought along an entire herd of hungry PIGs to gobble up what it believes should now be a $6.5M yearly pie.  The petition was signed by 31 self-appointed PIG "advocates" for consumers and the environment, and not a state advocate office designated by the laws of their respective jurisdictions to represent the interests of utility consumers in the bunch.

The hungry PIGs are a hodge-podge of "consumer interest" groups you've never heard of, environmental organizations, "coalitions," "projects," "centers," "councils," "institutes," "partnerships," and an "investment corporation."  I've never seen many of these groups doing much of anything at FERC, and I haven't seen them litigating actual rate cases that save consumers real money.  The few I have seen poking their stick into the FERC lion cage are more interested in policy issues, such as championing environmental interests before the Commission.  These organizations are already very well funded through grants and gifts to advocate for the environment.  Do they deserve public money for carrying out their political goals?  These aren't public interest groups, they're specialty interest groups.

Let's look at just a couple on the list.  Public Citizen describes its climate and energy program as:  "Public Citizen's energy and climate program advocates for affordable, clean and sustainable energy. We safeguard families by promoting the strong regulation of energy markets, educate the public on the dangers of continued reliance on dirty energy sources, help solve climate change by promoting localized clean energy alternatives and hold large energy corporations accountable by exposing wrongdoing."  The group's Form 990s available here and here describe their Energy Program as:  "Provides information to the public on the threat of catastrophic climate change, the dangers of nuclear and fossil fuels, and the opportunities available to advance energy efficiency and develop renewable energy solutions."  And they show a whole lot of income from mysteriously unnamed donors, and grants to clean energy programs.  And they also show that Public Citizen has its fingers in a whole lot of political issue pies, not just energy.  Their "Accomplishments" page is devoid of any victories at FERC.  I'm not convinced that Public Citizen is substantially contributing to important issues at the Commission, or that any participation by Public Citizen presents a "financial hardship" for their "person."

At the other end of the PIG roll, A World Institute for a Sustainable Humanity describes itself as:  "A World Institute for a Sustainable Humanity (A W.I.S.H.) is an international nonprofit organization whose mission is to provide models and support for life sustaining activities that integrate solutions to poverty and the environment while fostering self-reliance. It was founded in March of 1995 and is registered as an NGO in fourteen countries and states."  A search of FERC's eLibrary for this organization brings up nada.  I'm not convinced they have ever done anything at FERC that contributed to any substantial issues.

This seems more like a "build the funding and they will come" pipe dream.
So, what does the 1978 law say, anyhow?
(a)
(1) There shall be an office in the Commission to be known as the Office of Public Participation (hereinafter in this section referred to as the “Office”).
(2)
(A) The Office shall be administered by a Director. The Director shall be appointed by the Chairman with the approval of the Commission. The Director may be removed during his term of office by the Chairman, with the approval of the Commission, only for inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office.
(B) The term of office of the Director shall be 4 years. The Director shall be responsible for the discharge of the functions and duties of the Office. He shall be appointed and compensated at a rate not in excess of the maximum rate prescribed for GS–18 of the General Schedule under section 5332 of title 5.
(3) The Director may appoint, and assign the duties of, employees of such Office, and with the concurrence of the Commission he may fix the compensation of such employees and procure temporary and intermittent services to the same extent as is authorized under section 3109 of title 5.
(b)
(1) The Director shall coordinate assistance to the public with respect to authorities exercised by the Commission. The Director shall also coordinate assistance available to persons intervening or participating or proposing to intervene or participate in proceedings before the Commission.
(2) The Commission may, under rules promulgated by it, provide compensation for reasonable attorney’s fees, expert witness fees, and other costs of intervening or participating in any proceeding before the Commission to any person whose intervention or participation substantially contributed to the approval, in whole or in part, of a position advocated by such person. Such compensation may be paid only if the Commission has determined that--
(A) the proceeding is significant, and
(B) such person’s intervention or participation in such proceeding without receipt of compensation constitutes a significant financial hardship to him.

