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Your Lack of Planning is NOT my Responsibility!

11/13/2023

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PJM Interconnection's solution to 2022 Window 3 transmission needs is comprised of a collection of new and upgraded 500kV transmission lines, along with a number of 230kV new lines and upgrades.  Why does this matter?  It's all about who pays.

PJM will assign project costs to different subregions of its territory according to its existing FERC-approved cost allocation rules.  As noted in a recent FERC Order, these rules are:
PJM utilizes a hybrid cost allocation method, which the Commission found complies with Order No. 1000, for Regional Facilities and Necessary Lower Voltage Facilities that address a reliability need.  Under this method, PJM allocates 50% of the costs of Regional Facilities or Necessary Lower Voltage Facilities on a load-ratio share basis and the other 50% based on the solution-based distribution factor (DFAX) method.  PJM allocates all of the costs of Lower Voltage Facilities using the solution-based DFAX method.  Cost responsibility assignments pursuant to the Order No. 1000-compliant cost allocation method are included in Schedule 12-Appendix A of the Tariff. 
500kV lines are "Regional Facilities".  It is likely that the 230kV improvements will be "Necessary Lower Voltage Facilities."  Therefore, 50% of the cost of these new lines, estimated at $5.4B, will be allocated to ALL customers in the PJM region based on their load-ratio share.  The load-ratio share, in layman's terms, is the amount of PJM's total load used by each sub-region. Everyone who pays an electric bill in PJM will pay for their share of $2.7B of new transmission that is only necessary because of the building of new data centers in Northern Virginia and the closing of fossil fuel generation made necessary by the clean energy laws of certain states.  Although the reason for the lines is caused by only a portion of the region, everyone pays.

The other 50%, or $2.7B, of the costs will be allocated using the DFAX method which, in layman's terms, would be the specific sub-regions who use the new facilities.

This is set in stone and it cannot be changed unless PJM petitions FERC to change its cost allocation rules, or FERC takes the initiative to begin a proceeding to investigate electric rates that have become unjust and unreasonable. 

This cost allocation for PJM's new projects is not fair.  However, there is nothing you can do about it.

In a recent case, PJM filed a cost allocation document for recently approved projects intended to solve the closing of the Brandon Shores coal-fired plant in Baltimore.  Most of the cost was allocated to the sub-region around Baltimore that would use the new facilities, with some smaller portions assigned to other sub-regions.  Maryland regulators didn't like this.  They thought PJM should have found other solutions to the generator closing instead of a quickly approved transmission plan that cost nearly a billion dollars.  The Maryland regulators filed a protest in PJM's cost assignment FERC docket.  FERC said that since the cost allocation PJM made was in accord with PJM's existing, FERC-approved cost allocation rules, there was nothing they could do but approve it.

However, something interesting happened there.  Commissioner Mark Christie, a champion for electric ratepayers, said it wasn't fair, although he was obligated to approve it.  You should read his Concurrence because it may be a harbinger of things to come.
PJM has told us that if we fail to approve those transmission projects in this RTEP driven by the closure of the Brandon Shores coal generating unit located in Maryland, the grid will likely suffer a severe voltage collapse in Baltimore and the surrounding zones, including Northern Virginia, the District of Columbia, Delaware and southeastern Pennsylvania. Such a result could be potentially catastrophic.
While these projects are very costly – and I take seriously the concerns expressed by the Organization of PJM States, Inc. (OPSI), Maryland Public Service Commission (MD PSC) and Maryland Office of People’s Counsel (OPC) – given this Hobson’s choice I concur with approving PJM’s RTEP filing.
While I concur, I note that this element of the RTEP filing raises more questions than it answers, and some of those questions are extraordinarily important.  
Although perhaps he did not find the cost allocation fair, Commissioner Christie chose to approve it because of the extreme risk of blackouts if the projects were delayed by a FERC investigation into the justness and reasonableness of PJM's cost allocation policies.

We are hobbled by PJM's bad policies and poor planning practices into a future that never allocates project costs fairly.  Will people complain about the upcoming cost allocation of PJM's 2022 Window 3 projects?  Absolutely.  But will FERC open an investigation, or will it be forced into another Hobson's choice?

Commissioner Christie shared his thoughts on how PJM's cost allocation rules have been rendered unjust and unreasonable by recent events.
Let me emphasize that the State of Maryland, within its sovereign police powers, clearly has the authority to mandate any particular mix of generating resources it prefers.  Maryland’s new climate law is well within its inherent authority to enact.  Such policies are for Marylanders to choose, not RTOs or FERC.  But if the resulting transmission projects under protest in this RTEP filing are caused more by Maryland’s policy choices than by organic load growth and economic resource retirements, then a salient question that may be asked is whether these transmission projects are more accurately categorized as public policy projects, essentially the same as the transmission upgrades caused by New Jersey’s offshore wind projects?
And if they are more accurately categorized as public policy projects, should such projects be regionally cost-allocated, potentially to consumers in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Ohio, et al.?
A very relevant question that can also be applied to the current problem with PJM's 2022 Window 3.  Is the closing of more generation in certain states due to their climate laws, and the out-of-control building of new data centers that will only benefit one or two counties in Virginia, more of a public policy issue that should be paid for by the states/localities involved?  After all, it is their choice to put pressure on the amount of generation available in PJM.  Before passing laws that mandate the closing of existing generators, or before approving the building of new facilities that require extreme amounts of new electric supply, the states or localities responsible need to make sure that they still have adequate generation available to serve their load.  It is within their power to include a provision in their law that the closing of generators must be balanced with the building of new generators.  It is also within these state powers to make sure there is an adequate supply of generation in the state/locality to serve big, new electric customers like data centers, before approving them.  Instead, the states/localities are making these choices and leaving the consequences on the doorstep of others who have no vote on that state's policy choices.  This is not just and reasonable.  It's irresponsible.  It's selfish.  It pushes the consequences of a state's policy choices off on residents of other states.  In this same vein, do the voluntary policy choices of one state that requires new transmission also compel other states to use their eminent domain authority to take property from their state's residents to create easements for new transmission that serves the state making the selfish policy?  Why would I be asked to give up my property to build transmission that is caused by the building of data centers in Northern Virginia?

The "New Jersey" approach Commissioner Christie refers to is what's known as the "state agreement" approach to cost allocation.  It is a more recent construct that allows a state with a new public policy to voluntarily agree to shoulder all the costs of new transmission made necessary by their state policies.  This construct would prevent the unjust and unreasonable allocation of costs to states that did not cause the need for new transmission.  It's exactly where we find ourselves now.  The question is, would FERC open an investigation to correct PJM's current cost allocation for Window 3 to order it be allocated according to the public policy "state agreement" cost allocation approach?
It is ultimately the job of each state to ensure resource adequacy to serve its consumers, even in a multi-state RTO. ​
Amen, Commissioner Christie!  Perhaps if they did, they'd stop prematurely shutting down fossil fuel generators before replacement generation is available.  And perhaps they'd stop approving new data centers without any viable means of powering them.  Instead, it's been left on the doorstep of all the other states in the PJM region to pay for, and house, transmission only made necessary by the thoughtless politics of certain states and localities.  This is not just and reasonable.
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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