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PJM Market Monitor Recommends Market Efficiency Process Be Eliminated

12/3/2019

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Sadly, nobody listens to the Market Monitor.  His job is to monitor PJM's electricity market to ensure its fairness and that it results in the lowest electric costs for consumers in the region.  Why does PJM need a Market Monitor?  Because, obviously, PJM cannot administer a fair market that benefits consumers on its own.  PJM (100% funded by consumers) doesn't have to implement the Monitor's recommendations.  The Monitor has no real power to enforce its recommendations.  Only FERC can order PJM to take action, and it mostly just sits there and pats its Frankenstein regional transmission operator monster on the head. 

So, what's the point of the Market Monitor?  Right now, there is no point!!  The Market Monitor doesn't care about utility profits or politics, it only cares about the electricity market, and it does so in completely mind-boggling ways most of us can never understand.  Perhaps PJM and FERC should start paying more attention to the Market Monitor's recommendations so that they are implemented.

In it's most recent State of the Market Report (issued in multiple volumes quarterly, and then compiled yearly into a breathtaking volume that rivals War and Peace) the Market Monitor made this new recommendation:
Market Efficiency Process The MMU recommends that the market efficiency process be eliminated because it is not consistent with a competitive market design. (Priority:  Medium. New recommendation. Status: Not adopted.)

That's something everyone can understand.  Eliminate PJM's market efficiency process.
Just eliminate it.  Get rid of it.  Stop it!  No more planning for new transmission projects for the purpose of "market efficiency."  Coming from the Market Monitor, whose business is market efficiency, it's a stunning proposal.  PJM's "market efficiency" transmission planning process is completely failing the consumers it's supposed to help.

Perhaps if PJM and/or FERC had been paying attention to the Market Monitor's recommendations regarding this PJM process over the past several years, elimination wouldn't be necessary.  But PJM and FERC have completely ignored the Market Monitor and continued to support awful cost drains like the Transource Independence Energy Connection, and FERC even awarded incentives to the project that allows the company to recover every cent it's dumping down the IEC toilet, plus profit, even if it is cancelled.  We're going to pay for this boondoggle, even when no shovel gets put in the ground.  How's that for efficiency, folks?

The Market Monitor has a bunch of issues with PJM's Market Efficiency process.  One recommendation that's been dragging along for years is that there is no process to compare new transmission to new generation to find the most efficient method to eliminate transmission congestion.  Transmission congestion is a economic concept that occurs when the cheapest energy generated in a region cannot reach all the customers in the region.  When that happens, the customers on the other side of the congestion point have to buy their electricity from other, more expensive, generators that can avoid the congestion point.  Often, these generators are located closer to the customers who need the power.  PJM's market efficiency process attempts to build new transmission to eliminate the congestion point, making any electron generated in PJM available to any customer in PJM.  It's utterly ridiculous!  Why use a tack hammer when a pile driver gets the job done?  Building new generation on the other side of the congestion point also gets the job done.  New generation may lower costs to these customers by increasing supply available.  This is how PJM's markets are supposed to work!  PJM can only order the building of new transmission, not new generation.  The market (high prices) is supposed to provide the market impetus that spurs new generation builds.  But if PJM orders and builds new transmission to eliminate the market effects of generation costs, that signal to build new generation never occurs.  PJM short-circuits it with the only "solution" it has in its tool box.  The Market Monitor wants PJM to develop a process to compare the cost of new transmission to the cost of new generation before ordering new transmission.  Building new generation can be the cheaper solution.  It also avoids burdening other customers with new transmission.

PJM has even gone so far as to have FERC okay a method that eliminates potential new generation from its market efficiency planning process.  PJM likes to pretend no new generation will be built, ever, therefore it "needs" to build new transmission to solve congestion issues.

The Market Monitor also takes issue with PJM's benefit to cost ratio determination.
The MMU recommends that, if the market efficiency process is retained, PJM modify the rules governing benefit/cost analysis, the evaluation process for selecting among competing market efficiency projects and cost allocation for economic projects in order to ensure that all costs, including increased congestion costs and the risk of project cost increases, in all zones are included and in order to ensure that the correct metrics are used for defining benefits. (Priority: Medium. First reported 2018.  Status: Not adopted.)
There's a lot more to it, but I'll cut to the chase.  PJM's current process only counts the "benefits" of reduced electric prices for the set of customers on the other side of the congestion point when determining "benefit."  Unfortunately, eliminating congestion with transmission has certain side effects, like increasing prices to other customers who weren't experiencing congestion.  Congestion can never be entirely eliminated, it can only be shifted around.  Opening new pathways for electricity to flow changes supply/demand scenarios elsewhere, such as the Transource project, which will increase costs for Pennsylvania customers by hundreds of millions of dollars by draining electricity out of their well-supplied market.  PJM should subtract the costs to other customers from the "benefits" to the customers who "need" the transmission project before comparing benefits to the cost of the transmission project.  PJM's current process of ignoring cost increases in other parts of its region is skewing its cost/benefit calculations.

There's lots more in the report, but it's kind of hard to swallow for regular folks.  Enter at your own risk!  Even I can only process certain parts, but they are a refreshing voyage  compared the the mountain of hubris and waste PJM produces in any given year.  The Market Monitor is different.  He's your watchdog for the PJM shenanigans that go on routinely. 

In another section, the Market Monitor reports that transmission congestion has been reduced to its lowest level in 10 years.  But we haven't built the Transource IEC yet!  Is IEC really needed to relieve congestion?  Numbers don't lie.
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When is PJM going to listen to the Market Monitor?

More importantly, when is FERC going to pay attention?

Why are we spending all this money on the Market Monitor's expertise and advice, when nobody listens to it?  Maybe the ratepayers should take up their own collection to buy the Market Monitor a uniform, some handcuffs, and a studded billy club and encourage him to enforce his recommendations?  I'm in for $5.
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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