(3) Nothing in this subsection affects or restricts any rights of any intervenor or participant under any other applicable law or rule of law.
(4) There are authorized to be appropriated to the Secretary of Energy to be used by the Office for purposes of compensation of persons under the provisions of this subsection not to exceed $500,000 for the fiscal year 1978, not to exceed $2,000,000 for the fiscal year 1979, not to exceed $2,200,000 for the fiscal year 1980, and not to exceed $2,400,000 for the fiscal year 1981.
So, any funding to "persons" is contingent upon the participation substantially contributing the approval of that person's position.  This is not an advance funding free-for-all for PIGs to suddenly access funds to create their own offices to participate in FERC ratemaking.  Funding only comes AFTER a "person" wins a case.  The proceeding also must be "significant," whatever FERC wants to presume that to be.  Such "person's" participation must also present a "financial hardship."  That's a conundrum.  If a person can only collect funding after their position is approved by the Commission, then said "person" would have already spent the money to participate, without knowing in advance if they will prevail, or whether the proceeding is "significant."  If the money has been spent without promise of funding, then how could the "person" then make a case of financial hardship?  If it's a true financial hardship, they'd never be able to participate in the first place.  For real people, every dollar they spend on lawyers and experts is one dollar less they can spend on hot dogs and tickets to the ball game.

Public Citizen then goes on to quote the Congressional Record from 1978, which makes clear that Congress intended this public participation to come from "electric consumers," or "individuals."  I don't see anything in there about PIGs.  After all, any "person" could declare that their efforts were "for consumers," and attempt to score some public funding for participating at the Commission, even utilities, or utility industry coalitions or associations, such as EEI.  Who knows what will pop out of Pandora's box?

Case in point... after blathering on about how the idea for the Office of Public Participation was based on public participation by electric ratepayers, in ratemaking, Public Citizen says this:
The Office of Public Participation is also needed to provide support to communities involved with FERC-jurisdictional hydro and natural gas infrastructure proposals.
Funny that.  The Delaware Riverkeeper Network also used FERC's failure to create the Office of Public Participation and fund intervenor costs as an example of FERC's "bias" in its recent lawsuit filed against the Commission in U.S. District Court.  While I have the utmost sympathy for individuals personally affected by fracking and pipelines, I have no respect for the environmental groups who use these folks as battering rams to accomplish their environmental goals.  That lawsuit was painful to read and I can't imagine a court wasting much time on it.  Just because funding for FERC's gas program comes from gas companies does not create bias.  The annual costs for the program are allocated to gas companies based on their usage.  The Commission would be funded whether or not they approved new pipeline applications, because gas will continue to flow.  Adding new pipelines to the stable simply spreads out the costs among a larger herd.  It does not increase FERC's "take," nor pay dividends to FERC employees to approve pipelines.  The continual attacks on FERC (both judicial and in person at the facility) aren't helping the cause.  About the only good argument in the whole lawsuit relates to requests for rehearing, and FERC has already handled that.  And that's oftentime the problem with environmental and other group participation that comes from "outside" FERC's little specialty practice arena.  It can be clueless about process, laws, and even FERC's jurisdiction to act in the first place.  I'm not sure adding more misinformed voices to the shuffle is prudent or helpful.  If you want to participate at FERC, make it meaningful.  Don't just carry on at monthly meetings, interrupting every other hearing underway in the building, because you're angry and unsatisfied with your own ignorance of the process.  Educate yourself!

And be careful what you wish for.  In discussions with grassroots groups in states with a mechanism for intervenor funding for participation in public utility cases, the same complaint comes up over and over.  They allege that well-heeled and well-connected PIGs are always first in line at the funding trough, and there is precious little left over for the folks who are actually on the front lines of energy projects and rate increases.  Oftentimes the PIGs use their funding to weigh in on the side of the utilities, especially to enable construction of renewable energy infrastructure.  PIGs don't care about you, little ratepayer or landowner.  They really don't.

Funding PIGs to carry on in a nonsensical manner at FERC is a bad idea.  Let's see if FERC actually notices a proposed rulemaking on this issue, or simply bats it aside as more PIG mischief.
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Things That Blow A Lot

3/9/2016

4 Comments

 
Bob Stevenson is at it again.

Yesterday, dear Bob penned his weekly Clean Line sales pitch in the Hannibal Courier-Post, just like clockwork.  And guess what?  Also like clockwork, Bob gets the facts wrong again!

Bob's premise this week attempts to rely on the Missouri Public Service Commission Order denying the application of Grain Belt Express.  All 27 pages!  Bob also thinks the dissents of a minority of the Commissioners have some relevance.  But, remember, they are the minority opinion and only good for appeals, which never happened.

Bob says:
With its disapproval last July, the Public Service Commission (PSC) invited CLE to correct some serious deficiencies in their application and re-apply. The most serious deficiency noted by the PSC was that CLE had no specific electric customers in the state.

.........................

But the PSC rejected their original application, encouraging the company to find specific wholesale customers within the state.
I'm thinking that Bob never actually read the MO PSC Order at all, because it doesn't say that.  Not even close!  Likewise, the dissents Bob touts don't say that either.  In a tiny footnote at the bottom of the Order, the PSC notes:
As some parties have recently noted, GBE has the option to file a new application for a CCN at any point if it eventually gathers information it feels would make a better case for this project or a new project. See Staff’s Response to the Recommendation of Grain Belt Express Clean Line LLC, EFIS No. 544, and Response of the Missouri Landowners Alliance to Recommendation of Grain Belt Express to Hold Case in Abeyance, EFIS No. 540.
This is merely an indication of a denial without prejudice.  It is not a guarantee that if GBE files a new application, it will be successful.  It would be exceedingly rare if a Commission issued a denial with prejudice, which would mean the company could not reapply.  GBE is free to apply as many times as its budget will allow.

And it does NOT indicate what information GBE should gather to make a better case for its project, such as tossing the eviscerated bodies of a few Missouri municipalities on the table.  It means curing all the deficiencies the PSC noted, such as:
GBE has failed to meet, by a preponderance of the evidence, its burden of proof to demonstrate that the Project as described in its application for a certificate of convenience and necessity is necessary or convenient for the public service.

When making a determination of whether an applicant or project is convenient or necessary, the Commission has traditionally applied five criteria, commonly known as the Tartan factors, which are as follows:
  1. a)  There must be a need for the service;
  2. b)  The applicant must be qualified to provide the proposed service;
  3. c)  The applicant must have the financial ability to provide the service;
  4. d)  The applicant’s proposal must be economically feasible; and
  5. e)  The service must promote the public interest.
However, the evidence showed that the Project is not needed for Missouri investor-owned utilities to meet the requirements of the RES.

The Project is not needed for grid reliability because GBE did not submit the Project to the regional planning process, has not identified any existing deficiency or inadequacy in the grid that the project addresses, and has not shown that the project is the best or least- cost way to achieve more reliability. 

Although GBE elected not to submit the Project to the MISO regional transmission process, MISO has an effective planning process to enable states in the MISO footprint, which includes portions of Missouri, to meet RES requirements using renewable wind resources. Since areas of MISO have some of the best wind energy resources in the United States, it is more likely that the large amount of available MISO wind can satisfy the needs of Missouri utilities for wind energy compared to the smaller amount of Kansas wind that GBE proposes to inject into MISO at the Missouri converter station. The Commission concludes that GBE has failed to meet its burden of proof to demonstrate that the service it proposes in its application for a certificate of convenience and necessity is needed in Missouri.

GBE has not presented adequate evidence to show that the Project is economically feasible.
Staff made credible criticisms of the GBE studies and pointed out the large amount of important information that is not known about the impact of the Project on Missouri. Interconnection studies with SPP, MISO and PJM have not been completed or are inconsistent with the Project’s current design, plans for operations, maintenance or emergency restoration have not yet been developed by GBE, and GBE production modeling studies do not support GBE’s claims that retail electric rates would decrease. In addition, there is a good chance that Project costs would increase beyond what was estimated by GBE due to transmission upgrades, congestion, wind integration and the need for additional ramping capacity.
Dr. Michael Proctor presented credible evidence that Ameren Missouri would have lower-cost alternatives than the Project for meeting its need for capacity and energy, both with and without considering the renewable energy requirements of the Missouri RES. GBE failed to perform adequate studies and present sufficient evidence on this analysis, which the Commission would need to properly evaluate economic feasibility of the Project. Dr. Proctor’s analysis showed that natural gas-fired combined cycle generation is the most cost-effective generation alternative, and that wind energy from areas of MISO or through the purchase of RECs are a lower cost alternative to wind energy generated by the Project. Therefore, the Project is not the least-cost alternative for meeting Missouri’s future needs for either energy and capacity or renewable energy, so it is highly unlikely to meet the Commission’s rule for 1% rate impact limitation from renewable energy.

Since the Commission has concluded that GBE has not met two of the Tartan factors, by that standard GBE cannot show that the Project promotes the public interest.

However, the Commission will also consider further some of the specific public benefits of the Project claimed by GBE.

As Staff witnesses point out, as a result of GBE’s inadequate production modeling studies, GBE’s claims that the Project would lead to lower renewable energy compliance costs, lower wholesale electric prices, lower retail electric rates, and reduce the need to generate electricity from fossil-fueled power plants are not sufficiently supported by the record. Moreover, the Project is not needed to satisfy the Missouri RES requirements. Although GBE argues that the Project will make wind energy more accessible to MISO and PJM customers, the evidence shows that wind energy is already accessible in those regions and, at least in MISO, has more than doubled as a percentage of total energy generated in the last three years. GBE alleges that the Project would result in economic benefits, but its studies are not reliable, as they fail to consider any negative economic impacts resulting from job displacement and energy production. Finally, GBE touts the Project as a way for Missouri to access affordable clean energy as increasing environmental regulations increase costs for coal plants. It is too soon to say what the impact of the proposal will be on Missouri.

In this case the evidence shows that any actual benefits to the general public from the Project are outweighed by the burdens on affected landowners. The Commission concludes that GBE has failed to meet its burden of proof to demonstrate that the Project as described in its application for a certificate of convenience and necessity promotes the public interest.
Nope.  Nothing in there about "the most serious deficiency noted by the PSC was that CLE had no specific electric customers in the state."  Nothing about having electric customers in the state at all.  There is a plethora of issues GBE must cure in a second application, and having customers in Missouri is not one of them.

Having customers in Missouri appears to be a creation of GBE.  Instead of curing its real deficiencies, GBE seems to be of the mind that if it produces some customers, or merely "good witnesses," that all the other deficiencies will go away.  That's rather naive.  Perhaps GBE thinks that it can use Missouri municipalities as hostages in a future PSC case?  If GBE can coerce municipalities to heedlessly "invest" in its project, then perhaps it may base a future case on the financial harm that would come to the municipalities' ratepayers if the project isn't approved by the PSC.  GBE certainly can't be thinking that producing a municipal witness like Bob can cure all the deficiencies in the Order, can they?  I don't believe that Bob's "expertise" in utility matters could outweigh that of other witnesses to cure the defects.  I'm guessing Bob would only serve as a fattened pig for slaughter at the PSC.

The evidence is in this Order.  Bob's continued denial of the facts, and reliance on his own wishful thinking to support GBE, is harmful to the ratepayers it is his duty to serve.  Bob's first allegiance should be to provide economic electric service to the citizens of Hannibal.  To deny the expert determination of the MO PSC, and even Clean Line's own presentation that showed MISO wind as a comparable option to its project, Bob certainly can't be serving the ratepayers.  Who does Bob serve?
4 Comments

Can You Afford a Green Pyramid in Your Town?

3/3/2016

9 Comments

 
If Egyptology suddenly came into fashion in Oregon, and enthusiasts convinced the state to use its ratemaking powers to advance the cause, utilities would gladly build a pyramid in Portland, and they would make money doing so.
That's how cost of service utility rates work.  the more money utilities invest in their systems, the more money they make.  That's because every dollar they spend is returned to them by ratepayers, plus interest, over the usable life of the asset (often 40 years or more).  It works just like your home mortgage -- the bank invests in your house, and you pay them a small amount of principal every month, along with interest on the remaining balance, until the debt is exhausted.  But while your interest rate may be somewhere between 3 - 5%, utilities earn interest on their investments at a rate between 9 - 12%, or more.  Utilities and their regulators insist that these kind of interest rates are necessary to attract investment in utility infrastructure.

So, what's this about a green pyramid?  A recent op-ed in the Wall Street Journal by NARUC president Travis Kavulla tells How Utilities are Teaming Up with Greens Against Consumers.*  Mr. Kavulla ought to know -- the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners is a trade group for state utility commissioners.

Mr. Kavulla points out how big green is driving state policy to hasten the switch to renewables, and many utilities are going along for the ride because it's profitable for them.  What you may think is great environmental policy may be costing you a lot more.  The environmental groups behind this legislation that urge you to support it usually fail to tell you the whole story.  When they claim to have wrestled a utility giant to the floor to get environmental concessions, the truth is that the utility only went along because there was more profit in it for them then they could make from resisting.  And who pays the bill?  You do!

In addition to Mr. Kavulla's excellent example, consider the Sierra Club's proposed "settlement" agreement with utility giant AEP in Ohio.  Sierra Club told the public that they scored big by "forcing" AEP to agree to repower with natural gas (or close) some of its coal plants 15 years from now, and to "commit" to develop 500 megawatts of wind energy and 400 megawatts of solar energy.  In exchange, Sierra Club agreed to allow AEP to rip off Ohio consumers by making them pay to financially prop up power plants that are uneconomic for the company.  Ratepayers will foot the bill to repower or close the coal plants, plus the cost of developing the renewables, plus the cost of the rate increase AEP wanted in the first place.  Sierra Club wins!  AEP wins!  Electric ratepayers lose!

While saving the environment may have been an admirable goal at one time, it's gone way, way beyond that in recent years.  Big green is outta control!  They're no longer funded by their members and therefore responsive to their needs.  Now they're funded by enough foundations, dummy organizations, and front groups to give the Koch brothers wet dreams.  It's all secretly funded by what I like to call "the environmental 1%," a bunch of filthy rich guys who want to control energy policy for their own gain.  How do they gain?  They invest in renewable energy.   No different than the hated Koch critters.  Their big green organizations are now bought and paid for through grants and contributions.  They're not a consumer's friend any more.  It's no longer about protecting the environment... the game plan has changed.  Big green doesn't care how much it costs you... and the utilities are raking in their own kind of green.

But don't worry, little ratepayer, when you can no longer afford to pay your electric bill, you can always warm your tootsies at your town's green pyramid.

*If you're not a WSJ subscriber, copy and paste the headline into google and click through to read the article for free.
9 Comments

How MISO Works (for Bob)

3/2/2016

2 Comments

 
Hannibal Board of Public Works General Manager Bob Stevenson's weekly sales pitches for Clean Line Energy Partners are getting sillier.

This week's offering accuses investor owned utility Ameren of keeping its transmission lines "overloaded" in order to maximize profit.  In order to get there, Bob completely overlooks the efforts of the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) to plan and operate the regional transmission system.

Bob supposes that Ameren manipulates its transmission lines to increase economic congestion and that only a non-MISO transmission proposal can fix it.

Impossible!

Here's what MISO, a federally regulated regional transmission system operator, does:
  1. Reliability Assurance - "...we provide enhanced operating and monitoring of the regional electric grid and more efficient use of the region’s transmission infrastructure."  Including Ameren's!
  2. Transmission and Resource Planning - "MISO facilitates value-based regional planning for reliable generation and transmission of energy. Our ongoing studies and evaluations consider seasonal demand fluctuations, growing consumer needs and the integration of renewable energy."  MISO plans and orders transmission lines needed for reliability, economics (including transmission line congestion), and public policy purposes.  If the region needs a new transmission line to make electric delivery more reliable, more economic, or to meet public policy goals, MISO planners find the most robust and economic solution, and orders the project to be built through a competitive process.
  3. Competitive Markets - "We use a five-minute commitment process that provides market liquidity and transparent pricing while also minimizing congestion and maximizing efficient energy transmission."  Including Ameren's!
  4. Tariff Administration - "As a regional transmission organization, we are the sole decision-making authority on the provision of transmission service in accordance with our FERC-approved tariff. Additionally, we coordinate transmission use and administration with other tariffs in the region."  How transmission is priced and paid for in the region, according to the tariff, which prevents utilities like Ameren from gaming the system.
 Bob's accusations against Ameren are unfounded.  Moreover, they simply couldn't happen because of all the things MISO does.

If Ameren creates economic congestion (which, in simplest terms, means that the cheapest generation cannot reach every community), then MISO would order a new transmission line to decrease congestion and lower prices.  However, it isn't always economic or desirable to eliminate all congestion.  Congestion will always exist and even the most careful planning may do nothing but shift it around.  When eliminating certain congestion will provide more benefit than cost, MISO will order transmission to eliminate it.

MISO did not create a Clean Line in its regional transmission plan, nor order it to be built!

Clean Line could have presented its transmission plan to MISO and requested it be studied to solve existing or anticipated reliability, economic or public policy purposes, and whether it passed a cost/benefit analysis.  If MISO had agreed that a Clean Line served some purpose, it would have included it in its plan, ordered it to be built, with the costs allocated to regional electric ratepayers.  Instead, Clean Line chose to proceed with its project outside MISO's planning process.  Therefore, there is no documented need for a Clean Line.  It is completely extraneous -- a market-based proposition that will succeed or fail based on market need for such a project.

In short, MISO has not found a need for Clean Line.  Not to "accommodate new wind farms."  Not to "redesign and expand the transmission system."  Not to alleviate economic congestion.  Not to prevent Ameren from exercising market power.  Not for any reason.

Moreover, Clean Line's own presentation to Hannibal detailing "wind options" for the city showed several economically-comparable options that most likely used Ameren-owned transmission lines (at transmission prices much, much less than the purported price of transmission via a Clean Line).

Our transmission system is perfectly adequate for its intended purpose.  That's what MISO does.

MISO does not sit around watching the transmission system rot while waiting for foreign investors to propose extraneous transmission projects to meet need.  That's ridiculous!

That's Bob!  For this week!
2 Comments
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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